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Real-world visual data often exhibits a long-tailed distribution, where some ''head'' classes have a large number of samples, yet only a few samples are available for ''tail'' classes. Such imbalanced distribution causes a great challenge…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-11 Junjie Zhang , Lingqiao Liu , Peng Wang , Chunhua Shen

The response time of physical computational elements is finite, and neurons are no exception. In hierarchical models of cortical networks each layer thus introduces a response lag. This inherent property of physical dynamical systems…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-28 Paul Haider , Benjamin Ellenberger , Laura Kriener , Jakob Jordan , Walter Senn , Mihai A. Petrovici

The proliferation of Large Language Models (LLMs) necessitates valid evaluation methods to guide downstream applications and actionable future improvements. The Item Response Theory (IRT) has recently emerged as a promising framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-12 Zhiyu Xu , Jia Liu , Yixin Wang , Yuqi Gu

Previous approaches to turn-taking and response generation in conversational systems have treated it as a two-stage process: First, the end of a turn is detected (based on conversation history), then the system generates an appropriate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Bing'er Jiang , Erik Ekstedt , Gabriel Skantze

In outlier hypothesis testing, one aims to detect outlying sequences among a given set of sequences, where most sequences are generated i.i.d. from a nominal distribution while outlying sequences (outliers) are generated i.i.d. from a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-10 Lina Zhu , Lin Zhou

We propose a mean functional which exists for any probability distributions, and which characterizes the Pareto distribution within the set of distributions with finite left endpoint. This is in sharp contrast to the mean excess plot which…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Bernhard Klar

Inhomogeneous temporal processes, like those appearing in human communications, neuron spike trains, and seismic signals, consist of high-activity bursty intervals alternating with long low-activity periods. In recent studies such bursty…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-12-01 Márton Karsai , Kimmo Kaski , Albert-László Barabási , János Kertész

Large language models cannot estimate how long their own tasks take. We investigate this limitation through four experiments across 68 tasks and four model families. Pre-task estimates overshoot actual duration by 4--7$\times$ ($p <…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Aniketh Garikaparthi

In the real world, a learning system could receive an input that is unlike anything it has seen during training. Unfortunately, out-of-distribution samples can lead to unpredictable behaviour. We need to know whether any given input belongs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Alireza Shafaei , Mark Schmidt , James J. Little

In robotic systems, perception latency is a term that refers to the computing time measured from the data acquisition to the moment in which perception output is ready to be used to compute control commands. There is a compromise between…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-25 Rodrigo Aldana-López , Rosario Aragüés , Carlos Sagüés

Whole robustness is a nice property to have for statistical models. It implies that the impact of outliers gradually vanishes as they approach plus or minus infinity. So far, the Bayesian literature provides results that ensure whole…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Alain Desgagné , Philippe Gagnon

We propose new analytical tools for describing growth-rate distributions generated by stationary time-series. Our analysis shows how deviations from normality are not pathological behaviour, as suggested by some traditional views, but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-01 Edgardo Brigatti

While LLMs have seen substantial improvement in reasoning capabilities, they also sometimes overthink, generating unnecessary reasoning steps, particularly under uncertainty, given ill-posed or ambiguous queries. We introduce statistically…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yangxinyu Xie , Tao Wang , Soham Mallick , Yan Sun , Georgy Noarov , Mengxin Yu , Tanwi Mallick , Weijie J. Su , Edgar Dobriban

We empirically study the activity patterns of individual blog-posting and find significant memory effects. The memory coefficient first decays in a power law and then turns to an exponential form. Moreover, the inter-event time distribution…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-11-03 Peng Wang , Tao Zhou , Xiao-Pu Han , Bing-Hong Wang

We investigate the dynamics of the majority-rule opinion formation model when voters experience differential latencies. With this extension, voters that just adopted an opinion go into a latent state during which they are excluded from the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-17 Alexander Scheidler

The literature of heavy tails (typically) starts with a random walk and finds mechanisms that lead to fat tails under aggregation. We follow the inverse route and show how starting with fat tails we get to thin-tails when deriving the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-07-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

How to estimate the uncertainty of a given model is a crucial problem. Current calibration techniques treat different classes equally and thus implicitly assume that the distribution of training data is balanced, but ignore the fact that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-14 Jiahao Chen , Bing Su

Latent learning, classically theorized by Tolman, shows that biological agents (e.g., rats) can acquire internal representations of their environment without rewards, enabling rapid adaptation once rewards are introduced. In contrast, from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Jian Xiong , Jingbo Zhou , Zihan Zhou , Yixiong Xiao , Le Zhang , Jingyong Ye , Rui Qian , Yang Zhou , Dejing Dou

Off-policy learning ability is an important feature of reinforcement learning (RL) for practical applications. However, even one of the most elementary RL algorithms, temporal-difference (TD) learning, is known to suffer form divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Han-Dong Lim , Donghwan Lee

Animals and humans make decisions based on their expected outcomes. Since relevant outcomes are often delayed, perceiving delays and choosing between earlier versus later rewards (intertemporal decision-making) is an essential component of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-21 Vijay Mohan K Namboodiri , Stefan Mihalas , Tanya Marton , Marshall G Hussain Shuler