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We consider the problem of parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time state space models. In particular, we explore the case of a partially observed diffusion, with data also arriving according to a diffusion process. Based upon a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-16 Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Hamza Ruzayqat

Partially-observed data collected by sampling methods is often being studied to obtain the characteristics of information diffusion networks. However, these methods usually do not consider the behavior of diffusion process. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Motahareh Eslami Mehdiabadi , Hamid R. Rabiee , Mostafa Salehi

Mathematical models are vital interpretive and predictive tools used to assist in the understanding of cell migration. There are typically two approaches to modelling cell migration: either micro-scale, discrete or macro-scale, continuum.…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-16 Enrico Gavagnin , Christian A. Yates

This paper addresses the nonparametric estimation of the drift function over a compact domain for a time-homogeneous diffusion process, based on high-frequency discrete observations from $N$ independent trajectories. We propose a neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yuzhen Zhao , Yating Liu , Marc Hoffmann

Subordinate diffusions are constructed by time changing diffusion processes with an independent L\'{e}vy subordinator. This is a rich family of Markovian jump processes which exhibit a variety of jump behavior and have found many…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-29 Weiwei Guo , Lingfei Li

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

Consider a particle diffusing in a confined volume which is divided into two equal regions. In one region the diffusion coefficient is twice the value of the diffusion coefficient in the other region. Will the particle spend equal…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-04 P. F. Tupper , Xin Yang

We consider the task of filtering a dynamic parameter evolving as a diffusion process, given data collected at discrete times from a likelihood which is conjugate to the marginal law of the diffusion, when a generic dual process on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Andrea Pandolfi , Marco Piretto , Matteo Ruggiero

The evolution of dispersal rate is studied with a model of several local populations linked by dispersal. Three dispersal strategies are considered where all, half, or none of the offspring disperse. The spatial scale (number of patches)…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-12 Emmanuel Paradis

Stationary probability distributions of one-dimensional random walks on lattices with aperiodic disorder are investigated. The pattern of the distribution is closely related to the diffusional behavior, which depends on the wandering…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-19 Hiroshi Miki

1. The utilisation distribution describes the relative probability of use of a spatial unit by an animal. It is natural to think of it as the long-term consequence of the animal's short-term movement decisions: it is the accumulation of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-25 Théo Michelot , Marie-Pierre Etienne , Pierre Gloaguen

Estimation of parameters of a diffusion based on discrete time observations poses a difficult problem due to the lack of a closed form expression for the likelihood. From a Bayesian computational perspective it can be casted as a missing…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-30 Frank van der Meulen , Moritz Schauer

Most methods for modelling dynamics posit just two time scales: a fast and a slow scale. But many applications, including many in continuum mechanics, possess a wide variety of space-time scales; often they possess a continuum of space-time…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2008-02-11 A. J. Roberts

Diffusion in an evolving environment is studied by continuos-time Monte Carlo simulations. Diffusion is modelled by continuos-time random walkers on a lattice, in a dynamic environment provided by bubbles between two one-dimensional…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2010-11-22 Janne Juntunen , Juha Merikoski

We develop two statistical models for space-time abundance data based on a stochastic underlying continuous individual movement. In contrast to current models for abundance in statistical ecology, our models exploit the explicit connection…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-24 Ricardo Carrizo Vergara , Marc Kéry , Trevor Hefley

The study of international relations by definition deals with interdependencies among countries. One form of interdependence between countries is the diffusion of country-level features, such as policies, political regimes, or conflict. In…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-22 Johan A. Elkink , Thomas U. Grund

We consider two Ito equations that evolve on different time scales. The equations are fully coupled in the sense that all coefficients may depend on both the "slow" and the "fast" processes and the diffusion terms may be correlated. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

Motivated by investigating spatio-temporal patterns of the distribution of continuous variables, we consider describing the conditional distribution function of the response variable incorporating spatio-temporal components given…

We consider a nonlinear coupled discrete-time model of population dynamics. This model describes the movement of populations within a heterogeneous landscape, where the growth of subpopulations are modelled by (possibly different) bounded…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-05-08 Blake McGrane-Corrigan , Oliver Mason , Rafael de Andrade Moral

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker