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A Bayesian belief network models a joint distribution with an directed acyclic graph representing dependencies among variables and network parameters characterizing conditional distributions. The parameters are viewed as random variables to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-14 Peter Hooper , Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Russell Greiner , Bret Hoehn

The consistency of doubly robust estimators relies on consistent estimation of at least one of two nuisance regression parameters. In moderate to large dimensions, the use of flexible data-adaptive regression estimators may aid in achieving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-30 Iván Díaz

This paper presents new methodology for computationally efficient kernel density estimation. It is shown that a large class of kernels allows for exact evaluation of the density estimates using simple recursions. The same methodology can be…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-12 David P. Hofmeyr

We prove sharp estimates of the heat kernel associated with Fourier-Dini expansions on $(0,1)$ equipped with Lebesgue measure and the Neumann condition imposed on the right endpoint. Then we give several applications of this result…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Bartosz Langowski , Adam Nowak

We consider estimating the parametric components of semi-parametric multiple index models in a high-dimensional and non-Gaussian setting. Such models form a rich class of non-linear models with applications to signal processing, machine…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Zhuoran Yang , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Han Liu

We provide cubature formulas for the calculation of derivatives of expected values in the spririt of Terry Lyons and Nicolas Victoir. In financial mathematics derivatives of option prices with respect to initial values, so called Greeks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Josef Teichmann

Estimator selection has become a crucial issue in non parametric estimation. Two widely used methods are penalized empirical risk minimization (such as penalized log-likelihood estimation) or pairwise comparison (such as Lepski's method).…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-19 Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

In many learning problems, the training and testing data follow different distributions and a particularly common situation is the \textit{covariate shift}. To correct for sampling biases, most approaches, including the popular kernel mean…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Henry Lam , Fengpei Li , Siddharth Prusty

We propose a novel framework for matching estimators for causal effect from observational data that is based on minimizing the dual norm of estimation error when expressed as an operator. We show that many popular matching estimators can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-01 Nathan Kallus

Since the latest financial crisis, the idea of systemic risk has received considerable interest. In particular, contagion effects arising from cross-holdings between interconnected financial firms have been studied extensively. Drawing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Nils Bertschinger , Julian Stobbe

By specifying model free preferences towards simple nested classes of lottery pairs, we develop the dual story to stand on equal footing with that of (primal) risk apportionment. The dual story provides an intuitive interpretation, and full…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-07 Louis R. Eeckhoudt , Roger J. A. Laeven , Harris Schlesinger

With the widespread application of causal inference, it is increasingly important to have tools which can test for the presence of causal effects in a diverse array of circumstances. In this vein we focus on the problem of testing for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-08 Jake Fawkes , Robert Hu , Robin J. Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

We propose a new family of regularized R\'enyi divergences parametrized not only by the order $\alpha$ but also by a variational function space. These new objects are defined by taking the infimal convolution of the standard R\'enyi…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-16 Jeremiah Birrell , Yannis Pantazis , Paul Dupuis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet

We introduce and treat rigorously a new multi-agent model of the continuous double auction or in other words the order book (OB). It is designed to explain collective behaviour of the market when new information affecting the market…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-19 A. Lykov , S. Muzychka , K. Vaninsky

We derive a series expansion by Hermite polynomials for the price of an arithmetic Asian option. This series requires the computation of moments and correlators of the underlying price process, but for a polynomial jump-diffusion, these are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-26 Silvia Lavagnini

This paper derives a posteriori error estimators for the nonlinear first-order optimality conditions associated with the electrically and flexoelectrically coupled Frank-Oseen model of liquid crystals, building on the results of [14] for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-19 D. B. Emerson

An accurate assessment of a model's complexity is crucial for topics such as interpretation, generalization, and model selection. However, most existing complexity measures either rely on heuristic assumptions or are computationally…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Oskar Allerbo , Thomas B. Schön

We discuss a new weighted likelihood method for parametric estimation. The method is motivated by the need for generating a simple estimation strategy which provides a robust solution that is simultaneously fully efficient when the model is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Suman Majumder , Adhidev Biswas , Tania Roy , Subir Kumar Bhandari , Ayanendranath Basu

The double Heston model is one of the most popular option pricing models in financial theory. It is applied to several issues such that risk management and volatility surface calibration. This paper deals with the problem of global…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Mohamed Ben Alaya , Houssem Dahbi , Hamdi Fathallah

We propose a quasi maximum likelihood estimation method for Bergomi-type stochastic volatility models with parametrized kernels, focusing on the estimation of the kernel parameters from high-frequency time-series observations of option…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Masaaki Fukasawa , Haruki Tomita