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We study the fundamental problem of learning a marginally stable unknown nonlinear dynamical system. We describe an algorithm for this problem, based on the technique of spectral filtering, which learns a mapping from past observations to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Evan Dogariu , Anand Brahmbhatt , Elad Hazan

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of linear processes having as innovations mean zero, square integrable functions of stationary reversible Markov chains. In doing so we shall preserve the generality of coefficients assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-05 Magda Peligrad

We consider a family of measure preserving transformations, which act on a common probability space and are chosen at random by a stationary ergodic Markov chain. This setting defines an instance of a random dynamical system (RDS), which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Pablo Lummerzheim , Felix Pogorzelski , Elias Zimmermann

We propose a numerical technique for parameter inference in Markov models of biological processes. Based on time-series data of a process we estimate the kinetic rate constants by maximizing the likelihood of the data. The computation of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2011-02-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Linar Mikeev , David Spieler , Verena Wolf

The theory of $L^2$-spectral gaps for reversible Markov chains has been studied by many authors. In this paper we consider positive recurrent general state space Markov chains with stationary transition probabilities. Replacing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-08-07 Achim Wuebker , Zakhar Kabluchko

We prove an invariance principle for the bridge of a random walk conditioned to stay positive, when the random walk is in the domain of attraction of a stable law, both in the discrete and in the absolutely continuous setting. This includes…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-10 Francesco Caravenna , Loïc Chaumont

In this paper, we derive a simple drift condition for the stability of a class of two-dimensional Markov processes, for which one of the coordinates (also referred to as the {\em phase} for convenience) has a well understood behaviour…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Stella Kapodistria , Seva Shneer

This paper is devoted to parameter estimation for partially observed polynomial state space models. This class includes discretely observed affine or more generally polynomial Markov processes. The polynomial structure allows for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Jan Kallsen , Ivo Richert

A common technique for verifying the safety of complex systems is the inductive invariant method. Inductive invariants are inductive formulas that overapproximate the reachable states of a system and imply a desired safety property.…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Ian Dardik , Eunsuk Kang

This is a survey of some invariances that arise in dynamical systems theory in the presence of zero Lyapunov exponents.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-28 François Ledrappier

In this paper, we focus on discrete-time stochastic systems modelled by nonlinear stochastic difference equations and propose robust abstractions for verifying probabilistic linear temporal specifications. The current literature focuses on…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Yiming Meng , Jun Liu

Markov processes are used in a wide range of disciplines, including finance. The transition densities of these processes are often unknown. However, the conditional characteristic functions are more likely to be available, especially for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-04 Song X. Chen , Liang Peng , Cindy L. Yu

We consider a broad class of dynamic programming (DP) problems that involve a partially linear structure and some positivity properties in their system equation and cost function. We address deterministic and stochastic problems, possibly…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Yuchao Li , Dimitri Bertsekas

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

We consider general Markov processes with absorption and provide criteria ensuring the exponential convergence in total variation of the distribution of the process conditioned not to be absorbed. The first one is based on two-sided…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Koléhè Coulibaly-Pasquier , Denis Villemonais

We observe n possibly dependent random variables, the distribution of which is presumed to be stationary even though this might not be true, and we aim at estimating the stationary distribution. We establish a non-asymptotic deviation bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-10 Alexandre Lecestre

We consider the simple random walk on random graphs generated by discrete point processes. This random graph has a random subset of a cubic lattice as the vertices and lines between any consecutive vertices on lines parallel to each…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Naoki Kubota

We prove some invariance principles for processes which generalize FARIMA processes, when the innovations are in the domain of attraction of a nonGaussian stable distribution. The limiting processes are extensions of the fractional L\'evy…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-06 Ph. Barbe , W. P. McCormick

We consider the averaging principle for deterministic or stochastic systems with a fast stochastic component (family of continuous-time Markov chains depending on the state of the system as a parameter). We show that, due to bifurcations in…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Mark Freidlin , Leonid Koralov

A strong invariance principle is established for random fields which satisfy dependence conditions more general than positive or negative association. We use the approach of Cs\"{o}rg\H{o} and R\'{e}v\'{e}sz applied recently by Balan to…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Alexander Bulinski , Alexey Shashkin
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