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Related papers: On Buffon Machines and Numbers

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In this paper we modify the method of Nazarov, Peres, and Volberg "The power law for the Buffon needle probability of the four-corner Cantor set", arXiv:0801.2942, to get an estimate from above of the Buffon needle probability of the…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-06-10 Matthew Bond , Alexander Volberg

Researchers have recently proposed several systems that ease the process of performing Bayesian probabilistic inference. These include systems for automatic inference algorithm synthesis as well as stronger abstractions for manual algorithm…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2018-05-07 Eric Atkinson , Cambridge Yang , Michael Carbin

We consider a fractional counting process with jumps of amplitude $1,2,\ldots,k$, with $k\in \mathbb{N}$, whose probabilities satisfy a suitable system of fractional difference-differential equations. We obtain the moment generating…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-10 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Alessandra Meoli

The Poisson-binomial distribution is useful in many applied problems in engineering, actuarial science, and data mining. The Poisson-binomial distribution models the distribution of the sum of independent but not identically distributed…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-07 Man Zhang , Yili Hong , Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan

Given a $p$-coin that lands heads with unknown probability $p$, we wish to produce an $f(p)$-coin for a given function $f: (0,1) \rightarrow (0,1)$. This problem is commonly known as the Bernoulli Factory and results on its solvability and…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Giulio Morina , Krzysztof Latuszynski , Piotr Nayar , Alex Wendland

A Poisson Binomial distribution over $n$ variables is the distribution of the sum of $n$ independent Bernoullis. We provide a sample near-optimal algorithm for testing whether a distribution $P$ supported on $\{0,...,n\}$ to which we have…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Jayadev Acharya , Constantinos Daskalakis

The seemingly disjoint problems of count and mixture modeling are united under the negative binomial (NB) process. A gamma process is employed to model the rate measure of a Poisson process, whose normalization provides a random probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-15 Mingyuan Zhou , Lawrence Carin

A family of consistent tests, derived from a characterization of the probability generating function, is proposed for assessing Poissonity against a wide class of count distributions, which includes some of the most frequently adopted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

In this paper, the statistical properties of Newton s method algorithm output in a specific case have been studied. The relative frequency density of this sample converges to a well-defined function, prompting us to explore its…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-16 Taki Kirouani

Let $\Omega \subset \mathbb{R}^2$ be a convex set. We study the problem of distributing a one-dimensional set $S$ with total length $L$ so that for any line $\ell$ in $\mathbb{R}^2$ the number of intersections $\#(\ell \cap S)$ is…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Stefan Steinerberger

In this paper we show how different sources of random numbers influence the outcomes of Monte Carlo simulations. We compare industry-standard pseudo-random number generators (PRNGs) to a quantum random number generator (QRNG) and show,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-01-03 Anton Lebedev , Annika Möslein , Olha I. Yaman , Del Rajan , Philip Intallura

Using techniques from Poisson approximation, we prove explicit error bounds on the number of permutations that avoid any pattern. Most generally, we bound the total variation distance between the joint distribution of pattern occurrences…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Harry Crane , Stephen DeSalvo

Consider a coin tossing experiment which consists of tossing one of two coins at a time, according to a renewal process. The first coin is fair and the second has probability $1/2 + \theta$, $\theta \in [-1/2,1/2]$, $\theta$ unknown but…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Diego Marcondes , Cláudia Peixoto

Let $C_n$ be the $n$-th generation in the construction of the middle-half Cantor set. The Cartesian square $K_n$ of $C_n$ consists of $4^n$ squares of side-length $4^{-n}$. The chance that a long needle thrown at random in the unit square…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2008-01-21 Fedor Nazarov , Yuval Peres , Alexander Volberg

We analyze here in details the probability to find a given number of particles in a finite volume inside a normal or superfluid finite system. This probability, also known as counting statistics, is obtained using projection operator…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-01-22 Denis Lacroix , Sakir Ayik

A beta-negative binomial (BNB) process is proposed, leading to a beta-gamma-Poisson process, which may be viewed as a "multi-scoop" generalization of the beta-Bernoulli process. The BNB process is augmented into a beta-gamma-gamma-Poisson…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-02-07 Mingyuan Zhou , Lauren Hannah , David Dunson , Lawrence Carin

We present results of an extensive test program of a group of pseudorandom number generators which are commonly used in the applications of physics, in particular in Monte Carlo simulations. The generators include public domain programs,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-10-22 I. Vattulainen , K. Kankaala , J. Saarinen , T. Ala-Nissila

Models in which the number of goals scored by a team in a soccer match follow a Poisson distribution, or a closely related one, have been widely discussed. We here consider a soccer match as an experiment to assess which of two teams is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-09-29 G. K. Skinner , G. H. Freeman

Conventional Monte Carlo simulations are stochastic in the sense that the acceptance of a trial move is decided by comparing a computed acceptance probability with a random number, uniformly distributed between 0 and 1. Here we consider the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-24 Daan Frenkel , K. Julian Schrenk , Stefano Martiniani

Probabilistic artificial neural networks offer intriguing prospects for enabling the uncertainty of artificial intelligence methods to be described explicitly in their function; however, the development of techniques that quantify…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James B. Aimone , William Severa , J. Darby Smith