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We propose a new sampling-based approach for approximate inference in filtering problems. Instead of approximating conditional distributions with a finite set of states, as done in particle filters, our approach approximates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Xuan Su , Wee Sun Lee , Zhen Zhang

We prove a Poisson limit theorem in the total variation distance of functionals of a general Poisson point process using the Malliavin-Stein method. Our estimates only involve first and second order difference operators and are closely…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Jens Grygierek

Slow mixing is the central hurdle when working with Markov chains, especially those used for Monte Carlo approximations (MCMC). In many applications, it is only of interest to estimate the stationary expectations of a small set of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Maxim Rabinovich , Aaditya Ramdas , Michael I. Jordan , Martin J. Wainwright

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

This article investigates general scaling settings and limit distributions of functionals of filtered random fields. The filters are defined by the convolution of non-random kernels with functions of Gaussian random fields. The case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Tareq Alodat , Nikolai Leonenko , Andriy Olenko

The generalized perturbative approach is an all purpose variant of Stein's method used to obtain rates of normal approximation. Originally developed for functions of independent random variables this method is here extended to functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-12 Christian Houdré , George Kerchev

We construct an independent increments Gaussian process associated to a class of multicolor urn models. The construction uses random variables from the urn model which are different from the random variables for which central limit theorems…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Gopal K Basak , Amites Dasgupta

In this article we propose a general framework for normal approximation using Stein's method. We introduce the new concept of Stein couplings and we show that it lies at the heart of popular approaches such as the local approach,…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-27 Louis H. Y. Chen , Adrian Röllin

Let $(X_{k})_{k \in \mathbb Z }$ be a linear process with values in a separable Hilbert space $\mathbb{H}$ given by $X_{k} =\sum_{j=0}^{\infty} (j+1)^{-N}\varepsilon_{k-j}$ for each $k \in \mathbb Z$, where $N:\mathbb{H} \to \mathbb{H}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-04 Marie-Christine Düker

We study fluctuations of the empirical processes of a non-equilibrium interacting particle system consisting of two species over a domain that is recently introduced in [8] and establish its functional central limit theorem. This…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Zhen-Qing Chen , Wai-Tong Louis Fan

In this paper, we obtain sufficient conditions in terms of projective criteria under which the partial sums of a stationary process with values in ${\mathcal{H}}$ (a real and separable Hilbert space) admits an approximation, in…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-27 Christophe Cuny , Florence Merlevède

This article derives quantitative limit theorems for multivariate Poisson and Poisson process approximations. Employing the solution of Stein's equation for Poisson random variables, we obtain an explicit bound for the multivariate Poisson…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Federico Pianoforte , Riccardo Turin

We study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the fractional derivative of unknown spectral function of Gaussian stationary sequence (time series) and show that these problems is well posed with the classical speed of convergence when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-04-17 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

This is an expository review paper elaborating on the proof of the martingale functional central limit theorem (FCLT). This paper also reviews tightness and stochastic boundedness, highlighting one-dimensional criteria for tightness used in…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-12-27 Ward Whitt

Using results from theory of operators on a Hilbert space, we prove approximation results for matrix-valued holomorphic functions on the unit disc and the unit bidisc. The essential tools are the theory of unitary dilation of a contraction…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Daniel Alpay , Tirthankar Bhattacharyya , Abhay Jindal , Poornendu Kumar

In the regression framework, the empirical measure based on the responses resulting from the nearest neighbors, among the covariates, to a given point $x$ is introduced and studied as a central statistical quantity. First, the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-11 François Portier

In this paper, we give estimates of ideal or minimal distances between the distribution of the normalized partial sum and the limiting Gaussian distribution for stationary martingale difference sequences or stationary sequences satisfying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-04 Jérôme Dedecker , Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio

This is a survey of recent results on central and non-central limit theorems for quadratic functionals of stationary processes. The underlying processes are Gaussian, linear or L\'evy-driven linear processes with memory, and are defined…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu

This chapter is an attempt to present a mathematical theory of compound fractional Poisson processes. The chapter begins with the characterization of a well-known L\'evy process: The compound Poisson process. The semi-Markov extension of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-04 Enrico Scalas

We propose a method for approximating the large deviation rate function of time-integrated observables of diffusion processes, used in statistical physics to characterize the fluctuations of nonequilibrium systems. The method is based on…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-01-15 Pelerine Tsobgni Nyawo , Hugo Touchette
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