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A new method for stochastic control based on neural networks and using randomisation of discrete random variables is proposed and applied to optimal stopping time problems. The method models directly the policy and does not need the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-11 Thomas Deschatre , Joseph Mikael

A multi-source quickest detection problem is considered. Assume there are two independent Poisson processes $X^{1}$ and $X^{2}$ with disorder times $\theta_{1}$ and $\theta_{2}$, respectively; that is, the intensities of $X^1$ and $X^2$…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Erhan Bayraktar , H. Vincent Poor

Let X_t, 0<=t<=T be a one-dimensional stochastic process with independent and stationary increments. This paper considers the problem of stopping the process X_t "as close as possible" to its eventual supremum M_T:=sup{X_t: 0<=t<=T}, when…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 Pieter C. Allaart

In this paper, we study the solvability of a class of multi-dimensional forward backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs) with oblique reflection and unbounded stopping time. Under some mild assumptions on the coefficients in such…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-03 Soufiane Aazizi , Imade Fakhouri

Mathematically, the execution of an American-style financial derivative is commonly reduced to solving an optimal stopping problem. Breaking the general assumption that the knowledge of the holder is restricted to the price history of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-25 Bernardo D'Auria , Eduardo García-Portugués , Abel Guada

We study an optimal stopping problem under non-exponential discounting, where the state process is a multi-dimensional continuous strong Markov process. The discount function is taken to be log sub-additive, capturing decreasing impatience…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-14 Yu-Jui Huang , Zhenhua Wang

We consider a finite horizon optimal stopping problem related to trade-off strategies between expected profit and cost cash-flows of an investment under uncertainty. The optimal problem is first formulated in terms of a system of Snell…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-25 Boualem Djehiche , Said Hamadène , Marie Amélie Morlais

We study the optimal stopping of an American call option in a random time-horizon under exponential spectrally negative L\'evy models. The random time-horizon is modeled as the so-called Omega default clock in insurance, which is the first…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-10 Neofytos Rodosthenous , Hongzhong Zhang

We study a problem when a solution to optimal stopping problem for one-dimensional diffusion will generate by threshold strategy. Namely, we give necessary and sufficient conditions under which an optimal stopping time can be specified as…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-20 V. I. Arkin , A. D. Slastnikov

The Chow-Robbins game is a classical still partly unsolved stopping problem introduced by Chow and Robbins in 1965. You repeatedly toss a fair coin. After each toss, you decide if you take the fraction of heads up to now as a payoff,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-07 Sören Christensen , Simon Fischer

Given a stable L\'{e}vy process $X=(X_t)_{0\le t\le T}$ of index $\alpha\in(1,2)$ with no negative jumps, and letting $S_t=\sup_{0\le s\le t}X_s$ denote its running supremum for $t\in [0,T]$, we consider the optimal prediction problem…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Violetta Bernyk , Robert C. Dalang , Goran Peskir

In a classical optimal stopping problem the aim is to maximize the expected value of a functional of a diffusion evaluated at a stopping time. This note considers optimal stopping problems beyond this paradigm. We study problems in which…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Vicky Henderson , David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

This paper introduces a new recursive stochastic optimal control problem driven by a forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs), where the ter?minal time varies according to the constraints of the state of the forward…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Jiaqi Wang , Shuzhen Yang

In this paper we consider stopping problems for continuous-time Markov chains under a general risk-sensitive optimization criterion for problems with finite and infinite time horizon. More precisely our aim is to maximize the certainty…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Nicole Bäuerle , Anton Popp

We study the valuation of an American put option with a random time horizon given by the last exit time of the underlying asset from a fixed level. Since this random time is not a stopping time, the problem falls outside the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Zhuoshu Wu , Libo Li

We study the optimal stopping problem of maximizing the variance of an unkilled linear diffusion. Especially, we demonstrate how the problem can be solved as a convex two-player zero-sum game, and reveal quite surprising application of game…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Kamille Sofie Tågholt Gad , Pekka Matomäki

This paper examines the valuation of American capped call options with two-level caps. The structure of the immediate exercise region is significantly more complex than in the classical case with constant cap. When the cap grows over time,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-20 Jerome Detemple , Yerkin Kitapbayev

We will investigate the value and inactive region of optimal stopping and one-sided singular control problems by focusing on two fundamental ratios. We shall see that these ratios unambiguously characterize the solution, although usually…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Pekka Matomäki

Optimal stopping is the problem of determining when to stop a stochastic system in order to maximize reward, which is of practical importance in domains such as finance, operations management and healthcare. Existing methods for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Xinyi Guan , Velibor V. Mišić

We formulate an optimal stopping problem for a geometric Brownian motion where the probability scale is distorted by a general nonlinear function. The problem is inherently time inconsistent due to the Choquet integration involved. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Zuo Quan Xu , Xun Yu Zhou