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Random fields are useful mathematical tools for representing natural phenomena with complex dependence structures in space and/or time. In particular, the Gaussian random field is commonly used due to its attractive properties and…

A statistical model is a mathematical representation of an often simplified or idealised data-generating process. In this paper, we focus on a particular type of statistical model, called linear mixed models (LMMs), that is widely used in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-23 Emi Tanaka , Francis K. C. Hui

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

Many real-world systems can be described by mathematical models that are human-comprehensible, easy to analyze and help explain the system's behavior. Symbolic regression is a method that can automatically generate such models from data.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Jiří Kubalík , Erik Derner , Robert Babuška

Bayesian variable selection is a powerful tool for data analysis, as it offers a principled method for variable selection that accounts for prior information and uncertainty. However, wider adoption of Bayesian variable selection has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Martin Jankowiak

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

This paper presents an iterative method suitable for inverting semilinear problems which are important kernels in many numerical applications. The primary idea is to employ a parametrization that is able to reduce semilinear problems into…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-02 Prosper Torsu

This paper studies fundamental aspects of modelling data using multivariate Watson distributions. Although these distributions are natural for modelling axially symmetric data (i.e., unit vectors where $\pm \x$ are equivalent), for…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-28 Suvrit Sra , Dmitrii Karp

Many interesting and useful symbolic computation algorithms manipulate mathematical expressions in mathematically meaningful ways. Although these algorithms are commonplace in computer algebra systems, they can be surprisingly difficult to…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-05-07 Jacques Carette , William M. Farmer

The Poisson log-normal model is a latent variable model that provides a generic framework for the analysis of multivariate count data. Inferring its parameters can be a daunting task since the conditional distribution of the latent…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Julien Stoehr , Stephane S. Robin

Parallel recordings of neural spike counts have revealed the existence of context-dependent noise correlations in neural populations. Theories of population coding have also shown that such correlations can impact the information encoded by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Sacha Sokoloski , Ruben Coen-Cagli

The aim of this paper is to present an elementary computable theory of probability, random variables and stochastic processes. The probability theory is baed on existing approaches using valuations and lower integrals. Various approaches to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Pieter Collins

Semantic composition remains an open problem for vector space models of semantics. In this paper, we explain how the probabilistic graphical model used in the framework of Functional Distributional Semantics can be interpreted as a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-09-04 Guy Emerson , Ann Copestake

Symbolic data analysis has been proposed as a technique for summarising large and complex datasets into a much smaller and tractable number of distributions -- such as random rectangles or histograms -- each describing a portion of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-23 Thomas Whitaker , Boris Beranger , Scott A. Sisson

Our paper deals with inferring simulator-based statistical models given some observed data. A simulator-based model is a parametrized mechanism which specifies how data are generated. It is thus also referred to as generative model. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-01-01 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander

Determining identifiability of causal effects from observational data under latent confounding is a central challenge in causal inference. For linear structural causal models, identifiability of causal effects is decidable through symbolic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-23 Benjamin Hollering , Pratik Misra , Nils Sturma

Estimating a causal query from observational data is an essential task in the analysis of biomolecular networks. Estimation takes as input a network topology, a query estimation method, and observational measurements on the network…

Symbolic encoding has been used in multi-operator learning as a way to embed additional information for distinct time-series data. For spatiotemporal systems described by time-dependent partial differential equations, the equation itself…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Derek Jollie , Jingmin Sun , Zecheng Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer

Gibbs-type random probability measures and the exchangeable random partitions they induce represent an important framework both from a theoretical and applied point of view. In the present paper, motivated by species sampling problems, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Stefano Favaro , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster

Poisson's equation is fundamental to the study of Markov chains, and arises in connection with martingale representations and central limit theorems for additive functionals, perturbation theory for stationary distributions, and average…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-03 Peter W. Glynn , Na Lin , Yuanyuan Liu