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We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

Predicting the winner of an election is of importance to multiple stakeholders. To formulate the problem, we consider an independent sequence of categorical data with a finite number of possible outcomes in each. The data is assumed to be…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy , Shubhabrata Das

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional nonhomogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-25 Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice , Manuele Onofri , Roberto Artuso

We consider a bilevel continuous knapsack problem where the leader controls the capacity of the knapsack, while the follower chooses a feasible packing maximizing his own profit. The leader's aim is to optimize a linear objective function…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Christoph Buchheim , Dorothee Henke , Jannik Irmai

Heavy-tailed phenomena appear across diverse domains --from wealth and firm sizes in economics to network traffic, biological systems, and physical processes-- characterized by the disproportionate influence of extreme values. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-10 Hamidreza Maleki Almani

The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

Since the introduction of strong anticipation by D.~Dubois the numerous investigations of concrete systems have been proposed. In proposed paper the new examples of discrete dynamical systems with anticipation are considered. The…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2019-08-22 Alexander Makarenko

Randomized experiments, or A/B testing, are the gold standard for evaluating interventions, yet they remain underutilized in inventory management. This study addresses this gap by analyzing A/B testing strategies in multi-item, multi-period…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xinqi Chen , Xingyu Bai , Zeyu Zheng , Nian Si

We consider a class of multiplicative processes which, added with stochastic reset events, give origin to stationary distributions with power-law tails -- ubiquitous in the statistics of social, economic, and ecological systems. Our main…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-26 Damián H. Zanette , Susanna Manrubia

We consider bilevel linear problems, where some parameters are stochastic, and the leader has to decide in a here-and-now fashion, while the follower has complete information. In this setting, the leader's outcome can be modeled by a random…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-01 J. Burtscheidt , M. Claus , S. Dempe

Large deviation inequalities for ergodic sums is an important subject since the seminal contribution of Bernstein for independent random variables with finite variances, followed by the Chernoff method and the Hoefding result for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Miguel Abadi

Joint models for longitudinal and survival data have gained a lot of attention in recent years, with the development of myriad extensions to the basic model, including those which allow for multivariate longitudinal data, competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-09 Katya Mauff , Ewout Steyerberg , Isabella Kardys , Eric Boersma , Dimitris Rizopoulos

In several different fields, there is interest in analyzing the upper or lower tail quantile of the underlying distribution rather than mean or center quantile. However, the investigation of the tail quantile is difficult because of data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Takuma Yoshida

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We propose and analyze a new estimator of the covariance matrix that admits strong theoretical guarantees under weak assumptions on the underlying distribution, such as existence of moments of only low order. While estimation of covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-17 Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Most extreme events in real life can be faithfully modeled as random realizations from a Generalized Pareto distribution, which depends on two parameters: the scale and the shape. In many actual situations, one is mostly concerned with the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Paul Rochet , Isabel Serra

The distribution of waiting times until the occurrence of a critical event is a crucial statistical problem across several disciplines in Science. In this work we present a statistical model in which a relevant quantity X accumulates until…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-12 Vivianne Olguín-Arias , Sergio Davis , Gonzalo Gutiérrez

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a flexible and useful model which has been used in several fields. In this paper, a new bimodal version of this distribution based on the alpha-skew-normal distribution is established. We discuss some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-27 Roberto Vila , Jeremias Leão , Helton Saulo , Mirza Nabeed , Manoel Santos-Neto

Lack of knowledge about the detailed many-particle motion on the microscopic scale is a key issue in any theoretical description of a macroscopic experiment. For systems at or close to thermal equilibrium, statistical mechanics provides a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-03 Peter Reimann

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag