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A self-stabilizing processes $\{Z(t), t\in [t_0,t_1)\}$ is a random process which when localized, that is scaled to a fine limit near a given $t\in [t_0,t_1)$, has the distribution of an $\alpha(Z(t))$-stable process, where $\alpha:…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-20 K. J. Falconer , J. Lévy Véhel

This paper presents a Bayesian method for identification of jump Markov linear system parameters. A primary motivation is to provide accurate quantification of parameter uncertainty without relying on asymptotic in data-length arguments. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Mark P. Balenzuela , Adrian G. Wills , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness

We study a general non-homogeneous Skellam-type process with jumps of arbitrary fixed size. We express this process in terms of a linear combination of Poisson processes and study several properties, including the summation of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-11 Fabrizio Cinque , Enzo Orsingher

A deterministic walk in a random environment can be understood as a general random process with finite-range dependence that starts repeating a loop once it reaches a site it has visited before. Such process lacks the Markov property. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-15 Ivan Matic

We present sufficient conditions, in terms of the jumping kernels, for two large classes of conservative Markov processes of pure-jump type to be purely discontinuous martingales with finite second moment. As an application, we establish…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-01 Yuichi Shiozawa , Jian Wang

We consider a pure jump process $\{X_t\}_{t\ge 0}$ with values in a finite state space $S= \{1, \ldots, d\}$ for which the jump rates at time instant $t$ depend on the occupation measure $L_t \doteq t^{-1} \int_0^t \delta_{X_s}\,ds$. Such…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Francesco Coghi

The interplay between bifurcations and random switching processes of vector fields is studied. More precisely, we provide a classification of piecewise deterministic Markov processes arising from stochastic switching dynamics near fold,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Tobias Hurth , Christian Kuehn

In this short paper, we connect the procedure of constructing a totally inaccessible stopping time for a given process using the well-known Cox construction, dependent on an independent exponential random variable; with naturally occurring…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-12 Philip Protter , Andrés Riveros Valdevenito

We consider a one-dimensional jumping Markov process $\{X^x_t\}_{t \geq 0}$, solving a Poisson-driven stochastic differential equation. We prove that the law of $X^x_t$ admits a smooth density for $t>0$, under some regularity and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nicolas Fournier

We consider a branching stable process with positive jumps, i.e. a continuous-time branching process in which the particles evolve independently as stable L{\'e}vy processes with positive jumps. Assuming the branching mechanism is critical…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Christophe Profeta

Changing time of simple continuous-time Markov counting processes by independent unit-rate Poisson processes results in Markov counting processes for which we provide closed-form transition rates via composition of trajectories and with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-25 Carles Bretó

Representations of branching Markov processes and their measure-valued limits in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed for models with spatially varying birth and death rates. Each particle has a location and a "level,"…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-11 Thomas G. Kurtz , Eliane R. Rodrigues

The velocity-jump model is a specific type of piecewise deterministic Markov process in which an individual's velocity is constant except at times that form the events of some point process. It represents an interpretable continuous-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Paul G. Blackwell

We consider the down/up crossing property of weighted Markov branching processes. The joint probability distribution of multi crossing numbers of such processes are obtained. In particular, for Markov branching processes, the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are central in computational statistics, and typically rely on detailed balance to ensure invariance with respect to a target distribution. Although straightforward to construct by Metropolization, this can…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Erik Jansson , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer , Akash Sharma

We treat the class of universal Markov processes on the d-dimensional Euklidean space which do not depend on random. For these, as well as for several subclasses, we prove criteria whether a function f, defined on the positive half-line,…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-07 Alexander Schnurr

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

In this paper, we consider an ergodic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with jumps driven by a Brownian motion and a compensated Poisson process, whose drift and diffusion coefficients as well as its jump intensity depend on unknown parameters.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-14 Ngoc Khue Tran

We study systems of simple point processes that admit stochastic intensities. We represent these point processes as thinnings of Poisson measures and are interested in a convergence result of such systems. This result states that, if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Xavier Erny

This paper considers importance sampling for estimation of rare-event probabilities in a specific collection of Markovian jump processes used for e.g. modelling of credit risk. Previous attempts at designing importance sampling algorithms…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Boualem Djehiche , Henrik Hult , Pierre Nyquist