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Optimal designs minimize the number of experimental runs (samples) needed to accurately estimate model parameters, resulting in algorithms that, for instance, efficiently minimize parameter estimate variance. Governed by knowledge of past…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Nicholas W. Barendregt , Emily G. Webb , Zachary P. Kilpatrick

Phylodynamics is a set of population genetics tools that aim at reconstructing demographic history of a population based on molecular sequences of individuals sampled from the population of interest. One important task in phylodynamics is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-26 Mingwei Tang , Gytis Dudas , Trevor Bedford , Vladimir N. Minin

We formulate a discrete-time Bayesian stochastic volatility model for high-frequency stock-market data that directly accounts for microstructure noise, and outline a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for parameter estimation. The methods…

Applications · Statistics 2016-02-02 Georgi Dinolov , Abel Rodriguez , Hongyun Wang

Moment approximation methods are gaining increasing attention for their use in the approximation of the stochastic kinetics of chemical reaction systems. In this paper we derive a general moment expansion method for any type of propensities…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Angelique Ale , Paul Kirk , Michael P. P. Stumpf

Chemical reaction networks (CRNs) provide a convenient language for modelling a broad variety of biological systems. These models are commonly studied with respect to the time series they generate in deterministic or stochastic simulations.…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-11 Ozan Kahramanoğulları

Approximate Bayesian Computation is widely used in systems biology for inferring parameters in stochastic gene regulatory network models. Its performance hinges critically on the ability to summarize high-dimensional system responses such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-13 Mattias Åkesson , Prashant Singh , Fredrik Wrede , Andreas Hellander

Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 François Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe

Recent studies in the field of human vision science suggest that the human responses to the stimuli on a visual display are non-deterministic. People may attend to different locations on the same visual input at the same time. Based on this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-03-13 Akisato kimura , Derek Pang , Tatsuto Takeuchi , Kouji Miyazato , Junji Yamato , Kunio Kashino

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

Stochastic chemical systems with diffusion are modeled with a reaction-diffusion master equation. On a macroscopic level, the governing equation is a reaction-diffusion equation for the averages of the chemical species. On a mesoscopic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-03-06 Stefan Engblom , Lars Ferm , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

Subdiffusion has been proposed as an explanation of various kinetic phenomena inside living cells. In order to fascilitate large-scale computational studies of subdiffusive chemical processes, we extend a recently suggested mesoscopic model…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Emilie Blanc , Stefan Engblom , Andreas Hellander , Per Lötstedt

Stochastic modeling of transcription is a classic yet long-standing problem in theoretical biophysics. The lack of unified results and a computationally efficient approach for a general, fine-grained transcription model has confined…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-17 Yuntao Lu , Yunxin Zhang

Efficient parameter identification of electrochemical models is crucial for accurate monitoring and control of lithium-ion cells. This process becomes challenging when applied to complex models that rely on a considerable number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Jianzong Pi , Samuel Filgueira da Silva , Mehmet Fatih Ozkan , Abhishek Gupta , Marcello Canova

This is a short review of two common approximations in stochastic chemical and biochemical kinetics. It will appear as Chapter 6 in the book "Quantitative Biology: Theory, Computational Methods and Examples of Models" edited by Brian…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2017-11-27 Abhyudai Singh , Ramon Grima

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

Stochastic reaction-diffusion models are employed to represent many complex physical, biological, societal, and ecological systems. The macroscopic reaction rates describing the large-scale kinetics in such systems are effective,…

Biological Physics · Physics 2024-07-22 Mohamed Swailem , Uwe C. Täuber

We address online estimation of microbial growth dynamics in bioreactors from measurements of a fluorescent reporter protein synthesized along with microbial growth. We consider an extended version of standard growth models that accounts…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Rand Asswad , Eugenio Cinquemani , Jean-Luc Gouzé

The design of reliable indicators to anticipate critical transitions in complex systems is an im portant task in order to detect a coming sudden regime shift and to take action in order to either prevent it or mitigate its consequences. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-14 Martin Heßler , Oliver Kamps

Advances in nanotechnology have allowed scientists to study biological processes on an unprecedented nanoscale molecule-by-molecule basis, opening the door to addressing many important biological problems. A phenomenon observed in recent…

Applications · Statistics 2008-07-25 S. C. Kou

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani