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In this paper we introduce and analyze a class of diffusion type equations related to certain non-Markovian stochastic processes. We start from the forward drift equation which is made non-local in time by the introduction of a suitable…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Murad S. Taqqu , Francesco Mainardi

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

Exact inference for hidden Markov models requires the evaluation of all distributions of interest - filtering, prediction, smoothing and likelihood - with a finite computational effort. This article provides sufficient conditions for exact…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-11 Guillaume Kon Kam King , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Matteo Ruggiero

Although diffusion models now occupy a central place in generative modeling, introductory treatments commonly assume Euclidean data and seldom clarify their connection to discrete-state analogues. This article is a self-contained primer on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Vincent Pauline , Tobias Höppe , Kirill Neklyudov , Alexander Tong , Stefan Bauer , Andrea Dittadi

A Markov process fluctuating away from its typical behavior can be represented in the long-time limit by another Markov process, called the effective or driven process, having the same stationary states as the original process conditioned…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-30 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette

We present discrete-time approximation of optimal control policies for infinite horizon discounted/ergodic control problems for controlled diffusions in $\Rd$\,. In particular, our objective is to show near optimality of optimal policies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Somnath Pradhan , Serdar Yuksel

We introduce a model with diffusive and evaporation/condensation processes, depending on 3 parameters obeying some inequalities. The model can be solved in the sense that all correlation functions can be computed exactly without the use of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-23 F. Mathieu , E. Ragoucy

Density dependent families of Markov chains, such as the stochastic models of mass-action chemical kinetics, converge for large values of the indexing parameter $N$ to deterministic systems of differential equations (Kurtz, 1970). Moreover…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Enrico Bibbona , Roberta Sirovich

This paper is a natural continuation of \cite{Kr_20_2} and \cite{Kr_21_1} where strong Markov processes are constructed in time inhomogeneous setting with Borel measurable uniformly bounded and uniformly nondegenerate diffusion and drift in…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 N. V. Krylov

Fluid approximations have seen great success in approximating the macro-scale behaviour of Markov systems with a large number of discrete states. However, these methods rely on the continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) having a particular…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-29 Michalis Michaelides , Jane Hillston , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we look at the properties of limits of a sequence of real valued time inhomogeneous diffusions. When convergence is only in the sense of finite-dimensional distributions then the limit does not have to be a diffusion. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-14 George Lowther

We consider a general method for the approximation of the distribution of a process conditioned to not hit a given set. Existing methods are based on particle system that are failable, in the sense that, in many situations , they are not…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-30 William Oçafrain , Denis Villemonais

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

We introduce a nonparametric model for inferring time-evolving, unobserved probability distributions from discrete-time data consisting of unlabelled partitions. The latent process is a two-parameter Poisson-Dirichlet diffusion, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Marco Dalla Pria , Matteo Ruggiero , Dario Spanò

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

We establish subgeometric bounds on convergence rate of general Markov processes in the Wasserstein metric. In the discrete time setting we prove that the Lyapunov drift condition and the existence of a "good" $d$-small set imply…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-20 Oleg Butkovsky

We investigate some asymptotic properties of general Markov processes conditioned not to be absorbed by moving boundaries. We first give general criteria involving an exponential convergence towards the Q-process, that is the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 William Oçafrain

Markov jump process models have many applications across science. Often, these models are defined on a state-space of product form and only one of the components of the process is of direct interest. In this paper, we extend the marginal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-06-28 Leo Bronstein , Heinz Koeppl

We prove that under H\"ormander's type conditions on the coefficients of the unobservable component of a partially observable diffusion process the filtering density is infinitely differentiable and can be represented as the integral of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-24 N. V. Krylov