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This paper addresses the estimation of locally stationary long-range dependent processes, a methodology that allows the statistical analysis of time series data exhibiting both nonstationarity and strong dependency. A time-varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-12 Wilfredo Palma , Ricardo Olea

We prove absolute regularity ($\beta$-mixing) for nonstationary and multivariate versions of two popular classes of integer-valued processes. We show how this result can be used to prove asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-29 Zinsou Max Debaly , Michael H. Neumann , Lionel Truquet

Modeling complex conditional distributions is critical in a variety of settings. Despite a long tradition of research into conditional density estimation, current methods employ either simple parametric forms or are difficult to learn in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-02-15 Brian L Trippe , Richard E Turner

We observe a length-$n$ sample generated by an unknown,stationary ergodic Markov process (\emph{model}) over a finite alphabet $\mathcal{A}$. Given any string $\bf{w}$ of symbols from $\mathcal{A}$ we want estimates of the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-11 Meysam Asadi , Ramezan Paravi Torghabeh , Narayana P. Santhanam

Estimating the transition dynamics of controlled Markov chains is crucial in fields such as time series analysis, reinforcement learning, and system exploration. Traditional non-parametric density estimation methods often assume independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Imon Banerjee , Vinayak Rao , Harsha Honnappa

Conditional density estimation (density regression) estimates the distribution of a response variable y conditional on covariates x. Utilizing a partition model framework, a conditional density estimation method is proposed using logistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Richard D. Payne , Nilabja Guha , Yu Ding , Bani K. Mallick

We introduce a balloon estimator in a generalized expectation-maximization method for estimating all parameters of a Gaussian mixture model given one data sample per mixture component. Instead of limiting explicitly the model size, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-12 Colas Schretter , Jianyong Sun , Peter Schelkens

In this work we develop and implement a novel Bayesian method for computing the DOS of a system. This method is based on the use of a test function with adjustable parameters and we use Bayes theorem to find the best parameters given a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-28 Felipe Moreno , Sergio Davis , Joaquín Peralta

Non-linear aggregation strategies have recently been proposed in response to the problem of how to combine, in a non-linear way, estimators of the regression function (see for instance \cite{biau:16}), classification rules (see…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-24 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Ricardo Fraiman , Badih Ghattas , Juan Kalemkerian

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-02 Ingo Steinwart , Bharath K. Sriperumbudur , Philipp Thomann

Tuning of measurement models is challenging in real-world applications of sequential Monte Carlo methods. Recent advances in differentiable particle filters have led to various efforts to learn measurement models through neural networks.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-17 Xiongjie Chen , Yunpeng Li

Estimating the mixing density of a mixture distribution remains an interesting problem in statistics literature. Using a stochastic approximation method, Newton and Zhang (1999) introduced a fast recursive algorithm for estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Nilabja Guha , Anindya Roy

Gaussian processes (GPs) are commonplace in spatial statistics. Although many non-stationary models have been developed, there is arguably a lack of flexibility compared to equipping each location with its own parameters. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-19 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

We consider the problem of estimating the density of observations taking values in classical or nonclassical spaces such as manifolds and more general metric spaces. Our setting is quite general but also sufficiently rich in allowing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 G. Cleanthous , A. Georgiadis , G. Kerkyacharian , P. Petrushev , D. Picard

In this paper, under natural and easily verifiable conditions, we prove the $\mathbb{L}^1$-convergence and the asymptotic normality of the Parzen-Rosenblatt density estimator for stationary random fields of the form $X_k =…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-02 Mohamed El Machkouri

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

This paper deals with nonparametric estimation of conditional den-sities in mixture models in the case when additional covariates are available. The proposed approach consists of performing a prelim-inary clustering algorithm on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-09 Stéphane Auray , Nicolas Klutchnikoff , Laurent Rouvière

Estimating the periodicity of a stationary time series via fitting a second order stationary autoregressive (AR(2)) model has been initiated by the seminal paper of Yule(1927).. We investigate properties of this procedure when applied to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-01 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Panagiotis Maouris , Efstathios Paparoditis

Averaging provides an alternative to bandwidth selection for density kernel estimation. We propose a procedure to combine linearly several kernel estimators of a density obtained from different, possibly data-driven, bandwidths. The method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 O. Chernova , F. Lavancier , P. Rochet

We introduce a new variational estimator for the intensity function of an inhomogeneous spatial point process with points in the $d$-dimensional Euclidean space and observed within a bounded region. The variational estimator applies in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-02 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller