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Related papers: Priors in quantum Bayesian inference

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While the choice of prior is one of the most critical parts of the Bayesian inference workflow, recent Bayesian deep learning models have often fallen back on vague priors, such as standard Gaussians. In this review, we highlight the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-21 Vincent Fortuin

A key sticking point of Bayesian analysis is the choice of prior distribution, and there is a vast literature on potential defaults including uniform priors, Jeffreys' priors, reference priors, maximum entropy priors, and weakly informative…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-22 Andrew Gelman , Daniel Simpson , Michael Betancourt

Bayesian inference --- although becoming popular in physics and chemistry --- is hampered up to now by the vagueness of its notion of prior probability. Some of its supporters argue that this vagueness is the unavoidable consequence of the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 O. -A. Al-Hujaj , H. L. Harney

The choice of priors may become an insoluble problem if priors and Bayes' rule are not seen and accepted in the framework of subjectivism. Therefore, the meaning and the role of subjectivity in science is considered and defended from the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

In this work a quantum analogue of Bayesian inference is considered. Based on the notion of instrument, we propose a quantum analogue of Bayes' rule, which elaborates how a prior normal state updates under observations. Besides, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-01-10 Huayu Liu

We distinguish two questions (i) how much information does the prior contain? and (ii) what is the effect of the prior? Several measures have been proposed for quantifying effective prior sample size, for example Clarke [1996] and Morita et…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-30 David E Jones , Robert N Trangucci , Yang Chen

Priors in which a large number of parameters are specified to be independent are dangerous; they make it hard to learn from data. I present a couple of examples from the literature and work through a bit of large sample theory to show what…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Richard A Lockhart

Recently, several researchers have claimed that conclusions obtained from a Bayes factor (or the posterior odds) may contradict those obtained from Bayesian posterior estimation. In this short paper, we wish to point out that no such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Harlan Campbell , Paul Gustafson

Bayesian inference gets its name from *Bayes's theorem*, expressing posterior probabilities for hypotheses about a data generating process as the (normalized) product of prior probabilities and a likelihood function. But Bayesian inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Thomas J. Loredo , Robert L. Wolpert

Bayesian methods are increasingly applied in these days in the theory and practice of statistics. Any Bayesian inference depends on a likelihood and a prior. Ideally one would like to elicit a prior from related sources of information or…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-11 Malay Ghosh

A common concern with Bayesian methodology in scientific contexts is that inferences can be heavily influenced by subjective biases. As presented here, there are two types of bias for some quantity of interest: bias against and bias in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Michael Evans , Yang Guo

Quantifying the uncertainty in the output of a neural network is essential for deployment in scientific or engineering applications where decisions must be made under limited or noisy data. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

Part I of this article discussed the quantum measurement process within the de Broglie-Bohm theory. In the experiment considered, the outcome of the measurements was primarily determined by the initial Bohmian positions within the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-08 F. Laloë , G. Tastevin

Objective priors for sequential experiments are considered. Common priors, such as the Jeffreys prior and the reference prior, will typically depend on the stopping rule used for the sequential experiment. New expressions for reference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Dongchu Sun , James O. Berger

The application of Bayesian inference for the purpose of model selection is very popular nowadays. In this framework, models are compared through their marginal likelihoods, or their quotients, called Bayes factors. However, marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 F. Llorente , L. Martino , E. Curbelo , J. Lopez-Santiago , D. Delgado

The conventional postulate for the probabilistic interpretation of quantum mechanics is asymmetric in preparation and measurement, making retrodiction reliant on inference by use of Bayes' theorem. Here, a more fundamental symmetric…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 David T. Pegg , Stephen M. Barnett , John Jeffers

I review the problem of the choice of the priors from the point of view of a physicist interested in measuring a physical quantity, and I try to show that the reference priors often recommended for the purpose (Jeffreys priors) do not fit…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 G. D'Agostini

In this mainly pedagogical article, we discuss under what circumstances measurements play a special role in quantum processes. In particular we discuss the following facts which appear to be a common area of confusion: i) from a fundamental…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-07-14 Benjamin Cruikshank , Kurt Jacobs

We state a quantum version of Bayes's rule for statistical inference and give a simple general derivation within the framework of generalized measurements. The rule can be applied to measurements on N copies of a system if the initial state…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-06 Ruediger Schack , Todd A. Brun , Carlton M. Caves

Inferences that arise from loss functions determined by the prior are considered and it is shown that these lead to limiting Bayes rules that are closely connected with likelihood. The procedures obtained via these loss functions are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-04-19 Michael Evans , Gun Ho Jang
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