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This work extends a previous work in regime detection, which allowed trading positions to be profitably adjusted when a new regime was detected, to ex ante prediction of regimes, leading to substantial performance improvements over the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

When attempting to recover functions from observational data, one naturally seeks to do so in an optimal manner with respect to some modeling assumption. With a focus put on the worst-case setting, this is the standard goal of Optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-02 Mahmood Ettehad , Simon Foucart

Coreference evaluation metrics are hard to optimize directly as they are non-differentiable functions, not easily decomposable into elementary decisions. Consequently, most approaches optimize objectives only indirectly related to the end…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-06-23 Phong Le , Ivan Titov

We consider parametrized linear-quadratic optimal control problems and provide their online-efficient solutions by combining greedy reduced basis methods and machine learning algorithms. To this end, we first extend the greedy control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-31 Hendrik Kleikamp , Martin Lazar , Cesare Molinari

We propose a novel framework to solve risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) problems where the agent optimises time-consistent dynamic spectral risk measures. Based on the notion of conditional elicitability, our methodology constructs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-02 Anthony Coache , Sebastian Jaimungal , Álvaro Cartea

Optimal design under uncertainty has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows the analyst…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-13 V. Dubourg , J. -M. Bourinet , B. Sudret

We present an actor-critic framework for MDPs where the objective is the variance-adjusted expected return. Our critic uses linear function approximation, and we extend the concept of compatible features to the variance-adjusted setting. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-15 Aviv Tamar , Shie Mannor

We propose a framework that aligns Conditional Average Treatment Effect (CATE) estimation with profit maximization. Our method recognizes that, for customers with extreme treatment effects, additional estimation accuracy is unlikely to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Artem Timoshenko , Caio Waisman

Many real-world applications are characterized by a number of conflicting performance measures. As optimizing in a multi-objective setting leads to a set of non-dominated solutions, a preference function is required for selecting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Audrey Durand , Christian Gagné

We work towards a unifying paradigm for accelerating policy optimization methods in reinforcement learning (RL) by integrating foresight in the policy improvement step via optimistic and adaptive updates. Leveraging the connection between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-07 Veronica Chelu , Tom Zahavy , Arthur Guez , Doina Precup , Sebastian Flennerhag

Consider a problem where a set of feasible observations are provided by an expert and a cost function is defined that characterizes which of the observations dominate the others and are hence, preferred. Our goal is to find a set of linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Kimia Ghobadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh

This paper studies optimal control under the average-reward/cost criterion for deterministic linear systems. We derive the value function and optimal policy, and propose an approximate solution using Model Predictive Control to enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Duc Cuong Nguyen

Efficient global optimization is the problem of minimizing an unknown function f, using as few evaluations f(x) as possible. It can be considered as a continuum-armed bandit problem, with noiseless data and simple regret. Expected…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-19 Adam D. Bull

Reinforcement learning has been explored for many problems, from video games with deterministic environments to portfolio and operations management in which scenarios are stochastic; however, there have been few attempts to test these…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-19 Sherly Alfonso-Sánchez , Jesús Solano , Alejandro Correa-Bahnsen , Kristina P. Sendova , Cristián Bravo

We consider the problem of training probabilistic conditional random fields (CRFs) in the context of a task where performance is measured using a specific loss function. While maximum likelihood is the most common approach to training CRFs,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Maksims N. Volkovs , Hugo Larochelle , Richard S. Zemel

We consider the problem of predicting values of a random process or field satisfying a linear model $y(x)=\theta^\top f(x) + \varepsilon(x)$, where errors $\varepsilon(x)$ are correlated. This is a common problem in kriging, where the case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Holger Dette , Andrey Pepelyshev , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

In the context of advertising auctions, finding good reserve prices is a notoriously challenging learning problem. This is due to the heterogeneity of ad opportunity types and the non-convexity of the objective function. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-07 Andrés Muñoz Medina , Sergei Vassilvitskii

In order to model risk aversion in reinforcement learning, an emerging line of research adapts familiar algorithms to optimize coherent risk functionals, a class that includes conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). Because optimizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Audrey Huang , Liu Leqi , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

We consider the problem of the optimization of bidding strategies in prior-dependent revenue-maximizing auctions, when the seller fixes the reserve prices based on the bid distributions. Our study is done in the setting where one bidder is…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Thomas Nedelec , Noureddine El Karoui , Vianney Perchet

We consider the problem of chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function and satisfy constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The real world declinations of this problem are particularly…

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