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Model selection in the presence of intractable likelihoods remains a central challenge in Bayesian inference. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) provides a flexible likelihood-free framework, but its use for model choice is known to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Clara Grazian

We introduce estimation and test procedures through divergence minimiza- tion for models satisfying linear constraints with unknown parameter. These procedures extend the empirical likelihood (EL) method and share common features with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-25 Michel Broniatowski , Amor Keziou

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

Lifted probabilistic inference algorithms have been successfully applied to a large number of symmetric graphical models. Unfortunately, the majority of real-world graphical models is asymmetric. This is even the case for relational…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-02 Guy Van den Broeck , Mathias Niepert

Although the log-likelihood is widely used in model selection, the log-likelihood ratio has had few applications in this area. We develop a log-likelihood ratio based method for selecting regression models by focusing on the set of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Min Tsao

Test log-likelihood is commonly used to compare different models of the same data or different approximate inference algorithms for fitting the same probabilistic model. We present simple examples demonstrating how comparisons based on test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-22 Sameer K. Deshpande , Soumya Ghosh , Tin D. Nguyen , Tamara Broderick

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

For nearly any challenging scientific problem evaluation of the likelihood is problematic if not impossible. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) allows us to employ the whole Bayesian formalism to problems where we can use simulations…

Computation · Statistics 2011-07-04 Chris Barnes , Sarah Filippi , Michael P. H. Stumpf , Thomas Thorne

Many scientifically well-motivated statistical models in natural, engineering, and environmental sciences are specified through a generative process. However, in some cases, it may not be possible to write down the likelihood for these…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-17 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Subhroshekhar Ghosh , David J. Nott , Kim Cuc Pham

Prediction, where observed data is used to quantify uncertainty about a future observation, is a fundamental problem in statistics. Prediction sets with coverage probability guarantees are a common solution, but these do not provide…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

This paper presents a new approach to conditional inference, based on the simulation of samples conditioned by a statistics of the data. Also an explicit expression for the approximation of the conditional likelihood of long runs of the…

Applications · Statistics 2012-02-07 Michel Broniatowski , Virgile Caron

This paper reviews the most common situations where one or more regularity conditions which underlie classical likelihood-based parametric inference fail. We identify three main classes of problems: boundary problems, indeterminate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-27 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Valentina Mameli

A popular method for variance reduction in observational causal inference is propensity-based trimming, the practice of removing units with extreme propensities from the sample. This practice has theoretical grounding when the data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-30 Samir Khan , Johan Ugander

The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-17 John Geweke , Garland Durham , Huaxin Xu

This paper provides a user's guide to the general theory of approximate randomization tests developed in Canay, Romano, and Shaikh (2017) when specialized to linear regressions with clustered data. An important feature of the methodology is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-03-16 Yong Cai , Ivan A. Canay , Deborah Kim , Azeem M. Shaikh

Empirical likelihood is a well-known nonparametric method in statistics and has been widely applied in statistical inference. The method has been employed by Lu and Peng (2002) to constructing confidence intervals for the tail index of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Yizeng Li , Yongcheng Qi

Dedicated to the memory of Professor Tze Leung Lai, this paper introduces three multi-hypothesis sequential tests. These tests are derived from one-sided versions of the sequential probability ratio test and its modifications. They are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Empirical likelihood enables a nonparametric, likelihood-driven style of inference without restrictive assumptions routinely made in parametric models. We develop a framework for applying empirical likelihood to the analysis of experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-08 Eunseop Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia
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