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This paper deals with a nonlinear filtering problem in which a multi-dimensional signal process is additively affected by a process $\nu$ whose components have paths of bounded variation. The presence of the process $\nu$ prevents from…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-02 Alessandro Calvia , Giorgio Ferrari

Gaussian Processes (GPs) are widely recognized as powerful non-parametric models for regression and classification. Traditional GP frameworks predominantly operate under the assumption that the inputs are either accurately known or subject…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-14 Muzaffar Qureshi , Tochukwu Elijah Ogri , Zachary I. Bell , Wanjiku A. Makumi , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

This paper investigates the stability of Kalman filtering over Gilbert-Elliott channels where random packet drop follows a time-homogeneous two-state Markov chain whose state transition is determined by a pair of failure and recovery rates.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-06 Junfeng Wu , Guodong Shi , Brian D. O. Anderson , Karl Henrik Johansson

The Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of a linear Gaussian system. In addition, using this method, an expectation maximization algorithm can be used to estimate the parameters of the model. However, this…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 Tsuyoshi Ishizone , Kazuyuki Nakamura

In array processing, a common problem is to estimate the angles of arrival of $K$ deterministic sources impinging on an array of $M$ antennas, from $N$ observations of the source signal, corrupted by gaussian noise. The problem reduces to…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-28 Walid Hachem , Philippe Loubaton , Xavier Mestre , Jamal Najim , Pascal Vallet

We study covariance matrix estimation for the case of partially observed random vectors, where different samples contain different subsets of vector coordinates. Each observation is the product of the variable of interest with a $0-1$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-06 Eduardo Pavez , Antonio Ortega

In this paper, we focus on sensor placement in linear dynamic estimation, where the objective is to place a small number of sensors in a system of interdependent states so to design an estimator with a desired estimation performance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

This paper discusses the problem of estimating a stochastic signal from nonlinear uncertain observations with time-correlated additive noise described by a first-order Markov process. Random deception attacks are assumed to be launched by…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-09 R. Caballero-Águila , J. Hu , J. Linares-Pérez

This paper is concerned with a generalized Kalman-Bucy filtering model and corresponding robust problem under model uncertainty. We find that this robust problem is equivalent to considering an estimate problem under some sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-16 Shaolin Ji , Chuiliu Kong , Chuanfeng Sun

We develop a fast algorithm for Kalman Filter applied to the random walk forecast model. The key idea is an efficient representation of the estimate covariance matrix at each time-step as a weighted sum of two contributions - the process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Eric Miller , Peter K. Kitanidis

The paper studies the asymptotic behavior of Random Algebraic Riccati Equations (RARE) arising in Kalman filtering when the arrival of the observations is described by a Bernoulli i.i.d. process. We model the RARE as an order-preserving,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-05-31 Soummya Kar , Bruno Sinopoli , Jose M. F. Moura

We study the problem of signal estimation from non-linear observations when the signal belongs to a low-dimensional set buried in a high-dimensional space. A rough heuristic often used in practice postulates that non-linear observations may…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-17 Yaniv Plan , Roman Vershynin

A non-Bayesian, regression-based or generalized least squares (GLS)-based approach is formally proposed to estimate a class of time-varying AR parameter models. This approach has partly been used by Ito et al. (2014, 2016a,b), and is proven…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-22 Mikio Ito , Akihiko Noda , Tatsuma Wada

This paper describes the most accurate analytical frequentist assessment to date of the uncertainties in the estimation of physical parameters from gravitational waves generated by non spinning binary systems and Earth-based networks of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-29 Salvatore Vitale , Michele Zanolin

We consider the classical problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a subgaussian distribution from i.i.d. samples in the novel context of coarse quantization, i.e., instead of having full knowledge of the samples, they are quantized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-04-25 Sjoerd Dirksen , Johannes Maly , Holger Rauhut

Existing methods for quantifying predictive uncertainty in neural networks are either computationally intractable for large language models or require access to training data that is typically unavailable. We derive a lightweight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Nils Grünefeld , Jes Frellsen , Christian Hardmeier

Classical Fisher-information asymptotics describe the covariance of regular efficient estimators through the local quadratic approximation of the log-likelihood, and thus capture first-order geometry only. In curved models, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-15 Malik Amir , Sourangshu Ghosh

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

Data assimilation combines forecasts from a numerical model with observations. Most of the current data assimilation algorithms consider the model and observation error terms as additive Gaussian noise, specified by their covariance…