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It is still common wisdom amongst economists, politicians and lay people that economic growth is a necessity of our social systems, at least to avoid distributional conflicts. This paper challenges such belief moving from a purely physical…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-11 Angelo Tartaglia

The rate at which nodes in a network increase their connectivity depends on their fitness to compete for links. For example, in social networks some individuals acquire more social links than others, or on the www some webpages attract…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Bianconi A. -L. Barabási

The Economic Complexity Index (ECI; Hidalgo & Hausmann, 2009) measures the complexity of national economies in terms of product groups. Analogously to ECI, a Patent Complexity Index (PatCI) can be developed on the basis of a matrix of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-18 Inga Ivanova , Oivind Strand , Duncan Kushnir , Loet Leydesdorff

We introduce a robust belief-based measure of complexity. The idea is that task A is deemed more complex than task B if the probability of solving A correctly is smaller than the probability of solving B correctly regardless of the reward.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-01-17 Egor Bronnikov , Elias Tsakas

A general notion of information-related complexity applicable to both natural and man-made systems is proposed. The overall approach is to explicitly consider a rational agent performing a certain task with a quantifiable degree of success.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-01-18 Eugene Perevalov , David Grace

Optimization and expansion are two modes of staged evolution of complex systems where macroscopic observables change at a decreasing, respectively increasing, rate. A prime example of evolutionary expansion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP)…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-30 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen , Per Lyngs Hansen

The easy access to large data sets has allowed for leveraging methodology in network physics and complexity science to disentangle patterns and processes directly from the data, leading to key insights in the behavior of systems. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-02-08 Chengyi Tu , Joel Carr , Samir Suweis

Is a causal description of human wealth history conceivable? To investigate the matter we introduce a simple causal albeit strongly aggregated model, assuming that the observed wealth growth is mainly driven by human collaborative efforts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-23 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella

Nestedness has traditionally been used to detect assembly patterns in meta-communities and networks of interacting species. Attempts have also been made to uncover nested structures in international trade, typically represented as bipartite…

This paper discusses serious drawbacks of existing knowledge in macroeconomics and finance in explaining and predicting economic and financial phenomena. Complexity science is proposed as an alternative approach to be used in order to…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-03 Thitithep Sitthiyot

The inequality of wealth distribution is a universal phenomenon in the civilized nations, and it is often imputed to the Matthew effect, that is, the rich get richer and the poor get poorer. Some philosophers unjustified this phenomenon and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-02-18 Bojin Zheng , Wenhua Du , Wanneng Shu , Jianmin Wang , Deyi Li

Science is driven by community endeavors across diverse fields and specializations, forming a complex structure that renders conventional performance evaluation methods inadequate. Using established indicators, the network-based normalized…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Adarsh Raghuvanshi , Hrishidev Unni , Vinayak , Anirban Chakraborti

Production in an economy is a set of firms' activities as suppliers and customers; a firm buys goods from other firms, puts value added and sells products to others in a giant network of production. Empirical study is lacking despite the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-19 Yoshi Fujiwara , Hideaki Aoyama

A step to consilience, starting with a deconstruction of the causality of uncertainty that is embedded in the fundamentals of growth and inequality, following a construction of aggregation laws that disclose the invariance principle across…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-23 Zhengyuan Gao

A four-pronged approach to dealing with Social Science Phenomenon is outlined. This methodology is applied to Financial Services, Economic Growth and Well-Being. The four prongs are like the four directions for an army general looking for…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-10 Ravi Kashyap

Science is essential to innovation and economic prosperity. Although studies have shown that national scientific development is affected by geographic, historic, and economic factors, it remains unclear whether there are universal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-27 Lili Miao , Dakota Murray , Woo-Sung Jung , Vincent Larivière , Cassidy R. Sugimoto , Yong-Yeol Ahn

Product diversity, which is highly important in economic systems, has been highlighted by recent studies on international trade. We found an empirical pattern, designated as the "S-shaped curve", that models the relationship between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-15 Hongmei Lei , Jiang Zhang

Over the last decades, the distribution of income and wealth has been deteriorating in many countries, leading to increased inequalities within and between societies. This tendency has revived the interest in the subject greatly, yet it…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-22 F. Clementi , M. Gallegati

This paper explores the relationships between migration and trade using a complex-network approach. We show that: (i) both weighted and binary versions of the networks of international migration and trade are strongly correlated; (ii) such…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-24 Giorgio Fagiolo , Marina Mastrorillo