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Every exchangeable Feller process taking values in a suitably nice combinatorial state space can be constructed by a system of iterated random Lipschitz functions. In discrete time, the construction proceeds by iterated application of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-27 Harry Crane , Henry Towsner

The first part of this paper is another English translation of a 1986 note. It gives a natural definition of a finite Bernoulli sequence (i.e., a typical realization of a finite sequence of binary IID trials) and compares it with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-30 Vladimir Vovk

{\abstract{\textwidth=4,5 in} A discrete time process, with law $\mu$, is quasi-exchangeable if for any finite permutation $\sigma$ of time indices, the law $\mu_\sigma$ of the resulting process is equivalent to $\mu$. For a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Doureid Hamdan

The theory of ``Markov-up'' processes is being developed. This is a new class of stochastic processes with ``partial'' markovian features; it could also be called ``one-sided Markov''. Such a behavior may be found in the real world and in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 D. O. Kalikaeva

We study the independence structure of finitely exchangeable distributions over random vectors and random networks. In particular, we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for an exchangeable vector so that its elements are completely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-15 Kayvan Sadeghi

We present simple randomized and exchangeable improvements of Markov's inequality, as well as Chebyshev's inequality and Chernoff bounds. Our variants are never worse and typically strictly more powerful than the original inequalities. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Aaditya Ramdas , Tudor Manole

A central limit theorem for arrays of symmetric row-wise exchangeable random variables is presented. The result is valid for finite and infinite extendable and non-extendable sequences. Unlike most reported versions of the central limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 Ilya Soloveychik

We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

Let $S$ be a Polish space and $(X_n:n\geq1)$ an exchangeable sequence of $S$-valued random variables. Let $\alpha_n(\cdot)=P(X_{n+1}\in \cdot\mid X_1,\...,X_n)$ be the predictive measure and $\alpha$ a random probability measure on $S$ such…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-09 Patrizia Berti , Luca Pratelli , Pietro Rigo

A semi-Markov process is one that changes states in accordance with a Markov chain but takes a random amount of time between changes. We consider the generalisation to semi-Markov processes of the classical Lamperti law for the occupation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-07-13 Théo Dessertaine , Claude Godrèche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

For positive $q\neq1$, the $q$-exchangeability of an infinite random word is introduced as quasi-invariance under permutations of letters, with a special cocycle which accounts for inversions in the word. This framework allows us to extend…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-11 Alexander Gnedin , Grigori Olshanski

A predictive distribution over a sequence of $N+1$ events is said to be "frequency mimicking" whenever the probability for the final event conditioned on the outcome of the first $N$ events equals the relative frequency of successes among…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-06 Frank Lad , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

This work focuses on a class of semi-linear functional stochastic partial differential equations with Markovian switching, in which the switching component may have finite or countably infinite states. The well-posedness of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Fubao Xi , Mingkun Ye , Zuozheng Zhang

Extensions of Kemeny's constant, as derived for irreducible finite Markov chains in discrete time, to Markov renewal processes and Markov chains in continuous time are discussed. Three alternative Kemeny's functions and their variants are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Jeffrey J Hunter

We present results concerning when the joint distribution of an exchangeable sequence is determined by the marginal distributions of its partial sums. The question of whether or not this determination occurs was posed by David Aldous. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Jeffrey Lin

Consider the continuous-time Markov Branching Process. In critical case we consider a situation when the generating function of intensity of transformation of particles has the infinite second moment, but its tail regularly varies in sense…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-07 Azam Imomov

We describe an Aldous--Hoover-type characterization of random relational structures that are exchangeable relative to a fixed structure which may have various equivalence relations. Our main theorem gives the common generalization of the…

Logic · Mathematics 2016-05-17 Harry Crane , Henry Towsner

In dimension $d\geq3$, we present a general assumption under which the renewal theorem established by Spitzer for i.i.d. sequences of centered nonlattice r.v. holds true. Next we appeal to an operator-type procedure to investigate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-30 Denis Guibourg , Loïc Hervé

We give a new proof of a result of Rudolph stating that a countable-state mixing Markov chain with exponential return times is finitarily isomorphic to an IID process. Besides being short and direct, our proof has the added benefit of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Yinon Spinka

We give computable bounds on the rate of convergence of the transition probabilities to the stationary distribution for a certain class of geometrically ergodic Markov chains. Our results are different from earlier estimates of Meyn and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Peter H. Baxendale