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Over the past 10 years Bayesian methods have rapidly grown more popular as several computationally intensive statistical algorithms have become feasible with increased computer power. In this paper, we begin with a general description of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-19 David A. van Dyk , Alanna Connors , Vinay L. Kashyap , Aneta Siemiginowska

Two relativistic approaches to charged-current quasielastic neutrino-nucleus scattering are illustrated and compared: one is phenomenological and based on the superscaling behavior of electron scattering data and the other relies on the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2015-05-30 M. B. Barbaro , J. E. Amaro , J. A. Caballero , T. W. Donnelly , J. M. Udias

We present a novel approach using neural networks to recover X-ray spectral model parameters and quantify uncertainties, balancing accuracy and computational efficiency against traditional frequentist and Bayesian methods. Frequentist…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-09 A. Tutone , A. Anitra , E. Ambrosi , R. La Placa , A. D'Aì , C. Pinto , M. Del Santo , F. Pintore , A. Pagliaro , A. Anzalone , T. Di Salvo , R. Iaria , L. Burderi , A. Sanna

Importance sampling is used to approximate Bayes' rule in many computational approaches to Bayesian inverse problems, data assimilation and machine learning. This paper reviews and further investigates the required sample size for…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-03 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Zijian Wang

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\bm\theta$ of physical significance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

We propose a modification of a maximum likelihood procedure for tuning parameter values in models, based upon the comparison of their output to field data. Our methodology, which uses polynomial approximations of the sample space to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-07-03 Nusret Balci , Juan M. Restrepo , Shankar C. Venkataramani

Small-angle neutron scattering (SANS) is a powerful technique for probing the nanoscale structure of materials. However, the fundamental limitations of neutron flux pose significant challenges for rapid, high-fidelity data acquisition…

Predictions of nuclear properties far from measured data are inherently imprecise because of uncertainties in our knowledge of nuclear forces and in our treatment of quantum many-body effects in strongly-interacting systems. While the model…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2022-09-14 Rodrigo Navarro Perez , Nicolas Schunck

In this paper we propose a wavelet-based methodology for estimation and variable selection in partially linear models. The inference is conducted in the wavelet domain, which provides a sparse and localized decomposition appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-26 Norbert Remenyi

To accomplish correct Bayesian inference from weak lensing shear data requires a complete statistical description of the data. The natural framework to do this is a Bayesian Hierarchical Model, which divides the chain of reasoning into…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-18 Alan Heavens , Justin Alsing , Andrew Jaffe , Till Hoffmann , Alina Kiessling , Benjamin Wandelt

Measuring neutron star radii with spectroscopic and timing techniques relies on the combination of multiple observables to break the degeneracies between the mass and radius introduced by general relativistic effects. Here, we explore a…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2015-10-21 Feryal Ozel , Dimitrios Psaltis

A Bayesian network is a widely used probabilistic graphical model with applications in knowledge discovery and prediction. Learning a Bayesian network (BN) from data can be cast as an optimization problem using the well-known…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Zhenyu A. Liao , Charupriya Sharma , James Cussens , Peter van Beek

Parameter reconstructions are indispensable in metrology. Here, the objective is to to explain $K$ experimental measurements by fitting to them a parameterized model of the measurement process. The model parameters are regularly determined…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-10-17 Matthias Plock , Kas Andrle , Sven Burger , Philipp-Immanuel Schneider

A spectral approach to Bayesian inference is presented. It pursues the emulation of the posterior probability density. The starting point is a series expansion of the likelihood function in terms of orthogonal polynomials. From this…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-27 Joseph B. Nagel , Bruno Sudret

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Hermann G. Matthies , Elmar Zander , Bojana Rosic , Alexander Litvinenko

A widely used method to create a continuous representation of a discrete data-set is regression analysis. When the regression model is not based on a mathematical description of the physics underlying the data, heuristic techniques play a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-07-18 Giovanni Mana , Paolo Alberto Giuliano Albo , Simona Lago

A mathematical model is developed, to jointly analyze elastic and inelastic scattering data of fluctuating membranes within a single theoretical framework. The model builds on a non-homogeneously clipped time-dependent Gaussian random…

Fitting a simplifying model with several parameters to real data of complex objects is a highly nontrivial task, but enables the possibility to get insights into the objects physics. Here, we present a method to infer the parameters of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-21 Johannes Oberpriller , T. A. Enßlin

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn