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Related papers: A Discussion on Mean Excess Plots

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Various forms of Mean Value Theorems are available in the literature. If we use Flett's Mean Value Theorem in Extended Generalized Mean Value Theorem then what would the new theorem look like. A sincere effort is done to develop this…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2016-04-26 Rupali Pandey , Sahadeo Padhye

Max-stable processes are increasingly widely used for modelling complex extreme events, but existing fitting methods are computationally demanding, limiting applications to a few dozen variables. $r$-Pareto processes are mathematically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-14 Raphaël de Fondeville , Anthony C. Davison

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In risk management, often the probability must be estimated that a random vector falls into an extreme failure set. In the framework of bivariate extreme value theory, we construct an estimator for such failure probabilities and analyze its…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-04 Holger Drees , Laurens de Haan

This chapter illustrates how tools from univariate and multivariate statistics of extremes can complement classical methods used to study brain signals and enhance the understanding of brain activity and connectivity during specific…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-16 Paolo V. Redondo , Matheus B. Guerrero , Raphaël Huser , Hernando Ombao

In most risk assessment studies, it is important to accurately capture the entire distribution of the multivariate random vector of interest from low to high values. For example, in climate sciences, low precipitation events may lead to…

Used to estimate the risk of an estimator or to perform model selection, cross-validation is a widespread strategy because of its simplicity and its apparent universality. Many results exist on the model selection performances of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-02-01 Sylvain Arlot , Alain Celisse

Panel data arise in a wide range of application areas, and developing modelling methods for extreme values under such a setup is essential for reliable risk assessment and management. When choosing to model the marginal distributions of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-19 Zefan Liu , Natalia Nolde

Empirical Bayes estimators are based on minimizing the average risk with the hyper-parameters in the weighting function being estimated from observed data. The performance of an empirical Bayes estimator is typically evaluated by its mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Yue Ju , Bo Wahlberg , Håkan Hjalmarsson

A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

In many applied fields, the prediction of more severe events than those already recorded is crucial for safeguarding against potential future calamities. What-if analyses, which evaluate hypothetical scenarios up to the worst-case event,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-08 Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

The study of multivariate extremes is dominated by multivariate regular variation, although it is well known that this approach does not provide adequate distinction between random vectors whose components are not always simultaneously…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-17 Natalia Nolde , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

This text discusses several popular explanatory methods that go beyond the error measurements and plots traditionally used to assess machine learning models. Some of the explanatory methods are accepted tools of the trade while others are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-02 Patrick Hall

Maximum-likelihood exponent maps have been studied as a technique to increase the understanding and improve the fit of power-law exponents to experimental and numerical simulation data, especially when they exhibit both upper and lower…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-07-02 Jordi Baró , Eduard Vives

Designs conditions for marine structures are typically informed by threshold-based extreme value analyses of oceanographic variables, in which excesses of a high threshold are modelled by a generalized Pareto (GP) distribution. Too low a…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-02 Paul Northrop , Nicolas Attalides , Philip Jonathan

Extreme value theory is concerned with probabilistic and statistical questions related to very high or very low values in sequences of random variables and in stochastic processes. The subject has a rich mathematical theory and also a long…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-31 Ali Saeb

We study the optimal decisions and equilibria of agents who aim to minimize their risks by allocating their positions over extremely heavy-tailed (i.e., infinite-mean) and possibly dependent losses. The loss distributions of our focus are…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Yuyu Chen , Paul Embrechts , Ruodu Wang

The Generalized Pareto Distribution (GPD) plays a central role in modelling heavy tail phenomena in many applications. Applying the GPD to actual datasets however is a non-trivial task. One common way suggested in the literature to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-08 Se Yoon Lee , Joseph H. T. Kim

An intriguing connection between extreme value statistics and traveling fronts has been found recently in a number of diverse problems. In this brief review we outline a few such problems and consider their various applications.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Satya N. Majumdar , P. L. Krapivsky

We theoretically and numerically investigated the threshold network model with a generic weight function where there were a large number of nodes and a high threshold. Our analysis was based on extreme value theory, which gave us a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-20 A. Fujihara , M. Uchida , H. Miwa