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We present a method to overapproximate forward stochastic reach sets of discrete-time, stochastic nonlinear systems with interval geometry. This is made possible by extending the theory of mixed-monotone systems to incorporate stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-05 Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Rosalyn A. Devonport , Murat Arcak , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Motivated by recent experiments we consider a stochastic lineshape theory for the case when the underlying process obeys power-law statistics, based on a generalized Anderson-Kubo oscillator model. We derive an analytical expression for the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 YounJoon Jung , Eli Barkai , Robert J. Silbey

Gaussian process (GP) regression provides a flexible, nonparametric framework for probabilistic modeling, yet remains computationally demanding in large-scale applications. For one-dimensional data, state space (SS) models achieve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-07 Liang Ding , Rui Tuo , Lu Zhou

In this letter we introduce the problem of secrecy reversibility. This asks when two honest parties can distill secret bits from some tripartite distribution $p_{XYZ}$ and transform secret bits back into $p_{XYZ}$ at equal rates using local…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-09-02 Eric Chitambar , Ben Fortescue , Min-Hsiu Hsieh

We propose a causal hidden Markov model to achieve robust prediction of irreversible disease at an early stage, which is safety-critical and vital for medical treatment in early stages. Specifically, we introduce the hidden variables which…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Jing Li , Botong Wu , Xinwei Sun , Yizhou Wang

This paper introduces a linear state-space model with time-varying dynamics. The time dependency is obtained by forming the state dynamics matrix as a time-varying linear combination of a set of matrices. The time dependency of the weights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-06 Jaakko Luttinen , Tapani Raiko , Alexander Ilin

A hidden Markov process is a well known concept in information theory and is used for a vast range of applications such as speech recognition and error correction. We bridge between two disciplines, experimental physics and advanced…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-24 Ido Kanter , Aviad Frydman , Asaf Ater

Nonlinear time series analysis is an active field of research that studies the structure of complex signals in order to derive information of the process that generated those series, for understanding, modeling and forecasting purposes. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-20 Lucas Lacasa , Raul Toral

This paper systematically discusses how the inherent properties of chaotic attractors influence the results of discovering causality from time series using convergent cross mapping, particularly how convergent cross mapping misleads…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Yiting Duan , Yi Guo , Jack Yang , Ming Yin

Stochastic processes that are randomly reset to an initial condition serve as a showcase to investigate non-equilibrium steady states. However, all existing results have been restricted to the special case of memoryless resetting protocols.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Stephan Eule , Jakob Metzger

In this paper we develop a novel hidden Markov graphical model to investigate time-varying interconnectedness between different financial markets. To identify conditional correlation structures under varying market conditions and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-06 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

Linear implication can represent state transitions, but real transition systems operate under temporal, stochastic or probabilistic constraints that are not directly representable in ordinary linear logic. We propose a general modal…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-10-17 Kaustuv Chaudhuri , Joelle Despeyroux

We present a procedure to share a secret spatial direction in the absence of a common reference frame using a multipartite quantum state. The procedure guarantees that the parties can determine the direction if they perform joint…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-08-02 E. Bagan , J. Calsamiglia , R. Demkowicz-Dobrzanski , R. Munoz-Tapia

This paper revisits the definition of linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic process within a behavioral systems framework. Building on [Willems, 2013], we derive a canonical representation of an LTI stochastic process and a physically…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-10 Giacomo Baggio , Rodolphe Sepulchre

We propose a new algorithm for inferring the state of hidden spins and reconstructing the connections in a synchronous kinetic Ising model, given the observed history. Focusing on the case in which the hidden spins are conditionally…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-06-11 Claudia Battistin , John Hertz , Joanna Tyrcha , Yasser Roudi

Only recently the concept of achronal localization has been developed as the adequate frame for the description of the localizability of a relativistic quantum mechanical system. Here covariant achronal localizations are gained out of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-04-07 Domenico P. L. Castrigiano , Carmine De Rosa , Valter Moretti

Symbolic dynamics has proven to be an invaluable tool in analyzing the mechanisms that lead to unpredictability and random behavior in nonlinear dynamical systems. Surprisingly, a discrete partition of continuous state space can produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield

A new application of duality relations of stochastic processes is demonstrated. Although conventional usages of the duality relations need analytical solutions for the dual processes, we here employ numerical solutions of the dual processes…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-10-14 Jun Ohkubo

The (conditional or unconditional) distribution of the continuous scan statistic in a one-dimensional Poisson process may be approximated by that of a discrete analogue via time discretization (to be referred to as the discrete…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Yi-Ching Yao , Daniel Wei-Chung Miao , Xenos Chang-Shuo Lin

The ability to distinguish between correlation and causation of variables in molecular systems remains an interesting and open area of investigation. In this work, we probe causality in a molecular system using two independent computational…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-02-27 Vittorio Del Tatto , Debarshi Banerjee , Ali Hassanali , Alessandro Laio
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