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In this paper we study the validity and efficiency of a conformal version of the CUSUM procedure for change detection both experimentally and theoretically.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

In computational and applied statistics, it is of great interest to get fast and accurate calculation for the distributions of the quadratic forms of Gaussian random variables. This paper presents a novel approximation strategy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-29 Hong Zhang , Judong Shen , Zheyang Wu

This work examines the problem of sequential detection of a change in the drift of a Brownian motion in the case of two-sided alternatives. Applications to real life situations in which two-sided changes can occur are discussed.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Olympia Hadjiliadis , H. Vincent Poor

Change-point analysis has been successfully applied to the detect changes in multivariate data streams over time. In many applications, when data are observed over a graph/network, change does not occur simultaneously but instead spread…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Hanqing Cai , Tengyao Wang

Graphical models with change-points are computationally challenging to fit, particularly in cases where the number of observation points and the number of nodes in the graph are large. Focusing on Gaussian graphical models, we introduce an…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Yves Atchade , Leland Bybee

We derive analytically an exact closed-form formula for the standard minimax Average Run Length (ARL) to false alarm delivered by the Generalized Shiryaev-Roberts (GSR) change-point detection procedure devised to detect a shift in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-23 Wenyu Du , Grigory Sokolov , Aleksey S. Polunchenko

A finite horizon variant of the quickest change detection problem is studied, in which the goal is to minimize a delay threshold (latency), under constraints on the probability of false alarm and the probability that the latency is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a $n\times p$ random matrix based on a sequence of observations having a single unknown change point is considered. The forms of the pre- and post-change distributions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-23 Taposh Banerjee , Hamed Firouzi , Alfred O. Hero

A vector-valued model-based cumulative sum (CUSUM) procedure is proposed for identifying faulty/falsified sensor measurements. First, given the system dynamics, we derive tools for tuning the CUSUM procedure in the fault/attack free case to…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-13 Carlos Murguia , Justin Ruths

In 1960s Shiryaev developed Bayesian theory of change detection in independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) sequences. In Shiryaev's classical setting the goal is to minimize an average detection delay under the constraint imposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-07 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In this paper, we study change-point testing for high-dimensional linear models, an important problem that has not been well explored in the literature. Specifically, we propose a quadratic-form cumulative sum (CUSUM) statistic to test the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-23 Zifeng Zhao , Xiaokai Luo , Zongge Liu , Daren Wang

In the 1960s, Shiryaev developed a Bayesian theory of change-point detection in the i.i.d. case, which was generalized in the beginning of the 2000s by Tartakovsky and Veeravalli for general stochastic models assuming a certain stability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-05 Chen-Der Fuh , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Faced with massive data, subsampling is a commonly used technique to improve computational efficiency, and using nonuniform subsampling probabilities is an effective approach to improve estimation efficiency. For computational efficiency,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-19 Jing Wang , Jiahui Zou , HaiYing Wang

This paper proposes a new minimum description length procedure to detect multiple changepoints in time series data when some times are a priori thought more likely to be changepoints. This scenario arises with temperature time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-14 Yingbo Li , Robert Lund , Anuradha Hewaarachchi

Quick detection of common changes is critical in sequential monitoring of multi-stream data where a common change is referred as a change that only occurs in a portion of panels. After a common change is detected by using a combined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-05 Yanhong Wu

Change point detection in covariance structures is a fundamental and crucial problem for sequential data. Under the high-dimensional setting, most of the existing research has focused on identifying change points in historical data.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Zhigang Bao , Kha Man Cheong , Yuji Li , Jiaxin Qiu

Changepoints are a very common feature of Big Data that arrive in the form of a data stream. In this paper, we study high-dimensional time series in which, at certain time points, the mean structure changes in a sparse subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-21 Tengyao Wang , Richard J. Samworth

Anomaly detection is a field of intense research. Identifying low probability events in data/images is a challenging problem given the high-dimensionality of the data, especially when no (or little) information about the anomaly is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 José A. Padrón-Hidalgo , Valero Laparra , Gustau Camps-Valls

To detect a changed segment (so called epidemic changes) in a time series, variants of the CUSUM statistic are frequently used. However, they are sensitive to outliers in the data and do not perform well for heavy tailed data, especially…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-20 Alfredas Račkauskas , Martin Wendler