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We report moment distribution results from a laboratory earthquake fault experiment consisting of sheared elastic plates separated by a narrow gap filled with a two dimensional granular medium. Local measurement of strain displacements of…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2014-10-23 Drew A. Geller , Robert E. Ecke , Karin A. Dahmen , Scott Backhaus

In this short note, I comment on the research of Pisarenko et al. (2014) regarding the extreme value theory and statistics in case of earthquake magnitudes. The link between the generalized extreme value distribution (GEVD) as an asymptotic…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-23 Mathias Raschke

We consider a general stochastic branching process, which is relevant to earthquakes as well as to many other systems, and we study the distributions of the total number of offsprings (direct and indirect aftershocks in seismicity) and of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 A. Saichev , A. Helmstetter , D. Sornette

The Caucasus region is characterized by heterogeneous and strong seismicity as a result of collision between Arabian and Eurasian tectonic plates. A rich variety of seismic events also distinguishes Azerbaijan, located in its south part. In…

This chapter first presents a rather personal view of some different aspects of predictability, going in crescendo from simple linear systems to high-dimensional nonlinear systems with stochastic forcing, which exhibit emergent properties…

Geophysics · Physics 2014-08-26 Didier Sornette , Ivan Osorio

We characterize the distributions of size and duration of avalanches propagating in complex networks. By an avalanche we mean the sequence of events initiated by the externally stimulated `excitation' of a network node, which may, with some…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2013-10-22 Daniel B. Larremore , Marshall Y. Carpenter , Edward Ott , Juan G. Restrepo

An important functional of Poisson random measure is the negative binomial process (NBP). We use NBP to introduce a generalized Poisson-Kingman distribution and its corresponding random discrete probability measure. This random discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-04 Sadegh Chegini , Mahmoud Zarepour

A review of the statistical properties of earthquakes is provided, centered mainly in the work of the author (apologies for that). We explain the scaling law for the recurrence-time distributions, its universal character for stationary…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Alvaro Corral

A stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in the scrape-off layer of magnetically confined plasmas has been constructed based on a super-position of uncorrelated pulses arriving according to a Poisson process. In the most common…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

Nucleation process of the one-dimensional Burridge-Knopoff model of earthquakes obeying the rate- and state-dependent friction law is studied both analytically and numerically. The properties of the nucleation dynamics, the nucleation…

Geophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 Yushi Ueda , Shouji Morimoto , Shingo Kakui , Takumi Yamamoto , Hikaru Kawamura

This paper briefly presents an order statistic approach to the time distribution of the first detected event after a primary avalanche breakdown from a mixture of correlated and dark counting processes. The well-known order statistic…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2025-11-07 Sergey Vinogradov

We study statistical properties of the number of large earthquakes over the past century. We analyze the cumulative distribution of the number of earthquakes with magnitude larger than threshold M in time interval T, and quantify the…

Geophysics · Physics 2012-03-30 Eric G. Daub , Eli Ben-Naim , Robert A. Guyer , Paul A. Johnson

Spatiotemporal properties of seismicity are investigated for a worldwide (WW) catalog and for Southern California in the stationary case (SC), showing a nearly universal scaling behavior. Distributions of distances between consecutive…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Alvaro Corral

Sequencing by synthesis is used in many next-generation DNA sequencing technologies. Some of the technologies, especially those exploring the principle of single-molecule sequencing, allow incomplete nucleotide incorporation in each cycle.…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2024-05-28 Yong Kong

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

In this paper, the statistical properties of Newton s method algorithm output in a specific case have been studied. The relative frequency density of this sample converges to a well-defined function, prompting us to explore its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-16 Taki Kirouani

We describe a continuous-time modelling framework for biological population dynamics that accounts for demographic noise. In the spirit of the methodology used by statistical physicists, transitions between the states of the system are…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-19 George W. A. Constable , Alan J. McKane

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

Earthquake nowcasting has been proposed as a means of tracking the change in large earthquake potential in a seismically active area. The method was developed using observable seismic data, in which probabilities of future large earthquakes…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-10-24 Ian Baughman , John B Rundle , Tianjin Zhang

Our purpose is to estimate the posterior distribution of the parameters of interest for controlled branching processes (CBPs) without prior knowledge of the maximum number of offspring that an individual can give birth to and without…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-10 Miguel González , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto