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The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to…

Numerical climate models are used to project future climate change due to both anthropogenic and natural causes. Differences between projections from different climate models are a major source of uncertainty about future climate. Emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-06 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Thomas J. Bracegirdle

Results of direct numerical simulations have been used to show that intensive thermal convection in a horizontal layer and on a hemisphere can be described by the distributed chaos approach. The vorticity and helicity dominated distributed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-22 A. Bershadskii

Extratropical cyclones are large-scale weather systems which are often the source of extreme weather events in Northern Europe, often leading to mass infrastructural damage and casualties. Such systems create a local vorticity maxima which…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-23 Paul Sharkey , Jonathan A. Tawn , Simon J. Brown

This chapter is dedicated to the slow dynamics of the climate system, at time scales of one~thousand to one million years. We focus specifically on the phenomenon of ice ages that has characterised the slow evolution of climate over the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-12-14 Michel Crucifix , Guillaume Lenoir , Takahito Mitsui

The present investigation is directed at exploring southern polar ionospheric responses to intense space weather events and their correlations with plasma convection and auroral precipitation. The main phases of six geomagnetic storms…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-11-07 Sumanjit Chakraborty , Gopi K. Seemala

A simple 3-parameter random walk model for monthly fluctuations $\triangle T$ of a temperature $T$ is introduced. Applied to a time range of 170 years, temperature fluctuations of the model produce for about 14\% of the runs warming that…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-02-28 Bernd Albert Berg

We analyze the occurrence and the values of record-breaking temperatures in daily and monthly temperature observations. Our aim is to better understand and quantify the statistics of temperature records in the context of global warming.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-03-20 Gregor Wergen , Andreas Hense , Joachim Krug

Climate change is progressing asynchronously between the Arctic and Antarctic, with important implications for global climate dynamics. While the Arctic has experienced rapid warming and pronounced amplification, the Antarctic has exhibited…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-22 Hongyu Wang , Jingfang Fan , Fei Xie , Jingyuan Li , Rui Shi , Yan Xia , Deliang Chen , Xiaosong Chen

Atmospheric transient eddies and low-frequency flow contribution to the ocean surface wave climate in the North Atlantic during boreal winter is investigated (1980 - 2016). We conduct a set of numerical simulations with a state-of-the-art…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Margarita Markina , Josh Studholme , Sergey Gulev

The modeling of spatio-temporal trends in temperature extremes can help better understand the structure and frequency of heatwaves in a changing climate. Here, we study annual temperature maxima over Southern Europe using a century-spanning…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-08 Peng Zhong , Raphaël Huser , Thomas Opitz

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

Atmospheric blocking events are quasi-stationary high-pressure systems that disrupt the typical paths of polar and subtropical air currents, often producing prolonged extreme weather events such as summer heat waves or winter cold spells.…

Graphics · Computer Science 2026-01-05 Mingzhe Li , Peer Nowack , Bei Wang

Observations suggest that the earth's surface has been warming relative to the troposphere for the last 25 years; this is not only difficult to explain but also contrary to the results of climate models. We provide new evidence that the…

Extreme weather events, rare yet profoundly impactful, are often accompanied by severe conditions. Increasing global temperatures are poised to exacerbate these events, resulting in greater human casualties, economic losses, and ecological…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-17 Yuhao Feng , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

Over recent decades, the Arctic Ocean has experienced dramatic changes due to climate change. Retreating sea ice has opened up large areas of ocean, resulting in an enhanced wave climate. Taking into account the intense seasonality and the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Isabela S. Cabral , Ian R. Young , Alessandro Toffoli

Rapid changes in climatic conditions threaten both socioeconomic and ecological systems, as these might not be able to adapt or to migrate at the same pace as that of global warming. In particular, an increase of weather and climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-14 Joan Rey , Guillaume Rohat , Marjorie Perroud , Stéphane Goyette , Jérôme Kasparian

The Southern Ocean (in the region 60-180$^\circ$E) south of the Indian Ocean, Australia, and the West Pacific is noted for the frequent occurrence and severity of its storms. These storms give rise to high-amplitude secondary microseisms…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-08-20 Ross J. Turner , Martin Gal , Mark A. Hemer , Anya M. Reading

The major sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events strongly influence the mean structure of the entire atmosphere, from the troposphere to the thermosphere. These events disrupt the compositional and thermal structure of the mesosphere and…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-07-01 Akash Kumar , MV Sunil Krishna , Alok K Ranjan

Understanding local currents in the North Atlantic region of the ocean is a key part of modelling heat transfer and global climate patterns. Satellites provide a surface signature of the temperature of the ocean with a high horizontal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-22 Gautier Cosne , Guillaume Maze , Pierre Tandeo