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We determine an explicit Gr\"obner basis, consisting of linear forms and determinantal quadrics, for the prime ideal of Raftery's mixture transition distribution model for Markov chains. When the states are binary, the corresponding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-10 Bernd Sturmfels

We study "random surfaces," which are random real (or integer) valued functions on Z^d. The laws are determined by convex, nearest neighbor, difference potentials that are invariant under translation by a full-rank sublattice L of Z^d; they…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Scott Sheffield

Regime-switching models, in particular Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) where the switching is driven by an unobservable Markov chain, are widely-used in financial applications, due to their tractability and good econometric properties. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-18 Vikram Krishnamurthy , Elisabeth Leoff , Jörn Sass

Many existing statistical and machine learning tools for social network analysis focus on a single level of analysis. Methods designed for clustering optimize a global partition of the graph, whereas projection based approaches (e.g. the…

Motivated by multiple applications in social networks, nervous systems, and financial risk analysis, we consider the problem of learning the underlying (directed) influence graph or causal graph of a high-dimensional multivariate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Smita Bagewadi , Avhishek Chatterjee

Discrete Morse theory emerged as an essential tool for computational geometry and topology. Its core structures are discrete gradient fields, defined as acyclic matchings on a complex $C$, from which topological and geometrical informations…

Geometric Topology · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Joao Paixao , Joao Lagoas , Thomas Lewiner , Tiago Novello

The theory of dependency graphs is a powerful toolbox to prove asymptotic normality of sums of random variables. In this article, we introduce a more general notion of weighted dependency graphs and give normality criteria in this context.…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-18 Valentin Féray

The connectivity structure of graphs is typically related to the attributes of the nodes. In social networks for example, the probability of a friendship between two people depends on their attributes, such as their age, address, and…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Junning Deng , Bo Kang , Jefrey Lijffijt , Tijl De Bie

We consider the problem of balancing load items (tokens) in networks. Starting with an arbitrary load distribution, we allow nodes to exchange tokens with their neighbors in each round. The goal is to achieve a distribution where all nodes…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Thomas Sauerwald , He Sun

This work considers the problem of learning the structure of multivariate linear tree models, which include a variety of directed tree graphical models with continuous, discrete, and mixed latent variables such as linear-Gaussian models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-09 Animashree Anandkumar , Kamalika Chaudhuri , Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Le Song , Tong Zhang

Edge-weighted graphs play an important role in the theory of Robinsonian matrices and similarity theory, particularly via the concept of level graphs, that is, graphs obtained from an edge-weighted graph by removing all sufficiently light…

We provide a framework for modeling social network formation through conditional multinomial logit models from discrete choice and random utility theory, in which each new edge is viewed as a "choice" made by a node to connect to another…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Jan Overgoor , Austin R. Benson , Johan Ugander

Network-topology inference from (vertex) signal observations is a prominent problem across data-science and engineering disciplines. Most existing schemes assume that observations from all nodes are available, but in many practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Andrei Buciulea , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques

Modern social networks frequently encompass multiple distinct types of connectivity information; for instance, explicitly acknowledged friend relationships might complement behavioral measures that link users according to their actions or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2015-06-17 Brandon Oselio , Alex Kulesza , Alfred O. Hero

Global Markov properties in mixed graphs are usually formulated in terms of the path-oriented m-separation or by use of augmented graphs (similar to moral graphs in the case of directed acyclic graphs). We provide an alternative…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-17 Michael Eichler

Theory of graphical models has matured over more than three decades to provide the backbone for several classes of models that are used in a myriad of applications such as genetic mapping of diseases, credit risk evaluation, reliability and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-11-13 Henrik Nyman , Johan Pensar , Timo Koski , Jukka Corander

Longitudinal data are characterized by the dependence between observations coming from the same individual. In a regression perspective, such a dependence can be usefully ascribed to unobserved features (covariates) specific to each…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-07 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfó

This contribution extends linear models for feature vectors to sublinear models for graphs and analyzes their properties. The results are (i) a geometric interpretation of sublinear classifiers, (ii) a generic learning rule based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-03-11 Brijnesh J. Jain

In this paper, we employ the decomposition of a directed network as an undirected graph plus its associated node metadata to characterise the cyclic structure found in directed networks by finding a Minimal Cycle Basis of the undirected…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Vaiva Vasiliauskaite , Tim S. Evans , Paul Expert

Heavy-tailed distributions naturally occur in many real life problems. Unfortunately, it is typically not possible to compute inference in closed-form in graphical models which involve such heavy-tailed distributions. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-03-22 Danny Bickson , Carlos Guestrin