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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have recently regained a significant amount of attention in the deep learning community due to the development of scalable approximate Bayesian inference techniques. There are several advantages of using a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

Small-angle X-ray and neutron scattering are widely used to investigate soft matter and biophysical systems. The experimental errors are essential when assessing how well a hypothesized model fits the data. Likewise, they are important when…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-04-20 Andreas Haahr Larsen , Martin Cramer Pedersen

The models used to describe the kinetics of ruminal degradation are usually nonlinear models where the dependent variable is the proportion of degraded food. The method of least squares is the standard approach used to estimate the unknown…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-21 Diego Salmerón

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

We present a model for quasielastic neutron scattering (QENS) by an aqueous solution of compact and inflexible molecules. This model accounts for time-dependent spatial pair correlations between the atoms of the same as well as of distinct…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2017-07-18 André Kusmin , Ruep E. Lechner , Wolfram Saenger

Nonlinear regression analysis is a popular and important tool for scientists and engineers. In this article, we introduce theories and methods of nonlinear regression and its statistical inferences using the frequentist and Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-09 Hsin-Hsiung Huang , Qing He

Quantile regression is a powerful tool for inferring how covariates affect specific percentiles of the response distribution. Existing methods either estimate conditional quantiles separately for each quantile of interest or estimate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Joseph Feldman , Daniel Kowal

Small-angle scattering (SAS) techniques, which utilize neutrons and X-rays, are employed in various scientific fields, including materials science, biochemistry, and polymer physics. During the analysis of SAS data, model parameters that…

Experimental data in Particle and Nuclear physics, Particle Astrophysics and Radiation Protection Dosimetry are obtained from experimental facilities comprising a complex array of sensors, electronics and software. Computer simulation is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-06 Nikolay D. Gagunashvili

The inverse problem of statistical mechanics is an unsolved, century-old challenge to learn classical pair potentials directly from experimental scattering data. This problem was extensively investigated in the 20th century but was…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-12-18 Brennon L. Shanks , Harry W. Sullivan , Michael P. Hoepfner

In high-dimensional Bayesian statistics, various methods have been developed, including prior distributions that induce parameter sparsity to handle many parameters. Yet, these approaches often overlook the rich spectral structure of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-06 Tomoya Wakayama , Masaaki Imaizumi

This study is devoted to the inference problem of extracting the nuclear matter properties directly from a set of mass-radius observations. We employ Bayesian neural networks (BNNs), which is a probabilistic model capable of estimating the…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-09-27 Valéria Carvalho , Márcio Ferreira , Constança Providência

The experimental problem of converting a measured binomial quantity, the fraction of events in a sample that pass a cut, into a physical binomial quantity, the fraction of events originating from a signal source, is described as a system of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 Michael L. Kelly

A Bayesian approach is proposed for pulse shape discrimination of photons and neutrons in liquid organic scinitillators. Instead of drawing a decision boundary, each pulse is assigned a photon or neutron confidence probability. This allows…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-06 Mateusz Monterial , Peter Marleau , Shaun Clarke , Sara Pozzi

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

Given N data points drawn from a chi-square distribution, we use Bayesian inference to determine most likely values and N-dependent confidence intervals for the width sigma and the number k of degrees of freedom of that distribution. Using…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2021-06-14 H. -L. Harney , H. A. Weidenmüller

The usual chi-squared method of fit quality assessment is a special case of the more general method of Bayesian model comparison which involves integrals of the likelihood and prior over all possible values of all parameters. We introduce…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2012-06-11 Michiel B. De Kock , Hans C. Eggers , Tamás Csörgő

Being able to rigorously quantify the uncertainties in reaction models is crucial to moving this field forward. Even though Bayesian methods are becoming increasingly popular in nuclear theory, they are yet to be implemented and applied in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-07-18 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes

In this paper, we propose a method for estimating model parameters using Small-Angle Scattering (SAS) data based on the Bayesian inference. Conventional SAS data analyses involve processes of manual parameter adjustment by analysts or…