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I describe ongoing work developing Bayesian methods for flexible modeling of arrival time series data without binning, aiming to improve detection and measurement of X-ray and gamma-ray pulsars, and of pulses in gamma-ray bursts. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas J. Loredo

In this paper, we propose a novel method for estimating the long-memory parameter in time series. By combining the multi-resolution framework of wavelets with the robustness of the Least Absolute Deviations (LAD) criterion, we introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-28 Manganaw N'Daam , Tchilabalo Abozou Kpanzou , Edoh Katchekpele

Multivariate processes with long-range dependent properties are found in a large number of applications including finance, geophysics and neuroscience. For real data applications, the correlation between time series is crucial. Usual…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-02 Sophie Achard , Irène Gannaz

Transit timing variations - deviations from strict periodicity between successive passages of a transiting planet - can be used to probe the structure and dynamics of multiple-planet systems. In this paper, we examine prospects for…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-19 Stefano Meschiari , Gregory Laughlin

This paper suggests a nonparametric scheme to find the sparse solution of the underdetermined system of linear equations in the presence of unknown impulsive or non-Gaussian noise. This approach is robust against any variations of the noise…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2012-01-16 Mahmoud Ramezani Mayiami , Babak Seyfe

This paper studies the problem of estimation from relative measurements in a graph, in which a vector indexed over the nodes has to be reconstructed from pairwise measurements of differences between its components associated to nodes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-27 Chiara Ravazzi , Nelson P. K. Chan , Paolo Frasca

Parameter estimation in linear errors-in-variables models typically requires that the measurement error distribution be known (or estimable from replicate data). A generalized method of moments approach can be used to estimate model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-04 Linh Nghiem , Michael Byrd , Cornelis Potgieter

The error model of a quantum computer is essential for optimizing quantum algorithms to minimize the impact of errors using quantum error correction or error mitigation. Noise with temporal correlations, e.g. low-frequency noise and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-20 Mingxia Huo , Ying Li

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a popular model for spatially referenced data and allow descriptive statements, predictions at new locations, and simulation of new fields. Often a few parameters are sufficient to parameterize the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Florian Gerber , Douglas W. Nychka

This work is focussed on the inversion task of inferring the distribution over parameters of interest leading to multiple sets of observations. The potential to solve such distributional inversion problems is driven by increasing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-06 Arnaud Vadeboncoeur , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart

Analysis and synthesis of safety-critical autonomous systems are carried out using models which are often dynamic. Two central features of these dynamic systems are parameters and unmodeled dynamics. This paper addresses the use of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-17 Arnab Sarker , Peter Fisher , Joseph E. Gaudio , Anuradha M. Annaswamy

It is known that waves generated by ambient noise sources and recorded by passive receivers can be used to image the reflectivities of an unknown medium. However, reconstructing the reflectivity of the medium from partial boundary…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-18 Zetao Fei , Josselin Garnier

We introduce wavelet-based methodology for estimation of realized variance allowing its measurement in the time-frequency domain. Using smooth wavelets and Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, we allow for the decomposition of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

Gravitational wave detectors like the Einstein Telescope and LISA generate long multivariate time series, which pose significant challenges in spectral density estimation due to a number of overlapping signals as well as the presence of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2024-09-23 Jianan Liu , Avi Vajpeyi , Renate Meyer , Kamiel Janssens , Jeung Eun Lee , Patricio Maturana-Russel , Nelson Christensen , Yixuan Liu

Recent studies indicate that the noise characteristics of phasor measurement units (PMUs) can be more accurately described by non-Gaussian distributions. Consequently, estimation techniques based on Gaussian noise assumptions may produce…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-26 Anushka Sharma , Antos Cheeramban Varghese , Anamitra Pal

To achieve the sensitivity required to detect signals from neutral hydrogen from the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionisation it is critical to have a well-calibrated instrument which has a stable calibration over the course of the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-04 Christian J. Kirkham , Dominic J. Anstey , Eloy de Lera Acedo

Spatiotemporally correlated errors are widespread in quantum devices and are particularly adversarial to error correcting schemes. To characterize these errors, we propose and validate a nonparametric quantum noise spectroscopy (QNS)…

We propose a simple method to estimate the parameters of a continuously measured quantum system, by fitting correlation functions of the measured signal. We demonstrate the approach in simulation, both on toy examples and on a recent…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-17 Pierre Guilmin , Pierre Rouchon , Antoine Tilloy

We study the Gaussian Process regression model in the context of training data with noise in both input and output. The presence of two sources of noise makes the task of learning accurate predictive models extremely challenging. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-03 Cuong Tran , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert Kopp

The application of deep learning to time series forecasting is one of the major challenges in present machine learning. We propose a novel methodology that combines machine learning and image processing methods to define and predict market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Bairui Du , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Paolo Barucca
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