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Variational inference algorithms such as belief propagation have had tremendous impact on our ability to learn and use graphical models, and give many insights for developing or understanding exact and approximate inference. However,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Qiang Liu , Alexander T. Ihler

In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Yu Luo , David A. Stephens , Daniel J. Graham , Emma J. McCoy

This paper considers a single-trajectory system identification problem for linear systems under general nonlinear and/or time-varying policies with i.i.d. random excitation noises. The problem is motivated by safe learning-based control for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Yingying Li , Tianpeng Zhang , Subhro Das , Jeff Shamma , Na Li

Hypothesis testing and other statistical inference procedures are most efficient when a reliable low-dimensional parametric family can be specified. We propose a method that learns such a family when one exists but its form is not known a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 William Fithian , Daniel Ting

We consider the problem of goodness-of-fit testing for a model that has at least one unknown parameter that cannot be eliminated by transformation. Examples of such problems can be as simple as testing whether a sample consists of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-28 Sean van der Merwe

The Derivative-free nonlinear Kalman Filter is proposed for state estimation and fault diagnosis in distributed parameter systems and particularly in dynamical systems described by partial differential equations of the nonlinear wave type.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-11-05 Gerasimos G. Rigatos

Reliable predictions from systems biology models require knowing whether parameters can be estimated from available data, and with what certainty. Identifiability analysis reveals whether parameters are learnable in principle (structural…

Disturbance noises are always bounded in a practical system, while fusion estimation is to best utilize multiple sensor data containing noises for the purpose of estimating a quantity--a parameter or process. However, few results are…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-20 Bo Chen , Guoqiang Hu , Daniel W. C. Ho , Li Yu

We propose a new approach for propagating stable probability distributions through neural networks. Our method is based on local linearization, which we show to be an optimal approximation in terms of total variation distance for the ReLU…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Felix Petersen , Aashwin Mishra , Hilde Kuehne , Christian Borgelt , Oliver Deussen , Mikhail Yurochkin

With the wide adoption of machine learning techniques, requirements have evolved beyond sheer high performance, often requiring models to be trustworthy. A common approach to increase the trustworthiness of such systems is to allow them to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Andrea Pugnana , Carlos Mougan , Dan Saattrup Nielsen

This paper proposes a new algorithm for linear system identification from noisy measurements. The proposed algorithm balances a data fidelity term with a norm induced by the set of single pole filters. We pose a convex optimization problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Parikshit Shah , Badri Narayan Bhaskar , Gongguo Tang , Benjamin Recht

Neural nets have become popular to accelerate parameter inferences, especially for the upcoming generation of galaxy surveys in cosmology. As neural nets are approximative by nature, a recurrent question has been how to propagate the neural…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-25 Daniela Grandón , Elena Sellentin

Spurred on by recent successes in causal inference competitions, Bayesian nonparametric (and high-dimensional) methods have recently seen increased attention in the causal inference literature. In this paper, we present a comprehensive…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Antonio R. Linero , Joseph L. Antonelli

This paper proposes a hierarchical, multi-resolution framework for the identification of model parameters and their spatially variability from noisy measurements of the response or output. Such parameters are frequently encountered in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 P. S. Koutsourelakis

The ability to detect when a system undergoes an incipient fault is of paramount importance in preventing a critical failure. Classic methods for fault detection (including model-based and data-driven approaches) rely on thresholding error…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Camilo Ramírez , Jorge F. Silva , Ferhat Tamssaouet , Tomás Rojas , Marcos E. Orchard

A numerically efficient inverse method for parametric model uncertainty identification using maximum likelihood estimation is presented. The goal is to identify a probability model for a fixed number of model parameters based on a set of…

Modularity based community detection encompasses a number of widely used, efficient heuristics for identification of structure in networks. Recently, a belief propagation approach to modularity optimization provided a useful guide for…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-03-22 William H. Weir , Benjamin Walker , Lenka Zdeborová , Peter J. Mucha

Pursuing invariant prediction from heterogeneous environments opens the door to learning causality in a purely data-driven way and has several applications in causal discovery and robust transfer learning. However, existing methods such as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Yihong Gu , Cong Fang , Yang Xu , Zijian Guo , Jianqing Fan

Nearly all identifiability results in unsupervised representation learning inspired by, e.g., independent component analysis, factor analysis, and causal representation learning, rely on assumptions of additive independent noise or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-24 Yujia Zheng , Yang Liu , Jiaxiong Yao , Yingyao Hu , Kun Zhang

The problem of belief tracking in the presence of stochastic actions and observations is pervasive and yet computationally intractable. In this work we show however that probabilistic beliefs can be maintained in factored form exactly and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Blai Bonet , Hector Geffner
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