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Bayesian state and parameter estimation have been automated effectively in a variety of probabilistic programming languages. The process of model comparison on the other hand, which still requires error-prone and time-consuming manual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Bart van Erp , Wouter W. L. Nuijten , Thijs van de Laar , Bert de Vries

We investigate entropy as a financial risk measure. Entropy explains the equity premium of securities and portfolios in a simpler way and, at the same time, with higher explanatory power than the beta parameter of the capital asset pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-07 Mihaly Ormos , David Zibriczky

Expectation Maximization (EM) is among the most popular algorithms for estimating parameters of statistical models. However, EM, which is an iterative algorithm based on the maximum likelihood principle, is generally only guaranteed to find…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-30 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu , Arian Maleki

Nonequilibrium processes break time-reversal symmetry and generate entropy. Living systems are driven out-of-equilibrium at the microscopic level of molecular motors that exploit chemical potential gradients to transduce free energy to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-12-06 Eden Nitzan , Aishani Ghosal , Gili Bisker

The family of Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms provides a general approach to fitting flexible models for large and complex data. The expectation (E) step of EM-type algorithms is time-consuming in massive data applications because…

Computation · Statistics 2018-06-21 Sanvesh Srivastava , Glen DePalma , Chuanhai Liu

We investigate the application of the factor graph framework for blind joint channel estimation and symbol detection on time-variant linear inter-symbol interference channels. In particular, we consider the expectation maximization (EM)…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Luca Schmid , Tomer Raviv , Nir Shlezinger , Laurent Schmalen

We propose a compression-based version of the empirical entropy of a finite string over a finite alphabet. Whereas previously one considers the naked entropy of (possibly higher order) Markov processes, we consider the sum of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-05 Paul M. B. Vitányi

In a recent paper, the authors proposed a general methodology for probabilistic learning on manifolds. The method was used to generate numerical samples that are statistically consistent with an existing dataset construed as a realization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-30 C. Soizea , R. Ghanem , C. Safta , X. Huan , Z. P. Vane , J. Oefelein , G. Lacaz , H. N. Najm , Q. Tang , X. Chen

This paper addresses the estimation of parameters of a Bayesian network from incomplete data. The task is usually tackled by running the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm several times in order to obtain a high log-likelihood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Giorgio Corani , Cassio P. De Campos

The Maximum Entropy Principle (MEP) is a method that can be used to infer the value of an unknown quantity in a set of probability functions. In this work we review two applications of MEP: one giving a precise inference of the Higgs boson…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2017-11-02 Alexandre Alves , Alex G. Dias , Roberto da Silva

The concept of entropy in statistical physics is related to the existence of irreversible macroscopic processes. In this work, we explore a recently introduced entropy formula for a class of stochastic processes with more than one absorbing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-21 Diogo Costa-Cabanas , Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

We consider large-scale linear inverse problems in Bayesian settings. We follow a recent line of work that applies the approximate message passing (AMP) framework to multi-processor (MP) computational systems, where each processor node…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-09 Junan Zhu , Dror Baron , Ahmad Beirami

The Maximum Entropy Modeling Toolkit supports parameter estimation and prediction for statistical language models in the maximum entropy framework. The maximum entropy framework provides a constructive method for obtaining the unique…

cmp-lg · Computer Science 2008-02-03 Eric Sven Ristad

The so-called matrix-element method (MEM) has long been used successfully as a classification tool in particle physics searches. In the presence of invisible final state particles, the traditional MEM typically assigns probabilities to an…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-08-26 Stefan von Buddenbrock , Olivier Mattelaer , Michael Spannowsky

This article surveys the procedures used for deriving detector transfer functions and normalizing probability densities for the statistical analysis technique known as the "matrix element method" in the context of high energy physics (HEP)…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-01-13 Igor Volobouev

While epidemiological modeling is pivotal for informing public health strategies, a fundamental trade-off limits its predictive fidelity: exact stochastic simulations are often computationally intractable for large-scale systems, whereas…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-02-09 Cheng Ye , Zi-Song Shen , Pan Zhang

The generalized approximate message passing (GAMP) algorithm under the Bayesian setting shows advantage in recovering under-sampled sparse signals from corrupted observations. Compared to conventional convex optimization methods, it has a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-12 Shuai Huang , Trac D. Tran

Transfer entropy is a widely used measure for quantifying directed information flows in complex systems. While the challenges of estimating transfer entropy for continuous data are well known, it has two major shortcomings for data of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-11-27 Alec Kirkley

In this paper we pose the question: After gathering N data points, at what value of the control parameter should the next measurement be done? We propose an on-line algorithm which samples optimally by maximizing the gain in information on…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Peter Riegler , Nestor Caticha

We analyze phase transitions in the conditional entropy of a sequence caused by a change in the conditional variables. Such transitions happen, for example, when training to learn the parameters of a system, since the transition from the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Kang Gao , Bertrand Hochwald
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