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Many real-world systems problems require reasoning about the long term consequences of actions taken to configure and manage the system. These problems with delayed and often sequentially aggregated reward, are often inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-06 Ameer Haj-Ali , Nesreen K. Ahmed , Ted Willke , Joseph Gonzalez , Krste Asanovic , Ion Stoica

With computational models becoming more expensive and complex, surrogate models have gained increasing attention in many scientific disciplines and are often necessary to conduct sensitivity studies, parameter optimization etc. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 Matthias Fischer , Carsten Proppe

Kriging-based surrogate models have become very popular during the last decades to approximate a computer code output from few simulations. In practical applications, it is very common to sequentially add new simulations to obtain more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-31 Loic Le Gratiet , Claire Cannamela

Many real-world optimization problems require significant resources for objective function evaluations. This is a challenge to evolutionary algorithms, as it limits the number of available evaluations. One solution are surrogate models,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-07-04 Martin Zaefferer , Daniel Horn

Explicitly accounting for uncertainties is paramount to the safety of engineering structures. Optimization which is often carried out at the early stage of the structural design offers an ideal framework for this task. When the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 M. Moustapha , A. Galimshina , G. Habert , B. Sudret

This paper considers the decision-dependent optimization problem, where the data distributions react in response to decisions affecting both the objective function and linear constraints. We propose a new method termed repeated projected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Zifan Wang , Changxin Liu , Thomas Parisini , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

A methodology that seeks to enhance model prediction performance is presented. The method involves generating multiple auxiliary models that capture relationships between attributes as a function of each other. Such information serves to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Francisco Javier Lobo-Cabrera

For estimation and predictions of random fields it is increasingly acknowledged that the kriging variance may be a poor representative of true uncertainty. Experimental designs based on more elaborate criteria that are appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-15 Werner G. Müller , Luc Pronzato , Joao Rendas , Helmut Waldl

To date, the multi-objective optimization literature has mainly focused on conflicting objectives, studying the Pareto front, or requiring users to balance tradeoffs. Yet, in machine learning practice, there are many scenarios where such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Yonathan Efroni , Ben Kretzu , Daniel Jiang , Jalaj Bhandari , Zheqing , Zhu , Karen Ullrich

The computational effort for the evaluation of numerical simulations based on e.g. the finite-element method is high. Metamodels can be utilized to create a low-cost alternative. However the number of required samples for the creation of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-15 Jan N. Fuhg

Gradient-enhanced Kriging (GE-Kriging) is a well-established surrogate modelling technique for approximating expensive computational models. However, it tends to get impractical for high-dimensional problems due to the size of the inherent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-05 Kai Cheng , Ralf Zimmermann

When deploying a single predictor across multiple subpopulations, we propose a fundamentally different approach: interpreting group fairness as a bargaining problem among subpopulations. This game-theoretic perspective reveals that existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Jiwoo Han , Moulinath Banerjee , Yuekai Sun

Exact Kriging and conditional simulation (CS) for uncertainty quantification are computationally infeasible for modern spatial analyses with large numbers of observations and dense prediction grids. We present a rapid approximation to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Ziyu Li , Gregory Fasshauer , Douglas Nychka

In this paper, we focus on developing efficient sensitivity analysis methods for a computationally expensive objective function $f(x)$ in the case that the minimization of it has just been performed. Here "computationally expensive" means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-02-24 Yilun Wang , Christine A. Shoemaker

Multi-fidelity Kriging model is a promising technique in surrogate-based design as it can balance the model accuracy and cost of sample preparation by fusing low- and high-fidelity data. However, the cost for building a multi-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Youwei He , Jinliang Luo

A non-Euclidean generalization of conditional expectation is introduced and characterized as the minimizer of expected intrinsic squared-distance from a manifold-valued target. The computational tractable formulation expresses the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-07 Anastasis Kratsios , Cody B. Hyndman

In this paper, we investigate the capability of the universal Kriging (UK) model for single-objective global optimization applied within an efficient global optimization (EGO) framework. We implemented this combined UK-EGO framework and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-26 Pramudita Satria Palar , Koji Shimoyama

We study the optimization of the expected long-term reward in finite partially observable Markov decision processes over the set of stationary stochastic policies. In the case of deterministic observations, also known as state aggregation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-18 Mareike Dressler , Marina Garrote-López , Guido Montúfar , Johannes Müller , Kemal Rose

Goal oriented error estimation and adaptive procedures are essential for the accurate and efficient evaluation of numerical simulations that involve complex domains. By locally improving the approximation quality we can solve expensive…

In this paper, we study a retailer price optimization problem which includes the practical constraints: maximum number of price changes and minimum amount of price change (if a change is recommended). We provide a closed-form formula for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-21 Xiaojie Wang , Hsin-Chan Huang , Lanshan Han , Alvin Lim