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This paper illustrates the main results of a spatio-temporal interpolation process of $\text{PM}_{10}$ concentrations at daily resolution using a set of 410 monitoring sites, distributed throughout the Italian territory, for the year 2015.…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-24 Guido Fioravanti , Sara Martino , Michela Cameletti , Giorgio Cattani

Air pollution constitutes the highest environmental risk factor in relation to heath. In order to provide the evidence required for health impact analyses, to inform policy and to develop potential mitigation strategies comprehensive…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-23 Matthew L. Thomas , Gavin Shaddick , Daniel Simpson , Kees de Hoogh , James V. Zidek

Particulate matter (PM) is linked to adverse health outcomes, yet the roles of specific PM components and their modification by extreme temperature remain unclear. We examined short-term associations between ten PM chemical components and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Xiaolu Zhang , Anna Font , Anja Tremper , Max Priestman , Shawn Y. Lee , David C. Green , Dimitris Evangelopoulos , Gang I. Chen

Motivated by analyzing a national data base of annual air pollution and cardiovascular disease mortality rate for 3100 counties in the U.S. (areal data), we develop a novel statistical framework to automatically detect spatially varying…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-19 Shuo Chen , Chengsheng Jiang , Lance Waller

We present an estimation procedure of spatial and temporal effects in spatiotemporal autoregressive panel data models using the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator, LASSO (Tibshirani, 1996). We assume that the spatiotemporal…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Elkanah Nyabuto , Philipp Otto , Yarema Okhrin

This study presents a Bayesian hierarchical model for analyzing spatially correlated functional data and handling irregularly spaced observations. The model uses Bernstein polynomial (BP) bases combined with autoregressive random effects,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Alvaro Alexander Burbano Moreno , Ronaldo Dias

Investigating the health impacts of wildfire smoke requires data on people's exposure to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) across space and time. In recent years, it has become common to use machine learning models to fill gaps in…

High spatial resolution PM2.5 data covering a long time period are urgently needed to support population exposure assessment and refined air quality management. In this study, we provided complete-coverage PM2.5 predictions with a 1-km…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-05-09 Qingyang Xiao , Guannan Geng , Shigan Liu , Jiajun Liu , Xia Meng , Qiang Zhang

Prevalence mapping in low resource settings is an increasingly important endeavor to guide policy making and to spatially and temporally characterize the burden of disease. We will focus our discussion on consideration of the complex design…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-15 Jon Wakefield , Daniel Simpson , Jessica Godwin

Environmental epidemiologists are increasingly interested in establishing causality between exposures and health outcomes. A popular model for causal inference is the Rubin Causal Model (RCM), which typically seeks to estimate the average…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-26 Keith W. Zirkle , Marie-Abele Bind , Jenise L. Swall , David C. Wheeler

Laboratory experiments have shown that cardiovascular diseases are positively correlated to the concentration of ambient air pollutants, such as SO2, NO2, PM10, etc. It has also been repeatedly reported in many countries that increased…

Applications · Statistics 2013-08-08 Menghui Li , Dasheng Luo , Chenghua Cao , Xiaochuan Pan , Qixin Wang

Understanding the sources that contribute to fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) is of crucial importance for designing and implementing targeted air pollution mitigation strategies. Determining what factors contribute to a pollutant's…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-03 Michela Frigeri , Veronica Berrocal , Alessandra Guglielmi

Environmental and climate processes are often distributed over large space-time domains. Their complexity and the amount of available data make modelling and analysis a challenging task. Statistical modelling of environment and climate data…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-02 Behnaz Pirzamanbein

Ensuring the students in good physical levels is imperative for their future health. In recent years, the continually growing concentration of Particulate Matter (PM) has done increasingly serious harm to student health. Hence, it is highly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Yonghui Zhang , Ke Gu

Environmental epidemiologists are often interested in estimating the effect of time-varying functions of the exposure history on health outcomes. However, the individual exposure measurements that constitute the history upon which an…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-23 Ce Yang , Ning Zhang , Jiaxuan Li , Unnati V. Mehta , Jaime E. Hart , Donna Spiegelman , Molin Wang

This paper outlines a methodology for semi-parametric spatio-temporal modelling of data which is dense in time but sparse in space, obtained from a split panel design, the most feasible approach to covering space and time with limited…

Wildland fire smoke contains hazardous levels of fine particulate matter PM2.5, a pollutant shown to adversely effect health. Estimating fire attributable PM2.5 concentrations is key to quantifying the impact on air quality and subsequent…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-16 Alexandra Larsen , Shu Yang , Brian J. Reich , Ana G. Rappold

Spatio-temporal prediction of levels of an environmental exposure is an important problem in environmental epidemiology. Our work is motivated by multiple studies on the spatio-temporal distribution of mobile source, or traffic related,…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-14 Nikolay Bliznyuk , Christopher J. Paciorek , Joel Schwartz , Brent Coull

This study presents a comparative analysis of three predictive models with an increasing degree of flexibility: hidden dynamic geostatistical models (HDGM), generalised additive mixed models (GAMM), and the random forest spatiotemporal…

In this study, we introduce a novel and comprehensive extension of a Bayesian spatio-temporal disease mapping model that explicitly accounts for gender-specific effects of meteorological exposures. Leveraging fine-scale weekly mortality and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-18 Corinna Perchtold , Julia Eisenberg , Philipp Otto