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The problem of estimating the probability of a random process reaching a certain level is well known. In this article, two-sided estimates are established for the probability that a regenerative process reaches a high level. Two auxiliary…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-29 Kateryna Akbash , Ivan Matsak , Oleg Zakusylo

We give a general construction of topological groups from combinatorial structures such as trees, towers, gaps, and subadditive functions. We connect topological properties of corresponding groups with combinatorial properties of these…

General Topology · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Boriša Kuzeljević , Stepan Milošević , Stevo Todorčević

Any algebraic connection on a vector bundle on a smooth complex algebraic curve determines an irregular class and in turn a fission tree at each puncture. The fission trees are the discrete data classifying the admissible deformation…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Philip Boalch

Random forests are classical ensemble algorithms that construct multiple randomized decision trees and aggregate their predictions using naive averaging. \citet{zhou2019deep} further propose a deep forest algorithm with multi-layer forests,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Shen-Huan Lyu , Jin-Hui Wu , Qin-Cheng Zheng , Baoliu Ye

Generating function equation has been derived for the probability distribution of the number of nodes with $k \ge 0$ outgoing lines in randomly evolving special trees. The stochastic properties of end-nodes (k=0) have been analyzed, and it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 L. Pal

We propose a new methodology to develop heuristic algorithms using tree decompositions. Traditionally, such algorithms construct an optimal solution of the given problem instance through a dynamic programming approach. We modify this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Louis Carpentier , Jorik Jooken , Jan Goedgebeur

We study a new class of polyominoes, called $p$-Fibonacci polyominoes, defined using $p$-Fibonacci words. We enumerate these polyominoes by applying generating functions to capture geometric parameters such as area, semi-perimeter, and the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-11-28 Juan F. Pulido , José L. Ramírez , Andrés R. Vindas-Meléndez

We examine the problem of making reconciled forecasts of large collections of related time series through a behavioural/Bayesian lens. Our approach explicitly acknowledges and exploits the 'connectedness' of the series in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Ross Hollyman , Fotios Petropoulos , Michael E. Tipping

This is the first of two papers that introduce a deformation theoretic framework to explain and broaden a link between homotopy algebra and probability theory. In this paper, cumulants are proved to coincide with morphisms of homotopy…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Gabriel C. Drummond-Cole , Jae-Suk Park , John Terilla

We present and investigate an extension of the classical random graph to a general class of inhomogeneous random graph models, where vertices come in different types, and the probability of realizing an edge depends on the types of its…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Bo Soderberg

Recent advances in stochastic PDEs, Hopf algebras of typed trees and integral equations have inspired the study of algebraic structures with replicating operations. To understand their algebraic and combinatorial nature, we first use rooted…

Rings and Algebras · Mathematics 2022-09-21 Xing Gao , Li Guo , Yi Zhang

Accessibility percolation is a new type of percolation problem inspired by evolutionary biology. To each vertex of a graph a random number is assigned and a path through the graph is called accessible if all numbers along the path are in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-04-04 Stefan Nowak , Joachim Krug

Techniques for decision making with knowledge of linear constraints on condition probabilities are examined. These constraints arise naturally in many situations: upper and lower condition probabilities are known; an ordering among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Michael Pittarelli

Extreme classification problems are multiclass and multilabel classification problems where the number of outputs is so large that straightforward strategies are neither statistically nor computationally viable. One strategy for dealing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-05 Paul Mineiro , Nikos Karampatziakis

The classical matrix-tree theorem relates the determinant of the combinatorial Laplacian on a graph to the number of spanning trees. We generalize this result to Laplacians on one- and two-dimensional vector bundles, giving a combinatorial…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-09 Richard Kenyon

We study the problem of computing the tightest upper and lower bounds on the probability that the sum of $n$ dependent Bernoulli random variables exceeds an integer $k$. Under knowledge of all pairs of bivariate distributions denoted by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Divya Padmanabhan , Karthik Natarajan

An important task for any large-scale organization is to prepare forecasts of key performance metrics. Often these organizations are structured in a hierarchical manner and for operational reasons, projections of these metrics may have been…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-15 Julie Novak , Scott McGarvie , Beatriz Etchegaray Garcia

Tree-shaped graphical models are widely used for their tractability. However, they unfortunately lack expressive power as they require committing to a particular sparse dependency structure. We propose a novel class of generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Nikil Roashan Selvam , Honghua Zhang , Guy Van den Broeck

A cluster tree provides a highly-interpretable summary of a density function by representing the hierarchy of its high-density clusters. It is estimated using the empirical tree, which is the cluster tree constructed from a density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Jisu Kim , Yen-Chi Chen , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Alessandro Rinaldo , Larry Wasserman

In a population with haploid reproduction any individual has a single parent in the previous generation. If all genealogical distances among pairs of individuals (generations from the closest common ancestor) are known it is possible to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-13 Luce Prignano , Maurizio Serva