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We consider the prediction problem of a continuous-time stochastic process on an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past. The approach we adopt is based on functional kernel nonparametric regression estimation techniques where…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Anestis Antoniadis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

We propose a classical, i.e., local-real physical model of processes underlying EPR experiments. The model leads to the prediction, that the visibility of the output signal will exhibit increasing variation as the coincidence window is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 A. F. Kracklauer

We introduce the local composite quantile regression (LCQR) to causal inference in regression discontinuity (RD) designs. Kai et al. (2010) study the efficiency property of LCQR, while we show that its nice boundary performance translates…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-02 Xiao Huang , Zhaoguo Zhan

Formation of stationary localized states in one-dimensional chain as well as in a Cayley tree due to a linear impurity and a nonlinear impurity is studied. Furthermore, a one-dimensional chain with linear and nonlinear site energies at the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Bikash C. Gupta , Sang Bub Lee

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

Irregularly sampled time series data arise naturally in many application domains including biology, ecology, climate science, astronomy, and health. Such data represent fundamental challenges to many classical models from machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Satya Narayan Shukla , Benjamin M. Marlin

The aim of this paper is to provide a comprehensive study of some linear nonlocal diffusion problems in metric measure spaces. These include, for example, open subsets in $\mathbb{R}^N$, graphs, manifolds, multi-structures or some fractal…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-12-18 Aníbal Rodríguez-Bernal , Silvia Sastre-Gómez

Quantile regression provides a framework for modeling statistical quantities of interest other than the conditional mean. The regression methodology is well developed for linear models, but less so for nonparametric models. We consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Mi-Ok Kim

We consider the kernel partial least squares algorithm for non-parametric regression with stationary dependent data. Probabilistic convergence rates of the kernel partial least squares estimator to the true regression function are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Marco Singer , Tatyana Krivobokova , Axel Munk

This paper proposes linear estimation methods for dynamic fixed effects logit models only with time effects (i.e., those only with time dummies and only with time trends). The linear estimators point-identify transformations of parameters…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Yoshitsugu Kitazawa

Central limit theorems play an important role in the study of statistical inference for stochastic processes. However, when the nonparametric local polynomial threshold estimator, especially local linear case, is employed to estimate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Yuping Song , Hanchao Wang

In this paper, we introduce quantile coherency to measure general dependence structures emerging in the joint distribution in the frequency domain and argue that this type of dependence is natural for economic time series but remains…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-12-31 Jozef Baruník , Tobias Kley

Local scale invariance (LSI) has been recently proposed as a possible extension of the dynamical scaling in systems at the critical point and during phase ordering. LSI has been applied inter alia to provide predictions for the scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 Michel Pleimling , Andrea Gambassi

The usable limits of the customary and relaxational filtrational theories are considered. The questions of applicable the locality and local thermodynamical equilibrium principles to depict the nonstationary flows are discussed. The…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 M. N. Ovchinnikov

In this paper we provide a local well posedness result for a quasilinear beam-wave system of equations on a one-dimensional spatial domain under periodic and Dirichlet boundary conditions. This kind of systems provides a refined model for…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Roberto Feola , Filippo Giuliani , Felice Iandoli , Jessica Elisa Massetti

Count time series are widely encountered in practice. As with continuous valued data, many count series have seasonal properties. This paper uses a recent advance in stationary count time series to develop a general seasonal count time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Jiajie Kong , Robert Lund

Assessment of the degree of boundedness/stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent and nonperiodic coefficients is an important problem in various applied areas which has no adequate resolution yet. Most of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Mark A. Pinsky

This article deals with adaptive nonparametric estimation for L\'evy processes observed at low frequency. For general linear functionals of the L\'evy measure, we construct kernel estimators, provide upper risk bounds and derive rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Johanna Kappus

Recent lightweight MLP-based models have achieved strong performance in time series forecasting by capturing stable trends and seasonal patterns. However, their effectiveness hinges on an implicit assumption of local stationarity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Zhiyu Chen , Minhao Liu , Yanru Zhang

Locally stationary Hawkes processes have been introduced in order to generalise classical Hawkes processes away from stationarity by allowing for a time-varying second-order structure. This class of self-exciting point processes has…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 François Roueff , Rainer Von Sachs