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Human behaviour is heterogeneous and temporally fluctuates. Many studies have focused on inter-event time (IET) fluctuations and have reported that the IET distributions have a long-tailed distribution, which cannot be explained by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-01 Makoto Takeuchi , Yukie Sano

We consider the problem of leakage or effusion of an ensemble of independent stochastic processes from a region where they are initially randomly distributed. The case of Brownian motion, initially confined to the left half line with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-29 David S. Dean , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

It is commonly believed that the correlations between stock returns increase in high volatility periods. We investigate how much of these correlations can be explained within a simple non-Gaussian one-factor description with time…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 Pierre Cizeau , Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We demonstrate the presence of chaos in stochastic simulations that are widely used to study biodiversity in nature. The investigation deals with a set of three distinct species that evolve according to the standard rules of mobility,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-03-28 D. Bazeia , M. B. P. N. Pereira , A. V. Brito , B. F. de Oliveira , J. G. G. S. Ramos

The concept of temporal networks provides a framework to understand how the interaction between system components changes over time. In empirical communication data, we often detect non-Poissonian, so-called bursty behavior in the activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 Takayuki Hiraoka , Naoki Masuda , Aming Li , Hang-Hyun Jo

Little attention has been given to the correlation coefficient when data come from discrete or continuous non-normal populations. In this article, we consider the efficiency of two correlation coefficients which are from the same family,…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Michael Tsagris , Ioannis Elmatzoglou , Christos C. Frangos

Consider two forms of sampling from a population: (i) drawing $s$ samples of $n$ elements with replacement and (ii) drawing a single sample of $ns$ elements. In this paper, under the setting where the descending order population frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Koji Tsukuda , Shuhei Mano

For time series with high temporal correlation, the empirical process converges rather slowly to its limiting distribution. Many statistics in change-point analysis, goodness-of-fit testing and uncertainty quantification admit a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Annika Betken , Marie-Christine Düker

A validated simulation model primarily requires performing an appropriate input analysis mainly by determining the behavior of real-world processes using probability distributions. In many practical cases, probability distributions of the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-05 Issac Shams , Saeede Ajorlou , Kai Yang

Current models for opinion dynamics typically utilize a Poisson process for speaker selection, making the waiting time between events exponentially distributed. Human interaction tends to be bursty, though, having higher probabilities of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-07-28 Casey Doyle , Boleslaw Szymanski , Gyorgy Korniss

We provide a complete solution of the problems of the probability distribution and the escape rate in Poisson-noise driven systems. It includes both the exponents and the prefactors. The analysis refers to an overdamped particle in a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-18 M. I. Dykman

Information diagram and the I-measure are useful mnemonics where random variables are treated as sets, and entropy and mutual information are treated as a signed measure. Although the I-measure has been successful in machine proofs of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Cheuk Ting Li

Poisson-like behavior for event count data is ubiquitous in nature. At the same time, differencing of such counts arises in the course of data processing in a variety of areas of application. As a result, the Skellam distribution -- defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 H. L. Gan , Eric D. Kolaczyk

Records of social interactions provide us with new sources of data for understanding how interaction patterns affect collective dynamics. Such human activity patterns are often bursty, i.e., they consist of short periods of intense activity…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-05 Taro Takaguchi , Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

The Poisson distribution arises naturally when dealing with data involving counts, and it has found many applications in inverse problems and imaging. In this work, we develop an approximate Bayesian inference technique based on expectation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Chen Zhang , Simon Arridge , Bangti Jin

It is demonstrated that in a two-stage scenario with elementary Poissonian emitters of particles (colour strings) arbitrarily distributed in their number and average multiplicities, the forward- backward correlations are completely…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 M. A. Braun , C. Pajares , V. V. Vechernin

Recently the interest of researchers has shifted from the analysis of synchronous relationships of financial instruments to the analysis of more meaningful asynchronous relationships. Both of those analyses are concentrated only on…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-18 Paweł Fiedor

The dynamics of interference over space and time influences the performance of wireless communication systems, yet its features are still not fully understood. This article analyzes the temporal dynamics of the interference in Poisson…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-26 Udo Schilcher , Jorge F. Schmidt , Mahin K. Atiq , Christian Bettstetter

Human social interactions in local settings can be experimentally detected by recording the physical proximity and orientation of people. Such interactions, approximating face-to-face communications, can be effectively represented as time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-08 Giulia Cencetti , Federico Battiston , Bruno Lepri , Márton Karsai

An information-theoretic development is given for the problem of compound Poisson approximation, which parallels earlier treatments for Gaussian and Poisson approximation. Let $P_{S_n}$ be the distribution of a sum $S_n=\Sumn Y_i$ of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 A. D. Barbour , Oliver Johnson , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Mokshay Madiman
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