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We develop a constant-tracking likelihood theory for two nonregular models: the folded normal and finite Gaussian mixtures. For the folded normal, we prove boundary coercivity for the profiled likelihood, show that the profile path of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-02 Koustav Mallik

Assume one observes independent categorical variables or, equivalently, one observes the corresponding multinomial variables. Estimating the distribution of the observed sequence amounts to estimating the expectation of the multinomial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-15 C. Durot , E. Lebarbier , A. -S. Tocquet

We consider the estimation of high-dimensional network structures from partially observed Markov random field data using a penalized pseudo-likelihood approach. We fit a misspecified model obtained by ignoring the missing data problem. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-16 Yves F. Atchade

Consider a probability measure supported by a regular geodesic ball in a manifold. For any p larger than or equal to 1 we define a stochastic algorithm which converges almost surely to the p-mean of the measure. Assuming furthermore that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Marc Arnaudon , Clément Dombry , Anthony Phan , Le Yang

We develop a penalized likelihood estimation framework to estimate the structure of Gaussian Bayesian networks from observational data. In contrast to recent methods which accelerate the learning problem by restricting the search space, our…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-24 Bryon Aragam , Qing Zhou

This paper focuses on exploring the sparsity of the inverse covariance matrix $\bSigma^{-1}$, or the precision matrix. We form blocks of parameters based on each off-diagonal band of the Cholesky factor from its modified Cholesky…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-05-27 Clifford Lam

The Skolem problem and the related Positivity problem for linear recurrence sequences are outstanding number-theoretic problems whose decidability has been open for many decades. In this paper, the inherent mathematical difficulty of a…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Jakob Piribauer , Christel Baier

Empirical likelihood is a powerful semi-parametric method increasingly investigated in the literature. However, most authors essentially focus on an i.i.d. setting. In the case of dependent data, the classical empirical likelihood method…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-17 Hugo Harari-Kermadec

In many empirical studies of a large two-sided matching market (such as in a college admissions problem), the researcher performs statistical inference under the assumption that they observe a random sample from a large matching market. In…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-02 Jacob Schwartz , Kyungchul Song

Scaled type Markov renewal processes generalize classical renewal processes: renewal times come from a one parameter family of probability laws and the sequence of the parameters is the trajectory of an ergodic Markov chain. Our primary…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Zsolt Pajor-Gyulai , Domokos Szász

We consider Markov decision processes where the state of the chain is only given at chosen observation times and of a cost. Optimal strategies involve the optimisation of observation times as well as the subsequent action values. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Christoph Reisinger , Jonathan Tam

If the log likelihood is approximately quadratic with constant Hessian, then the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is approximately normally distributed. No other assumptions are required. We do not need independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-06 Charles J. Geyer

This paper introduces a graph-based algorithm for solving single-item, single-location inventory lot-sizing problems under non-stationary stochastic demand using the $(R_t, S_t)$ policy and a penalty cost scheme. The proposed method relaxes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Xiyuan Ma , Roberto Rossi , Thomas Archibald

Sparse reconstruction approaches using the re-weighted l1-penalty have been shown, both empirically and theoretically, to provide a significant improvement in recovering sparse signals in comparison to the l1-relaxation. However, numerical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-06 Dmitry Malioutov , Aleksandr Aravkin

Suppose the edges of the complete graph on $n$ vertices are assigned a uniformly chosen random ordering. Let $X$ denote the corresponding number of Hamiltonian paths that are increasing in this ordering. It was shown in a recent paper by…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-09 Anders Martinsson

We consider the problem of estimation of a covariance matrix for Gaussian data in a high dimensional setting. Existing approaches include maximum likelihood estimation under a pre-specified sparsity pattern, l_1-penalized loglikelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-04 Luca Cibinel , Alberto Roverato , Veronica Vinciotti

Information theoretic criteria (ITC) have been widely adopted in engineering and statistics for selecting, among an ordered set of candidate models, the one that better fits the observed sample data. The selected model minimizes a penalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Andrea Mariani , Andrea Giorgetti , Marco Chiani

In this paper we consider high-dimensional multiclass classification by sparse multinomial logistic regression. We propose first a feature selection procedure based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-20 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein , Tomer Levy

This paper is devoted to studying the average optimality in continuous-time Markov decision processes with fairly general state and action spaces. The criterion to be maximized is expected average rewards. The transition rates of underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xianping Guo , Ulrich Rieder

Let X,X_1,X_2,... be independent identically distributed random variables and let h(x,y)=h(y,x) be a measurable function of two variables. It is shown that the bounded law of the iterated logarithm, $\limsup_n (n\log\log n)^{-1}|\sum_{1<=…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Evarist Giné , Stanisław Kwapień , Rafał Latała , Joel Zinn
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