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The Milky Way Galaxy contains an unknown number, $N$, of civilizations that emit electromagnetic radiation (of unknown wavelengths) over a finite lifetime, $L$. Here we are assuming that the radiation is not produced indefinitely, but…

Popular Physics · Physics 2018-04-11 Claudio Grimaldi , Geoffrey W. Marcy , Nathaniel K. Tellis , Frank Drake

It is unclear how frequently life and intelligence arise on planets. I consider a Bayesian prior for the probability P(ETI) that intelligence evolves at a suitable site, with weight distributed evenly over ln(1 - ln P(ETI)). This log log…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2016-09-21 Brian C. Lacki

One of the most interesting questions that astronomy can hope to answer is: are we alone in our Milky Way galaxy? A detection of an electromagnetic (EM) signal generated by an extraterrestrial technological intelligence, or the presence in…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-01 B. Zuckerman

One of the beneficial outcomes of searching for life in the Universe is that it grants greater awareness of our own problems here on Earth. Lack of contact with alien beings to date might actually comprise a null "signal" pointing humankind…

Popular Physics · Physics 2014-10-28 Eric J. Chaisson

In the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI), the highly incomplete sampling of the technosignature search space is often considered as a plausible explanation for the persistent lack of detections over six decades of searches. If…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-02-23 Claudio Grimaldi

The search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) is a scientific endeavor which struggles with unique issues -- a strong indeterminacy in what data to look for and when to do so. This has led to attempts at finding both fundamental…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Ian George , Xinan Chen , Lav R. Varshney

In this work we address the problem of estimating the probabilities of causal contacts between civilisations in the Galaxy. We make no assumptions regarding the origin and evolution of intelligent life. We simply assume a network of…

Popular Physics · Physics 2020-07-14 Marcelo Lares , José Funes , Luciana Gramajo

In the field of Astrobiology, the precise location, prevalence and age of potential extraterrestrial intelligence (ETI) have not been explicitly explored. Here, we address these inquiries using an empirical galactic simulation model to…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2021-01-22 Xiang Cai , Jonathan H. Jiang , Kristen A. Fahy , Yuk L. Yung

As we learn more about the frequency and size distribution of exoplanets, we are discovering that terrestrial planets are exceedingly common. The distribution of orbital periods in turn results in many of these planets being the occupants…

Popular Physics · Physics 2014-04-30 Stephen R. Kane , Franck Selsis

Popular culture (movies, SF literature) and witness accounts of close encounters with extraterrestrials provide a rather bizarre image of Aliens behavior on Earth. It is far from stereotypes of human space exploration. The reported Aliens…

Popular Physics · Physics 2012-07-13 Pawel Sobkowicz

Since it began \cite{CocconiMorrison}, the search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) has focused on interstellar \emph{classical} communication. Recently, Berera \cite{Berera:2020rpl} pointed out that, at certain frequencies, photon…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-08-06 Latham Boyle

Speculation about the existence of advanced forms of life in the Universe and in our galaxy, has been since ever a subject of fascination and discussion in fiction, as well as in astrophysics, biology and philosophy. The well-known Fermi's…

History and Philosophy of Physics · Physics 2025-11-18 Orfeu Bertolami

An astrophysical model is proposed to answer Fermi's question. Gamma-ray bursts have the correct rates of occurrence and plausibly the correct energetics to have consequences for the evolution of life on a galactic scale. If one assumes…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 James Annis

A sufficiently advanced extraterrestrial civilization can send out a swarm of self-replicating probes for space exploration. Given the fast-growing number of such a probe, even if there is only one extraterrestrial civilization sending out…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Yifan Chen , Jiayi Ni , Yen Chin Ong

The Great Filter hypothesis is an extension of the Fermi Paradox: "If life is so common in the universe, why don't we see it?" The Great Filter theory posits there are multiple obstacles or filters life must pass through which ultimately…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Darren J. Dougan

The ease of interstellar rocket travel is an issue with implications for the long term fate of our own and other civilizations and for the much-debated number of technological civilizations in the Galaxy. We show that the physical barrier…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-03 Brad Hansen , Ben Zuckerman

The search for technosignatures from hypothetical galactic civilizations is going through a new phase of intense activity. For the first time, a significant fraction of the vast search space is expected to be sampled in the foreseeable…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-26 Claudio Grimaldi , Geoffrey W. Marcy

Land-based beacons, information laden probes sent into our solar system, and more distal communication nodes have each been proposed as the most likely means by which we might be contacted by ET. Each method, considered in isolation from…

Popular Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 John Gertz

This paper develops a detailed quantitative model which uses the Drake equation and an assumption of an average maximum radio broadcasting distance by an communicative civilization to derive a minimum civilization density for contact…

General Physics · Physics 2010-02-07 Reginald D. Smith

Given the vast distances between stars in the Milky Way and the long timescales required for interstellar travel, we consider how a civilization might overcome the constraints arising from finite lifespans and the speed of light without…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-04-21 Chris Reiss , Justin C. Feng