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Risk aversion is a key element of utility maximizing hedge strategies; however, it has typically been assigned an arbitrary value in the literature. This paper instead applies a GARCH-in-Mean (GARCH-M) model to estimate a time-varying…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-03-31 John Cotter , Jim Hanly

This paper studies flexible multi-facility capacity expansion with risk aversion. In this setting, the decision maker can periodically expand the capacity of facilities given observations of uncertain demand. We model this situation as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-15 Sixiang Zhao , William B. Haskell , Michel-Alexandre Cardin

In this note, we explicitly solve the problem of maximizing utility of consumption (until the minimum of bankruptcy and the time of death) with a constraint on the probability of lifetime ruin, which can be interpreted as a risk measure on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

The expected utility operators introduced in a previous paper, offer a framework for a general risk aversion theory, in which risk is modelled by a fuzzy number $A$. In this paper we formulate a coinsurance problem in the possibilistic…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-20 Irina Georgescu

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has gained substantial attention across diverse application domains and theoretical investigations. Existing literature on RL theory largely focuses on risk-neutral settings where the decision-maker learns to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhengqi Wu , Renyuan Xu

This article studies the sensitivity of the power utility maximization problem with respect to the investor's relative risk aversion, the statistical probability measure, the investment constraints and the market price of risk. We extend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Markus Mocha , Nicholas Westray

Ergodicity describes an equivalence between the expectation value and the time average of observables. Applied to human behaviour, ergodic theories of decision-making reveal how individuals should tolerate risk in different environments. To…

We consider a stochastic optimal control problem in a market model with temporary and permanent price impact, which is related to an expected utility maximization problem under finite fuel constraint. We establish the initial condition…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-13 Mourad Lazgham

This paper develops a safety analysis method for stochastic systems that is sensitive to the possibility and severity of rare harmful outcomes. We define risk-sensitive safe sets as sub-level sets of the solution to a non-standard optimal…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Riccardo Bonalli , Kevin M. Smith , Insoon Yang , Marco Pavone , Claire J. Tomlin

Exploration-exploitation of functions, that is learning and optimizing a mapping between inputs and expected outputs, is ubiquitous to many real world situations. These situations sometimes require us to avoid certain outcomes at all cost,…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-17 Eric Schulz , Quentin J. M. Huys , Dominik R. Bach , Maarten Speekenbrink , Andreas Krause

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

We study the minimization of the expected costs under stochastic constraint at the terminal time. The first and the main result says that for a power type of costs, the value function is the minimal positive solution of a second order…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-28 Yan Dolinsky , Benjamin Gottesman , Ori Gurel-Gurevich

This study investigates the influence of risk tolerance on the expected utility in the long run. We estimate the extent to which the expected utility of optimal portfolios is affected by small changes in the risk tolerance. For this…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-05 Hyungbin Park

This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a financial market where the drift of the stock returns is driven by an unobserved Gaussian mean reverting process. Information on this process is obtained from observing stock returns…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Abdelali Gabih , Hakam Kondakji , Jörn Sass , Ralf Wunderlich

By adopting a distributional viewpoint on law-invariant convex risk measures, we construct dynamics risk measures (DRMs) at the distributional level. We then apply these DRMs to investigate Markov decision processes, incorporating latent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Ziteng Cheng , Sebastian Jaimungal

Risk sensitivity has become a central theme in reinforcement learning (RL), where convex risk measures and robust formulations provide principled ways to model preferences beyond expected return. Recent extensions to multi-agent RL (MARL)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Runyu Zhang , Na Li , Asuman Ozdaglar , Jeff Shamma , Gioele Zardini

In the large financial market, which is described by a model with countably many traded assets, we formulate the problem of the expected utility maximization. Assuming that the preferences of an economic agent are modeled with a stochastic…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-21 Oleksii Mostovyi

The extreme cases of risk measures, when considered within the context of distributional ambiguity, provide significant guidance for practitioners specializing in risk management of quantitative finance and insurance. In contrast to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Yuting Su , Taizhong Hu , Zhenfeng Zou

This paper examines an optimal investment problem in a continuous-time (essentially) complete financial market with a finite horizon. We deal with an investor who behaves consistently with principles of Cumulative Prospect Theory, and whose…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-18 Miklós Rásonyi , Andrea Meireles Rodrigues

A range of empirical puzzles in finance has been explained as a consequence of traders being averse to ambiguity. Ambiguity averse traders can behave in financial portfolio problems in ways that cannot be rationalized as maximizing…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-08-24 Michael Greinecker , Christoph Kuzmics
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