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Recent experimental evidence [Gruji\'c et al., PLoS ONE 5, e13749 (2010)] on the spatial Prisoner's Dilemma suggests that players choosing to cooperate or not on the basis of their previous action and the actions of their neighbors coexist…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-18 Jelena Grujić , José A. Cuesta , Angel Sánchez

When the initial and transition probabilities of a finite Markov chain in discrete time are not well known, we should perform a sensitivity analysis. This is done by considering as basic uncertainty models the so-called credal sets that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Gert de Cooman , Filip Hermans , Erik Quaeghebeur

We consider a new class of non Markovian processes with a countable number of interacting components. At each time unit, each component can take two values, indicating if it has a spike or not at this precise moment. The system evolves as…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Antonio Galves , Eva Löcherbach

We study the problem of learning Markov decision processes with finite state and action spaces when the transition probability distributions and loss functions are chosen adversarially and are allowed to change with time. We introduce an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-03-14 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Peter L. Bartlett , Csaba Szepesvari

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Consider longitudinal networks whose edges turn on and off according to a discrete-time Markov chain with exponential-family transition probabilities. We characterize when their joint distributions are also exponential families with the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 William K. Schwartz , Sonja Petrović , Hemanshu Kaul

A statistical language model assigns probability to strings of arbitrary length. Unfortunately, it is not possible to gather reliable statistics on strings of arbitrary length from a finite corpus. Therefore, a statistical language model…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Eric Sven Ristad , Robert G. Thomas

Let us consider a pair signal-observation ((xn,yn),n 0) where the unobserved signal (xn) is a Markov chain and the observed component is such that, given the whole sequence (xn), the random variables (yn) are independent and the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mireille Chaleyat-Maurel , Valentine Genon-Catalot

A general theory is developed to study individual based models which are discrete in time. We begin by constructing a Markov chain model that converges to a one-dimensional map in the infinite population limit. Stochastic fluctuations are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-06-03 Joseph D. Challenger , Duccio Fanelli , Alan J. McKane

Modeling the time evolution of discrete sets of items (e.g., genetic mutations) is a fundamental problem in many biomedical applications. We approach this problem through the lens of continuous-time Markov chains, and show that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Alkis Gotovos , Rebekka Burkholz , John Quackenbush , Stefanie Jegelka

We study a geometrically constrained coalescence model derived from spin systems. Given two probability distributions $\mathbb{P}_R$ and $\mathbb{P}_B$ on the positive reals with finite means, colour the real line alternately with red and…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Paul Balister , Béla Bollobás , Jonathan Lee , Bhargav Narayanan

Consider several independent Poisson point processes on R^d, each with a different colour and perhaps a different intensity, and suppose we are given a set of allowed family types, each of which is a multiset of colours such as red-blue or…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-27 Gideon Amir , Omer Angel , Alexander E. Holroyd

We propose distributed algorithms for two well-established problems that operate efficiently under extremely harsh conditions. Our algorithms achieve state-of-the-art performance in a simple and novel way. Our algorithm for maximal…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-01-19 Peter Jeavons , Alex Scott , Lei Xu

In this article, we prove that a small random perturbation of dynamical system with multiple stable equilibria converges to a Markov chain whose states are neighborhoods of the deepest stable equilibria, under a suitable time-rescaling,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Fraydoun Rezakhanlou , Insuk Seo

This paper analyzes a (1, $\lambda$)-Evolution Strategy, a randomized comparison-based adaptive search algorithm, optimizing a linear function with a linear constraint. The algorithm uses resampling to handle the constraint. Two cases are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Alexandre Chotard , Anne Auger , Nikolaus Hansen

We consider a multilevel continuous time Markov chain $X(s;N) = (X_i^j(s;N): 1 \leq i \leq j \leq N)$, which is defined by means of Jack symmetric functions and forms a certain discretization of the multilevel Dyson Brownian motion. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-13 Evgeni Dimitrov , Panagiotis Lolas

Consider a graph G with n nodes and m edges, which represents a social network, and assume that initially each node is blue or white. In each round, all nodes simultaneously update their color to the most frequent color in their…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-02-15 Ahad N. Zehmakan

We study a spatial, one-shot prisoner's dilemma (PD) model in which selection operates on both an organism's behavioral strategy (cooperate or defect) and its choice of when to implement that strategy across a set of discrete time slots.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-01 Tim Johnson , Oleg Smirnov

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

A diffusion taking value in probability measures on a graph with a vertex set $V$, $\sum_{i\in V}x_i\delta_i$, is studied. The masses on each vertices satisfy the stochastic differential equation of the form $dx_i=\sum_{j\in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Shuhei Mano