English
Related papers

Related papers: Shaping tail dependencies by nesting box copulas

200 papers

This paper explores the impact of perturbations of copulas on dependence properties of the Markov chains they generate. We use an observation that is valid for convex combinations of copulas to establish sufficient conditions for the mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-11 Martial Longla , Mathias Muia Nthiani , Fidel Djongreba Ndikwa

The mean-variance portfolio model, based on the risk-return trade-off for optimal asset allocation, remains foundational in portfolio optimization. However, its reliance on restrictive assumptions about asset return distributions limits its…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-17 Savita Pareek , Sujit K. Ghosh

In many areas of interest, modern risk assessment requires estimation of the extremal behaviour of sums of random variables. We derive the first order upper-tail behaviour of the weighted sum of bivariate random variables under weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-17 Jordan Richards , Jonathan A. Tawn

We develop factor copula models for analysing the dependence among mixed continuous and discrete responses. Factor copula models are canonical vine copulas that involve both observed and latent variables, hence they allow tail, asymmetric…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-18 Sayed H. Kadhem , Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

For multivariate distributions in the domain of attraction of a max-stable distribution, the tail copula and the stable tail dependence function are equivalent ways to capture the dependence in the upper tail. The empirical versions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 John H. J. Einmahl , Johan Segers

In this paper, we study a semiparametric family of bivariate copulas. The family is generated by an univariate function, determining the symmetry (radial symmetry, joint symmetry) and dependence property (quadrant dependence, total…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-31 Cécile Amblard , Stéphane Girard

We propose a novel probabilistic model to facilitate the learning of multivariate tail dependence of multiple financial assets. Our method allows one to construct from known random vectors, e.g., standard normal, sophisticated joint…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Xing Yan , Qi Wu , Wen Zhang

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

In this paper, we investigate several subsets of $n$-copulas and $n$-quasi-copulas from the perspective of convex-lineability and the recently introduced concept of convex-spaceability. Our purpose is to determine when such families contain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Enrique de Amo , Juan Fernández-Sánchez , David García-Fernández , Manuel Úbeda-Flores

Shells, when confined, can deform in a broad assortment of shapes and patterns, often quite dissimilar to what is produced by their flat counterparts (plates). In this work we discuss the morphological landscape of shells deposited on a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-06-12 Octavio Albarrán , Desislava V. Todorova , Eleni Katifori , Lucas Goehring

A theoretical expression is derived for the mean squared error of a nonparametric estimator of the tail dependence coefficient, depending on a threshold that defines which rank delimits the tails of a distribution. We propose a new method…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-25 Matthieu Garcin , Maxime L. D. Nicolas

We define in a probabilistic way a parametric family of multivariate extreme value distributions. We derive its copula, which is a mixture of several complete dependent copulas and total independent copulas, and the bivariate tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-09 Helena Ferreira

This article proposes copula-based dependence quantification between multiple groups of random variables of possibly different sizes via the family of $Phi$-divergences. An axiomatic framework for this purpose is provided, after which we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Steven De Keyser , Irène Gijbels

Understanding the dependence relationship of credit spreads of corporate bonds is important for risk management. Vine copula models with tail dependence are used to analyze a credit spread dataset of Chinese corporate bonds, understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Shenyi Pan , Harry Joe , Guofu Li

We study the dependence structure of market states by estimating empirical pairwise copulas of daily stock returns. We consider both original returns, which exhibit time-varying trends and volatilities, as well as locally normalized ones,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-30 Desislava Chetalova , Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

We construct a conformally invariant random family of closed curves in the plane by welding of random homeomorphisms of the unit circle given in terms of the exponential of Gaussian Free Field. We conjecture that our curves are locally…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2009-12-18 K. Astala , P. Jones , A. Kupiainen , E. Saksman

We characterize absolutely continuous symmetric copulas with square integrable densities in this paper. This characterization is used to create new copula families, that are perturbations of the independence copula. The full study of mixing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Martial Longla

The areas under workload process and under queuing process in a single server queue over the busy period have many applications not only in queuing theory but also in risk theory or percolation theory. We focus here on the tail behaviour of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-08 Rafal Kulik , Zbigniew Palmowski

The benefits of diversifying risks are difficult to estimate quantitatively because of the uncertainties in the dependence structure between the risks. Also, the modelling of multidimensional dependencies is a non-trivial task. This paper…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-11 Jean-Philippe Bruneton

Multivariate distributions are fundamental to modeling. Discrete copulas can be used to construct diverse multivariate joint distributions over random variables from estimated univariate marginals. The space of discrete copulas admits a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-31 Elisa Perrone , Liam Solus , Caroline Uhler