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Based on empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is proposed with volatility driven by fractional noise. The model is used to obtain a risk-neutrality option pricing formula and an option pricing equation.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Rui Vilela Mendes , Maria Joao Oliveira

A simple Hawkes model have been developed for the price tick structure dynamics incorporating market microstructure noise and trade clustering. In this paper, the model is extended with random mark to deal with more realistic price tick…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Kyungsub Lee , Byoung Ki Seo

We present a method that uses distances between nearest neighbors in Takens space to evaluate a level of noise. The method is valid even for high noise levels. The method has been verified by estimation of noise levels in several chaotic…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Krzysztof Urbanowicz , Janusz A. Holyst

The detection of community structure in stock market is of theoretical and practical significance for the study of financial dynamics and portfolio risk estimation. We here study the community structures in Chinese stock markets from the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-02 Li-Ling Su , Xiong-Fei Jiang , Sai-Ping Li , Li-Xin Zhong , Fei Ren

Order placement tactics play a crucial role in high-frequency trading algorithms and their design is based on understanding the dynamics of the order book. Using high quality high-frequency data and a set of microstructural features, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-30 Timothée Fabre , Vincent Ragel

Because of the theoretical challenges posed by the Efficient Market Hypothesis to technical analysis, the effectiveness of technical indicators in high-frequency trading remains inadequately explored, particularly at the minute-level…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-04 Akash Deep , Abootaleb Shirvani , Chris Monico , Svetlozar Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

This study investigates and uses multi-kernel Hawkes models to describe a high-frequency mid-price process. Each kernel represents a different responsive speed of market participants. Using the conditional Hessian, we examine whether the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-04 Kyungsub Lee

A new framework for asset price dynamics is introduced in which the concept of noisy information about future cash flows is used to derive the price processes. In this framework an asset is defined by its cash-flow structure. Each cash flow…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-31 Dorje C. Brody , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

Large variations in stock prices happen with sufficient frequency to raise doubts about existing models, which all fail to account for non-Gaussian statistics. We construct simple models of a stock market, and argue that the large…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-25 P. Bak , M. Paczuski , M. Shubik

Inference and hypothesis testing are typically constructed on the basis that a specific model holds for the data. To determine the veracity of conclusions drawn from such data analyses, one must be able to identify the presence of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-30 S. E. Abramson , W. Moran , R. J. Evans , A. Melatos

Shot-Noise processes constitute a useful tool in various areas, in particular in finance. They allow to model abrupt changes in a more flexible way than processes with jumps and hence are an ideal tool for modelling stock prices, credit…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-01 Thorsten Schmidt

We construct a correlation matrix based financial network for a set of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) traded stocks with stocks corresponding to nodes and the links between them added one after the other, according to the strength of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 G. Tibely , J. -P. Onnela , J. Saramaki , K. Kaski , J. Kertesz

Correlation between microstructure noise and latent financial logarithmic returns is an empirically relevant phenomenon with sound theoretical justification. With few notable exceptions, all integrated variance estimators proposed in the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-29 Stefano Peluso , Antonietta Mira , Pietro Muliere

Quantum mechanics can strongly influence the noise properties of mesoscopic devices. To probe this effect we have measured the current fluctuations at high-frequency (5-90 GHz) using a superconductor-insulator-superconductor tunnel junction…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 R. Deblock , E. Onac , L. Gurevich , L. P. Kouwenhoven

We propose in this paper to consider the stock market as a physical system assimilate to a fluid evolving in a macroscopic space subject to a Force that influences its movement over time where this last is arising from the collision between…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-02 Geoffrey Ducournau

We present a novel microscopic stock market model consisting of a large number of random agents modeling traders in a market. Each agent is characterized by a set of parameters that serve to make iterated predictions of two successive…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik

Dynamic jumps in the price and volatility of an asset are modelled using a joint Hawkes process in conjunction with a bivariate jump diffusion. A state space representation is used to link observed returns, plus nonparametric measures of…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-10 Worapree Maneesoonthorn , Catherine S. Forbes , Gael M. Martin

Topological Data Analysis (TDA) is increasingly crucial in investigating the shape of complex data structures across scientific fields, particularly in neuroscience and finance. This study delves into persistent homology, a TDA component…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-17 Roel Gisolf , Fernando A. N. Santos , Felix Wierstra

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 M. Raberto , E. Scalas , F. Mainardi

In this paper, we focus on the estimation of historical volatility of asset prices from high-frequency data. Stochastic volatility models pose a major statistical challenge: since in reality historical volatility is not observable, its…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-27 Camilla Damian , Rüdiger Frey