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We consider a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) whose state space is partitioned into aggregates, and each aggregate is assigned a probability measure. A sufficient condition for defining a CTMC over the aggregates is presented as a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2013-03-21 Arnab Ganguly , Tatjana Petrov , Heinz Koeppl

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

The present work develops a construction of a CD category of partial kernels from a particular type of Markov category called a partializable Markov category. These are a generalization of earlier models of categories of partial morphisms…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-08 Areeb Shah Mohammed

The paper is concerned with approximating the distribution of a sum W of n integer valued random variables Y_i, whose distributions depend on the state of an underlying Markov chain X. The approximation is in terms of a translated Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-06 A. D. Barbour , Torgny Lindvall

We define the projected entropy S(T) at a given temperature T in the context of an Ising model transition matrix calculation as the entropy associated with the distribution of Markov chain realizations in energy-magnetization, E-H, space.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-17 David Yevick

We study the problem of learning the transition matrices of a set of Markov chains from a single stream of observations on each chain. We assume that the Markov chains are ergodic but otherwise unknown. The learner can sample Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-14 Mohammad Sadegh Talebi , Odalric-Ambrym Maillard

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

We extend the Markov chain tree theorem to general commutative semirings, and we generalize the state reduction algorithm to commutative semifields. This leads to a new universal algorithm, whose prototype is the state reduction algorithm…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Buket Benek Gursoy , Steve Kirkland , Oliver Mason , Sergei Sergeev

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We study distributions of meeting times for finite symmetric Markov chains. For Markov kernels defined on large state spaces which satisfy certain weak inhomogeneity in return probabilities of points up to large numbers of steps, we obtain…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-20 Yu-Ting Chen

We consider Markov chains which are polynomially mixing, in a weak sense expressed in terms of the space of functions on which the mixing speed is controlled. In this context, we prove polynomial large and moderate deviations inequalities.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-22 J Dedecker , Sébastien Gouëzel , F Merlevède

This paper deals with control of partially observable discrete-time stochastic systems. It introduces and studies Markov Decision Processes with Incomplete Information and with semi-uniform Feller transition probabilities. The important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-30 Eugene A. Feinberg , Pavlo O. Kasyanov , Michael Z. Zgurovsky

About two dozens of exactly solvable Markov chains on one-dimensional finite and semi-infinite integer lattices are constructed in terms of convolutions of orthogonality measures of the Krawtchouk, Hahn, Meixner, Charlier, $q$-Hahn,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-17 Satoru Odake , Ryu Sasaki

Randomization is a powerful technique to create robust controllers, in particular in partially observable settings. The degrees of randomization have a significant impact on the system performance, yet they are intricate to get right. The…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Linus Heck , Jip Spel , Sebastian Junges , Joshua Moerman , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We consider a Piecewise Deterministic Markov Process given by random switching between finitely many vector fields vanishing at $0$. It has been shown recently that the behaviour of this process is mainly determined by the signs of Lyapunov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Edouard Strickler

In this paper, we develop methods of nonlinear filtering and prediction of an unobservable Markov chain with a finite set of states. This Markov chain controls coefficients of AR(p) model. Using observations generated by AR(p) model we have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-10 Vasily Vasilyev , Alexander Dobrovidov

This paper studies various notions of approximate probabilistic bisimulation on labeled Markov chains (LMCs). We introduce approximate versions of weak and branching bisimulation, as well as a notion of $\varepsilon$-perturbed bisimulation…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Timm Spork , Christel Baier , Joost-Pieter Katoen , Jakob Piribauer , Tim Quatmann

We study the Markov chain on $\mathbf{F}_p$ obtained by applying a function $f$ and adding $\pm\gamma$ with equal probability. When $f$ is a linear function, this is the well-studied Chung--Diaconis--Graham process. We consider two cases:…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-08 Jimmy He

Consider a filtering process associated to a hidden Markov model with densities for which both the state space and the observation space are complete, separable, metric spaces. If the underlying, hidden Markov chain is strongly ergodic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Thomas Kaijser
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