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Exact upper bounds on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a random variable in terms of its first two moments are given. Such results are needed in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics. As another…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

The approximation of invariant measures for nonlinear ergodic stochastic differential equations (SDEs) is a central problem in scientific computing, with important applications in stochastic sampling, physics, and ecology. We first propose…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Shan Huang , Xiaoyue Li

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

We show that spline and wavelet series regression estimators for weakly dependent regressors attain the optimal uniform (i.e. sup-norm) convergence rate $(n/\log n)^{-p/(2p+d)}$ of Stone (1982), where $d$ is the number of regressors and $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen

We use Stein's method to obtain explicit bounds on the rate of convergence for the Laplace approximation of two different sums of independent random variables; one being a random sum of mean zero random variables and the other being a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-29 Robert E. Gaunt

This paper studies beta ensembles on the real line in a high temperature regime, that is, the regime where $\beta N \to const \in (0, \infty)$, with $N$ the system size and $\beta$ the inverse temperature. In this regime, the convergence to…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-17 Fumihiko Nakano , Khanh Duy Trinh

Motivated by the home-field advantage in sports, we propose a generalized Bradley--Terry model that incorporates covariate information for paired comparisons. It has an $n$-dimensional merit parameter $\bs{\beta}$ and a fixed-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-31 Ting Yan

Stein's method is used to obtain two theorems on multivariate normal approximation. Our main theorem, Theorem 1.2, provides a bound on the distance to normality for any nonnegative random vector. Theorem 1.2 requires multivariate size bias…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Yosef Rinott

In this paper, we propose a monotone approximation scheme for a class of fully nonlinear degenerate partial integro-differential equations (PIDEs) which characterize the nonlinear $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy processes under sublinear…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-12 Mingshang Hu , Lianzi Jiang , Gechun Liang

The Bayes Error Rate (BER) is the fundamental limit on the achievable generalizable classification accuracy of any machine learning model due to inherent uncertainty within the data. BER estimators offer insight into the difficulty of any…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Lesley Wheat , Martin v. Mohrenschildt , Saeid Habibi

It is well known that, under standard regularity conditions, the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) satisfies a central limit theorem and converges in distribution to a Gaussian random variable as the sample size grows. This paper…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso

We study an online vector balancing problem, in which $n$ independent Gaussian random vectors $\boldsymbol{\zeta}(1),\dots,\boldsymbol{\zeta}(n) \sim \mathcal{N}(0, I_n)$, each of dimension $n$, arrive one at a time. The goal is to choose…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Christian Fiedler , Joe Jackson , Daniel Lacker , Jonathan Niles-Weed

In this paper we obtain Berry-Esse\'en bounds on partial sums of functionals of heavy-tailed moving averages, including the linear fractional stable noise, stable fractional ARIMA processes and stable Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Our rates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-15 Andreas Basse-O'Connor , Mark Podolskij , Christoph Thäle

We provide faster algorithms for approximately solving $\ell_{\infty}$ regression, a fundamental problem prevalent in both combinatorial and continuous optimization. In particular, we provide accelerated coordinate descent methods capable…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Aaron Sidford , Kevin Tian

The asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) under regularity conditions is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In this paper, we give explicit upper bounds on the distributional distance between the distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Andreas Anastasiou

The Kullback-Leibler divergence, the Kullback-Leibler variation, and the Bernstein "norm" are used to quantify discrepancies among probability distributions in likelihood models such as nonparametric maximum likelihood and nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Tetsuya Kaji

Given a finite set of unknown distributions or arms that can be sampled, we consider the problem of identifying the one with the maximum mean using a $\delta$-correct algorithm (an adaptive, sequential algorithm that restricts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Shubhada Agrawal , Sandeep Juneja , Peter Glynn

High-order clustering aims to identify heterogeneous substructures in multiway datasets that arise commonly in neuroimaging, genomics, social network studies, etc. The non-convex and discontinuous nature of this problem pose significant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Rungang Han , Yuetian Luo , Miaoyan Wang , Anru R. Zhang