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We investigate robust parameter estimation and testing procedure for multivariate diffusion processes observed at high frequency via the minimum density power divergence estimator (MDPDE). Within a general diffusion framework and under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Sourojyoti Barick

This paper introduces an econometric framework for analyzing cross-sectional dependence in the idiosyncratic volatilities of assets using high frequency data. We first consider the estimation of standard measures of dependence in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-05-08 Ilze Kalnina , Kokouvi Tewou

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

In this paper we provide a comprehensive analysis of a structural model for the dynamics of prices of assets traded in a market originally proposed in [1]. The model takes the form of an interacting generalization of the geometric Brownian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-06-06 Kartik Anand , Jonathan Khedair , Reimer Kuehn

For a semi-martingale $X_t$, which forms a stochastic boundary, a rate-optimal estimator for its quadratic variation $\langle X, X \rangle_t$ is constructed based on observations in the vicinity of $X_t$. The problem is embedded in a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Markus Bibinger , Moritz Jirak , Markus Reiß

For a multidimensional It\^o semimartingale, we consider the problem of estimating integrated volatility functionals. Jacod and Rosenbaum (2013) studied a plug-in type of estimator based on a Riemann sum approximation of the integrated…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-09 José E. Figueroa-López , Jincheng Pang , Bei Wu

This paper presents a novel one-factor stochastic volatility model where the instantaneous volatility of the asset log-return is a diffusion with a quadratic drift and a linear dispersion function. The instantaneous volatility mean reverts…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-21 Peter Carr , Sander Willems

In this paper, we present a realized range-based multipower variation theory, which can be used to estimate return variation and draw jump-robust inference about the diffusive volatility component, when a high-frequency record of asset…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-24 Kim Christensen , Mark Podolskij

We explore a decomposition in which returns on a large class of portfolios relative to the market depend on a smooth non-negative drift and changes in the asset price distribution. This decomposition is obtained using general continuous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Caleb Stroup

This paper concerns a posteriori error analysis for the streamline diffusion (SD) finite element method for the one and one-half dimensional relativistic Vlasov-Maxwell system. The SD scheme yields a weak formulation, that corresponds to an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-12-23 Mohammad Asadzadeh , Christoffer Standar

This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-28 Shiva Zamani , Alireza Moslemi Haghighi , Hamid Arian

In this paper we propose a new model for volatility fluctuations in financial time series. This model relies on a non-stationary gaussian process that exhibits aging behavior. It turns out that its properties, over any finite time interval,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-12 J. F. Muzy , R. Baile , E. Bacry

We consider a continuous-time stochastic volatility model. The model contains a stationary volatility process, the multivariate density of the finite dimensional distributions of which we aim to estimate. We assume that we observe the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-08 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij

We develop a nonparametric test for deciding whether volatility of an asset follows a standard semimartingale process, with paths of finite quadratic variation, or a rough process with paths of infinite quadratic variation. The test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

A new multivariate stochastic volatility estimation procedure for financial time series is proposed. A Wishart autoregressive process is considered for the volatility precision covariance matrix, for the estimation of which a two step…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We consider discrete-time observations of a continuous martingale under measurement error. This serves as a fundamental model for high-frequency data in finance, where an efficient price process is observed under microstructure noise. It is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-12 Markus Reiß

Volatility is a natural risk measure in finance as it quantifies the variation of stock prices. A frequently considered problem in mathematical finance is to forecast different estimates of volatility. What makes it promising to use deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-14 Bernadett Aradi , Gábor Petneházi , József Gáll

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen