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Many real-world optimization problems involve uncertain parameters with probability distributions that can be estimated using contextual feature information. In contrast to the standard approach of first estimating the distribution of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-03 Meng Qi , Paul Grigas , Zuo-Jun Max Shen

In 1938 E. T. Bell introduced "The Iterated Exponential Integers". He proved that these numbers may be expressed by polynomials with rational coefficients. However, Bell gave no formulas for any of the coefficients except the trivial one,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Ivar Henning Skau , Kai Forsberg Kristensen

Exponential random graph models are an important tool in the statistical analysis of data. However, Bayesian parameter estimation for these models is extremely challenging, since evaluation of the posterior distribution typically involves…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-05 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

This paper proposes an efficient approach to learning disentangled representations with causal mechanisms based on the difference of conditional probabilities in original and new distributions. We approximate the difference with models'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Yuanpeng Li , Joel Hestness , Mohamed Elhoseiny , Liang Zhao , Kenneth Church

Models which include domain constraints occur in myriad contexts such as econometrics, genomics, and environmetrics, though simulating from constrained distributions can be computationally expensive. In particular, repeated sampling from…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-03 Hillary Koch , Gregory P. Bopp

After a brief introduction to Probability Bracket Notation (PBN), indicator operator and conditional density operator (CDO), we investigate probability spaces associated with various quantum systems: system with one observable (discrete or…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Xing M. Wang

We propose a method of numerical modeling Bose Einstein Correlations by using the notion of Elementary Emitting Cells (EEC). They are intermediary objects containing identical bosons and are supposed to be produced independently during the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2008-11-26 Oleg Utyuzh , Grzegorz Wilk , Zbigniew Wlodarczyk

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent an important framework both from a theoretical and applied point of view. In the present paper, motivated by species sampling problems, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Bairamov et al. (Aust N Z J Stat 47:543-547, 2005) characterize the exponential distribution in terms of the regression of a function of a record value with its adjacent record values as covariates. We extend these results to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-30 George P. Yanev , M. Ahsanullah , M. I. Beg

A new algorithm named EXPected Similarity Estimation (EXPoSE) was recently proposed to solve the problem of large-scale anomaly detection. It is a non-parametric and distribution free kernel method based on the Hilbert space embedding of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-18 Markus Schneider , Wolfgang Ertel , Günther Palm

The empirical Bayes estimators in mixed models are useful for small area estimation in the sense of increasing precision of prediction for small area means, and one wants to know the prediction errors of the empirical Bayes estimators based…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-07 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

We consider discrete nonparametric priors which induce Gibbs-type exchangeable random partitions and investigate their posterior behavior in detail. In particular, we deduce conditional distributions and the corresponding Bayesian…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-22 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Stephen G. Walker

Variational method is applied to describe Bose-Einstein condensates (BEC) interacting via a pseudo-potential, taking into account quantum fluctuations around the mean field by the Gaussian approximation. Contributions from the pair-wise…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Y. Tsue , D. Vautherin , T. Matsui

Many modern statistical applications involve inference for complex stochastic models, where it is easy to simulate from the models, but impossible to calculate likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method of inference for…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-14 Paul Fearnhead , Dennis Prangle

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). The conceptual and methodological framework that underpins approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is targetted primarily towards problems in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-20 Christopher C Drovandi , Clara Grazian , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian Robert

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

The problem of nonparametric estimation of the conditional density of a response, given a vector of explanatory variables, is classical and of prominent importance in many prediction problems since the conditional density provides a more…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-21 Catia Scricciolo

Recently, Lee and Cha (2015, `On two generalized classes of discrete bivariate distributions', {\it American Statistician}, 221 - 230) proposed two general classes of discrete bivariate distributions. They have discussed some general…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-01 Debasis Kundu , Vahid Nekoukhou

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a method for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is unavailable but simulating from the model is possible. However, many ABC algorithms require a large number of simulations, which can be costly.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-15 Marko Järvenpää , Michael U. Gutmann , Arijus Pleska , Aki Vehtari , Pekka Marttinen

Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) is a principled framework for making efficient use of limited experimental resources. Unfortunately, its applicability is hampered by the difficulty of obtaining accurate estimates of the expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-15 Adam Foster , Martin Jankowiak , Eli Bingham , Paul Horsfall , Yee Whye Teh , Tom Rainforth , Noah Goodman
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