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This article addresses issues of model criticism and model comparison in Bayesian contexts, and focusses on the use of the so-called posterior predictive p-values (ppp values). These involve a general discrepancy or conflict measure and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Nils Lid Hjort , Fredrik A. Dahl , Gunnhildur Högnadóttir Steinbakk

Mixture models are a popular tool in model-based clustering. Such a model is often fitted by a procedure that maximizes the likelihood, such as the EM algorithm. At convergence, the maximum likelihood parameter estimates are typically…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-23 Adrian O'Hagan , Thomas Brendan Murphy , Luca Scrucca , Isobel Claire Gormley

The paper presents a novel approach for unsupervised techniques in the field of clustering. A new method is proposed to enhance existing literature models using the proper Bayesian bootstrap to improve results in terms of robustness and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Federico Maria Quetti , Silvia Figini , Elena ballante

Propensity score (PS) methods are widely used to estimate treatment effects in non-randomized studies. Variance is typically estimated using sandwich or bootstrap methods, which can either treat the PS as estimated or fixed. The latter is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Baoshan Zhang , Sean M. O'Brien , Yuan Wu , Laine E. Thomas

In many fields of research null hypothesis significance tests and p values are the accepted way of assessing the degree of certainty with which research results can be extrapolated beyond the sample studied. However, there are very serious…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-14 Michael Wood

We characterize the statistical bootstrap for the estimation of information-theoretic quantities from data, with particular reference to its use in the study of large-scale social phenomena. Our methods allow one to preserve, approximately,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-06-06 Simon DeDeo , Robert X. D. Hawkins , Sara Klingenstein , Tim Hitchcock

We study Bayesian approaches to causal inference via propensity score regression. Much of the Bayesian literature on propensity score methods have relied on approaches that cannot be viewed as fully Bayesian in the context of conventional…

This paper proposes methods for likelihood-based inference in multivariate linear regressions when the correlation matrix of the responses is separable; that is, it has a Kronecker product structure, but the variances are unrestricted. The…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-16 Karl Oskar Ekvall

In a two-stage cluster sampling procedure, $n$ random populations are drawn independently from independent populations and a sub-sample of observations is taken in each of them. The estimator of the general mean of the observed variables is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Odile Pons

The Bootstrap method application in simulation supposes that value of random variables are not generated during the simulation process but extracted from available sample populations. In the case of Hierarchical Bootstrap the function of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-29 A. Andronov , M. Fioshin

This paper studies the problem of testing whether a system of linear equality and inequality constraints admits a solution when the coefficients of that system may have to be estimated. We show that a wide range of inferential questions in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-11 Leonard Goff , Eric Mbakop

Conformal prediction methods are statistical tools designed to quantify uncertainty and generate predictive sets with guaranteed coverage probabilities. This work introduces an innovative refinement to these methods for classification…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Mohamed Hebiri , Joseph Salmon

AI/ML methods are increasingly used in economics to generate binary variables (or labels) via classification algorithms. When these generated variables are included as covariates in regressions, even small misclassification errors can…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Timothy Christensen , Silvia Goncalves , Benoit Perron

A critical literature review and comprehensive simulation study is used to show that (a) non-parametric bootstrap is a viable alternative to commonly taught and used methods in basic estimation tasks (mean, variance, quartiles, correlation)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-16 Urša Zrimšek , Erik Štrumbelj

Although there is an extensive literature on the eigenvalues of high-dimensional sample covariance matrices, much of it is specialized to independent components (IC) models -- in which observations are represented as linear transformations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-05 Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

In order to test if an unknown matrix has a given rank (null hypothesis), we consider the family of statistics that are minimum squared distances between an estimator and the manifold of fixed-rank matrix. Under the null hypothesis, every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-09 François Portier , Bernard Delyon

Causal discovery methods aim to determine the causal direction between variables using observational data. Functional causal discovery methods, such as those based on the Linear Non-Gaussian Acyclic Model (LiNGAM), rely on structural and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Shreya Prakash , Fan Xia , Elena Erosheva

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

Combining p-values from independent statistical tests is a popular approach to meta-analysis, particularly when the data underlying the tests are either no longer available or are difficult to combine. A diverse range of p-value combination…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Nicholas Heard , Patrick Rubin-Delanchy
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