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This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-13 Yariv Dror Mizrahi , Misha Denil , Nando de Freitas

Convergence of order $O(1/\sqrt{n})$ is obtained for the distance in total variation between the Poisson distribution and the distribution of the number of fixed size cycles in generalized random graphs with random vertex weights. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Sergey G. Bobkov , Maria A. Danshina , Vladimir V. Ulyanov

We study mean-field inclusion processes with an additional slow phase, in which particle interactions occur at a vanishing rate proportional to the inverse system size. In the thermodynamic limit, such systems exhibit condensation at high…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Simon Gabriel

We study the general fragmentation process starting from one element of size unity (E=1). At each elementary step, each existing element of size $E$ can be fragmented into $k\,(\ge 2)$ elements with probability $p_k$. From the continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-08-14 Jean-Yves Fortin , Sophie Mantelli , Moo Young Choi

Certain monotonicity properties of the Poisson approximation to the binomial distribution are established. As a natural application of these results, exact (rather than approximate) tests of hypotheses on an unknown value of the parameter…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Iosif Pinelis

In his 1986 book, Aitchison explains that compositional data is regularly mishandled in statistical analyses, a pattern that continues to this day. The Dirichlet Type I distribution is a multivariate distribution commonly used to model a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Sean van der Merwe , Daan de Waal

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

The paper develops new methods of non-parametric estimation a compound Poisson distribution. Such a problem arise, in particular, in the inference of a Levy process recorded at equidistant time intervals. Our key estimator is based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-19 Alexey Lindo , Sergei Zuyev , Serik Sagitov

In Bayesian inference, an unknown measurement uncertainty is often quantified in terms of a Gamma distributed precision parameter, which is impractical when prior information on the standard deviation of the measurement uncertainty shall be…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Manuel M. Eichenlaub

Consider generalized adapted stochastic integrals with respect to independently scattered random measures with second moments. We use a decoupling technique, known as the "principle of conditioning", to study their stable convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Peccati , Murad S. Taqqu

In this paper we study finite velocity planar random motions with an infinite number of possible directions, where the number of changes of direction is randomized by means of an inhomogeneous fractional Poisson distribution. We first…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-11-25 R. Garra , E. Orsingher

We prove a long-standing conjecture which characterises the Ewens-Pitman two-parameter family of exchangeable random partitions, plus a short list of limit and exceptional cases, by the following property: for each $n = 2,3, >...$, if one…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-20 Alexander Gnedin , Chris Haulk , Jim Pitman

We consider a simple dice game, which leads to an intriguing study of multinomial walks, with surprising and seemingly paradoxical properties. The winning and losing probabilities of a general version of the game are investigated via…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Gunther Leobacher , Alexander Steinicke

In general, the distribution of residuals cannot be obtained explicitly. We give an asymptotic formula for the density of Pearson residuals in continuous generalized linear models corrected to order $n^{-1}$, where $n$ is the sample size.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-26 Gauss M. Cordeiro , Alexandre B. Simas

The paper considers the stationary Poisson Boolean model with spherical grains and proposes a family of nonparametric estimators for the radius distribution. These estimators are based on observed distances and radii, weighted in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Daniel Hug , Günter Last , Zbyněk Pawlas , Wolfgang Weil

Consider a stationary renewal point process on the real line and divide each of the segments it defines in a proportion given by \iid realisations of a fixed distribution $G$ supported by [0,1]. We ask ourselves for which interpoint…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-08-12 Anton Muratov , Sergei Zuyev

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

This paper is concerned with the study of the random variable $K_n$ denoting the number of distinct elements in a random sample $(X_1, \dots, X_n)$ of exchangeable random variables driven by the two parameter Poisson-Dirichlet distribution,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Emanuele Dolera , Stefano Favaro

We study the full distribution $P_{N}\left(A\right)$ of sums $A = \sum_{i=1}^N$ where $x_1, \dots, x_N$ are $N \gg 1$ independent and identically distributed random variables each sampled from a given distribution $p(x)$ with a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 Naftali R. Smith

We study the shrinking Pearson random walk in two dimensions and greater, in which the direction of the Nth is random and its length equals lambda^{N-1}, with lambda<1. As lambda increases past a critical value lambda_c, the endpoint…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-01-25 C. A. Serino , S. Redner