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(l) I have enough evidence to render the sentence S probable. (la) So, relative to what I know, it is rational of me to believe S. (2) Now that I have more evidence, S may no longer be probable. (2a) So now, relative to what I know, it is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-26 Henry E. Kyburg

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Massimiliano Goldwurm , Claudio Macci , Marco Vignati , Elena Villa

A meromorphic transform between complex manifolds is a surjective mutivalued map with an analytic graph. Let $F_n$ be a sequence of meromorphic transforms from a compact Kahler manifold X into compact Kahler manifolds X_n. We give…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 T. C. Dinh , N. Sibony

Language models (LMs) estimate a probability distribution over strings in a natural language; these distributions are crucial for computing perplexity and surprisal in linguistics research. While we are usually concerned with measuring…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-10-15 Tiago Pimentel , Clara Meister

Let $l$ and $m$ be two integers with $l>m\ge 0$, and let $a$ and $b$ be integers with $a\ge 1$ and $a+b\ge 1$. In this paper, we prove that $\log {\rm lcm}_{mn<i\le ln}\{ai+b\} =An+o(n)$, where $A$ is a constant depending on $l, m$ and $a$.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-04-26 Guoyou Qian , Shaofang Hong

We focus on the statistics of word occurrences and of the waiting times between such occurrences in Blogs. Due to the heterogeneity of words' frequencies, the empirical analysis is performed by studying classes of "frequently-equivalent"…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-09-25 R. Lambiotte , M. Ausloos , M. Thelwall

We deal with countable alphabet locally compact random subshifts of finite type (the latter merely meaning that the symbol space is generated by an incidence matrix) under the absence of Big Images Property and under the absence of uniform…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-09-02 Volker Mayer , Mariusz Urbanski

In this paper the elicitation of probabilities from human experts is considered as a measurement process, which may be disturbed by random 'measurement noise'. Using Bayesian concepts a second order probability distribution is derived…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Gerhard Paaß

Smooth linear statistics of random permutation matrices, sampled under a general Ewens distribution, exhibit an interesting non-universality phenomenon. Though they have bounded variance, their fluctuations are asymptotically non-Gaussian…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-13 Gérard Ben Arous , Kim Dang

As inductive inference and machine learning methods in computer science see continued success, researchers are aiming to describe ever more complex probabilistic models and inference algorithms. It is natural to ask whether there is a…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Nathanael L. Ackerman , Cameron E. Freer , Daniel M. Roy

For $0<q<1$, let $Maj$ be the distribution on the symmetric group $S_n$ such that a permutation $\pi \in S_n$ is selected with probability proportional to $q^{maj(\pi)}$. The distribution has connections to $q$-Plancherel measure. We…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-01-23 Michael Coopman

In a bag-of-words model, the senses of a word with multiple meanings, e.g. "bank" (used either in a river-bank or an institution sense), are represented as probability distributions over context words, and sense prevalence is represented as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Schyan Zafar , Geoff Nicholls

We review approaches to statistical inference based on randomization. Permutation tests are treated as an important special case. Under a certain group invariance property, referred to as the ``randomization hypothesis,'' randomization…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-05 David M. Ritzwoller , Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

In this paper we compare and contrast the behavior of the posterior predictive distribution to the risk of the maximum a posteriori estimator for the random features regression model in the overparameterized regime. We will focus on the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-30 Youngsoo Baek , Samuel I. Berchuck , Sayan Mukherjee

For a phenomenon $\boldsymbol{f}$ that is a function of $n$ factors, defined on a finite abelian group $G$, we derive its population statistics solely from its Fourier transform $\hat{\boldsymbol{f}}$. Our main result is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Matthew A. Herman , Stephen Doro

We study the length of cycles of random permutations drawn from the Mallows distribution. Under this distribution, the probability of a permutation $\pi \in \mathbb{S}_n$ is proportional to $q^{\textrm{inv}(\pi)}$ where $0<q\le 1$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-12 Alexey Gladkich , Ron Peled

In this paper, we develop a non-asymptotic local normal approximation for multinomial probabilities. First, we use it to find non-asymptotic total variation bounds between the measures induced by uniformly jittered multinomials and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Eric Bax , Frédéric Ouimet

In this paper, we establish the first and the second-order asymptotics of distributions of normalized maxima of independent and non-identically distributed bivariate Gaussian triangular arrays, where each vector of the $n$th row follows…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-27 Xin Liao , Zuoxiang Peng

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

We discuss in detail the asymptotic distribution of sample expectiles. First, we show uniform consistency under the assumption of a finite mean. In case of a finite second moment, we show that for expectiles other then the mean, only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-14 Hajo Holzmann , Bernhard Klar