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The act of a person juggling can be viewed as a Markov process if we assume that the juggler throws to random heights. I make this association for the simplest reasonable model of random juggling and compute the steady state probabilities…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gregory S. Warrington

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

In this paper we find an upper bound for the probability that a $3$ dimensional simple random walk covers each point in a nearest neighbor path connecting 0 and the boundary of an $L_1$ ball of radius $N$. For $d\ge 4$, it has been shown in…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-12 Eviatar B. Procaccia , Yuan Zhang

It is shown that the log-likelihood of a hypothesis or model given some data is equivalent to an average of all leave-one-out cross-validation log-scores that can be calculated from all subsets of the data. This relation can be generalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-26 PierGianLuca Porta Mana

This article deals with localization probability in a network of randomly distributed communication nodes contained in a bounded domain. A fraction of the nodes denoted as L-nodes are assumed to have localization information while the rest…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2016-11-17 F. Daneshgaran , Massimiliano Laddomada , M. Mondin

A multiplicative stochastic process with the lower bound lognormally distributed is investigated. For the process, the model is constructed, and its distribution function (involving four parameters) and the related statistical properties…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-19 Ken Yamamoto , Yoshihiro Yamazaki

In this article we present an algorithm to compute bounds on the marginals of a graphical model. For several small clusters of nodes upper and lower bounds on the marginal values are computed independently of the rest of the network. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-27 B. Kappen , M. Leisink

In this paper we study approximations for boundary crossing probabilities for the moving sums of i.i.d. normal random variables. We propose approximating a discrete time problem with a continuous time problem allowing us to apply developed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-30 Jack Noonan , Anatoly Zhigljavsky

We compute profile likelihoods for a stochastic model of diffusive transport motivated by experimental observations of heat conduction in layered skin tissues. This process is modelled as a random walk in a layered one-dimensional material,…

In a graph, nodes can be characterized locally (with their degree $k$) or globally (e.g. with their average length path $\xi$ to other nodes). Here we investigate how $\xi$ depends on $k$. Our earlier algorithm of the construction of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Malarz , K. Kulakowski

Waves propagate through disordered systems in a variety of regimes. There is a threshold of disorder beyond which waves become localized and transport becomes restricted. The intensity I of the wave transmitted through a system has a…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Gabriel A. Cwilich , Fredy R. Zypman

We study different ways of determining the mean distance $ < r_n >$ between a reference point and its $n$-th neighbour among random points distributed with uniform density in a $D$-dimensional Euclidean space. First we present a heuristic…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pratip Bhattacharyya , Bikas K. Chakrabarti

An often-cited fact regarding mixing or mixture distributions is that their density functions are able to approximate the density function of any unknown distribution to arbitrary degrees of accuracy, provided that the mixing or mixture…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-03-05 Hien D. Nguyen , Geoffrey J. McLachlan

The average node-to-node distance of scale-free graphs depends logarithmically on N, the number of nodes, while the probability distribution function (pdf) of the distances may take various forms. Here we analyze these by considering…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Gabor Szabo , Mikko Alava , Janos Kertesz

We consider the task of estimating a network cascade as fast as possible. The cascade is assumed to spread according to a general Susceptible-Infected process with heterogeneous transmission rates from an unknown source in the network.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-13 Anirudh Sridhar , Tirza Routtenberg , H. Vincent Poor

Probability estimation is one of the fundamental tasks in statistics and machine learning. However, standard methods for probability estimation on discrete objects do not handle object structure in a satisfactory manner. In this paper, we…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-06 Cheng Zhang , Frederick A. Matsen

We propose and analyze a generalized splitting method to sample approximately from a distribution conditional on the occurrence of a rare event. This has important applications in a variety of contexts in operations research, engineering,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-10 Zdravko I. Botev , Pierre L'Ecuyer

The random walk with hyperbolic probabilities that we are introducing is an example of stochastic diffusion in a one-dimensional heterogeneous media. Although driven by site-dependent one-step transition probabilities, the process retains…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-03 Miquel Montero

This paper is an overview of the classical level crossing problem which is studied extensively in the literature and is fundamental in many branches of applied probability. We discuss a number of approximations with an emphasis on their…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Vsevolod Malinovskii

This article presents some interesting and novel results concerning the average modulus of random polynomials on the unit circle and the unit disc, with coefficients distributed as standard normal variates. The paper also introduces new…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Sajad A. Sheikh , Mohd. Ibrahim Mir