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A discrete-time Markov chain can be transformed into a new Markov chain by looking at its states along iterations of an almost surely finite stopping time. By the optional stopping theorem, any bounded harmonic function with respect to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-04 Iddo Ben-Ari , Behrang Forghani

This paper will provide several classes of strictly stationary, countable-state, irreducible, aperiodic Markov chains that are reversible and have finite second moments, such that the central limit theorem fails to hold. The main purpose is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Richard C. Bradley

In any Markov chain with finite state space the distribution of transition records always belongs to the exponential family. This observation is used to prove a fluctuation theorem, and to show that the dynamical entropy of a stationary…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Jan Naudts , Erik Van der Straeten

If financial markets displayed the informational efficiency postulated in the efficient markets hypothesis (EMH), arbitrage operations would be self-extinguishing. The present paper considers arbitrage sequences in foreign exchange (FX)…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-12-27 Rod Cross , Victor Kozyakin

We introduce Markov substitute processes, a new model at the crossroad of statistics and formal grammars, and prove its main property : Markov substitute processes with a given support form an exponential family.

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-03-28 Olivier Catoni , Thomas Mainguy

We consider Markov chains that obey the following general non-linear state space model: $\Phi_{k+1} = F(\Phi_k, \alpha(\Phi_k, U_{k+1}))$ where the function $F$ is $C^1$ while $\alpha$ is typically discontinuous and $\{U_k: k \in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger

A new object of the probability theory, two-sided chain of events (symbols), is introduced. A theory of multi-steps Markov chains with long-range memory, proposed earlier in Phys. Rev. E 68, 06117 (2003), is developed and used to establish…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. S. Apostolov , Z. A. Mayzelis , O. V. Usatenko , V. A. Yampol'skii

We prove that the limit profile of a sequence of reversible Markov chains exhibiting total variation cutoff is a continuous function, under a computable condition involving the spectrum of the transition matrix and the cutoff window.

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-13 Evita Nestoridi

We introduce a new distributional invariance principle, called `partial spreadability', which emerges from the representation theory of the Thompson monoid $F^+$ in noncommutative probability spaces. We show that a partially spreadable…

Operator Algebras · Mathematics 2022-12-22 Claus Köstler , Arundhathi Krishnan , Stephen J. Wills

We consider a risk-sensitive continuous-time Markov decision process over a finite time duration. Under the conditions that can be satisfied by unbounded transition and cost rates, we show the existence of an optimal policy, and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-29 Xin Guo , Qiuli Liu , Yi Zhang

General Markov chains with a countably additive transition probability in arbitrary phase space are considered. Markov operators extend from the space of countably additive measures to the space of finitely additive measures. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Alexander I. Zhdanok

We investigate the maximal domain of the moment generating function of affine processes in the sense of Duffie, Filipovi\'{c} and Schachermayer [Ann. Appl. Probab. 13 (2003) 984-1053], and we show the validity of the affine transform…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Martin Keller-Ressel , Eberhard Mayerhofer

We study the limiting object of a sequence of Markov chains analogous to the limits of graphs, hypergraphs, and other objects which have been studied. Following a suggestion of Aldous, we assign to a sequence of finite Markov chains with…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Henry Towsner

In Secion~1 we describe what is known of the extent to which a separable extension of unital associative rings is a Frobenius extension. A problem of this kind is suggested by asking if three algebraic axioms for finite Jones index…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2016-09-07 S. Caenepeel , Lars Kadison

A new sufficient condition is proved for the existence of stochastic semigroups generated by the sum of two unbounded operators. It is applied to one-dimensional piecewise deterministic Markov processes, where we also discuss the existence…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2009-07-07 Michael C. Mackey , Marta Tyran-Kaminska

We analyze multidimensional Markovian integral equations that are formulated with a time-inhomogeneous progressive Markov process that has Borel measurable transition probabilities. In the case of a path-dependent diffusion process, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-09 Alexander Kalinin

For a wide class of continuous-time Markov processes, including all irreducible hypoelliptic diffusions evolving on an open, connected subset of $\RL^d$, the following are shown to be equivalent: (i) The process satisfies (a slightly weaker…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Sean P. Meyn

We consider continuous--time Markov kinetics with a finite number of states and a given positive equilibrium distribution P*. For an arbitrary probability distribution $P$ we study the possible right hand sides, dP/dt, of the Kolmogorov…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2013-01-14 A. N. Gorban

Our object of study is the general class of stick-breaking processes with exchangeable length variables. These generalize well-known Bayesian non-parametric priors in an unexplored direction. We give conditions to assure the respective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena

We consider extensions of the two-variable guarded fragment, GF2, where distinguished binary predicates that occur only in guards are required to be interpreted in a special way (as transitive relations, equivalence relations, pre-orders or…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-04-08 Emanuel Kieronski , Lidia Tendera